At least with a healthy Rob Williams we could *always* hang our hats on defense and energy.
Any issues with this slight rewrite?
That’s certainly part of it, but it’s more than that. Joe simply doesn’t have the same focus on the defensive end as Ime. He doesn’t prioritize it as much.
And while I personally disagree with that approach, that would be fine if we had a *consistently dominant* offensive style and philosophy to fall back and rely on every night. But we don’t. Mazzulla ball consistently requires hitting a high clip of threes with no contingency. And even the excellent ball and player movement of his philosophy is sporadic and interestingly is connected to when we’re hitting threes. When we don’t hit, we fall into iso.
I’ll also say that Mazzulla ball makes the two big lineup less obvious, so among all these issues I don’t think pointing to Rob’s or overall heakth is wholly determinative of the struggles.
Possibly - lended credence by the fact that the C's had a defensive rating of 109.8 without Timelord last season and have a 113.8 rating without him this year per statmuse... but overall we're sitting at 112.3 on the season this year, which is good for fourth in the league.
In other words, whilst this is a drop off from last season (where we had a top two defense in the league) this doesn't scream 'massive downturn' to me.
We've essentially traded a top two defense and a top seven offense for a top three offense and a top four defense.
Now, if I were a pitchfork salesman, I'd be ordering extra stock. If I were an armchair salesman, I'd have every amateur quarterback and part-time sports psychologist in the Boston area on speed dial. As I'm neither, I still think it's much ado about a relatively meaningless cold streak.
I'm as reactionary to bad losses as anybody, and this stretch has had several. But mostly, I look at segments of the season, to see where the team is going.
We're 9-9 since January 23. Since that time, our offensive rating is 116.3, and our defensive rating is 113.8.
I don't have access to where we rank during that stretch, particularly because not every stats site agrees to the same method of calculating O-Rtg and D-Rtg. But, for perspective, that DRtg would rank 20th in the NBA if it were sustained over a full season, tied with Denver. The ORtg would drop us to the 8th spot, tied with the Jazz.
The talent is seemingly there to contend, but it's hard to get excited for a .500 team that has the Jazz offense and the Nuggets defense. That's where we've been for 22% of the season, which seems like a fairly significant sample size. When it's also the most recent sample, it makes me worry.
So, is a team what it's record says it is, or is it what its record says it is *lately*?