Author Topic: Early PER comparisons  (Read 3755 times)

0 Members and 0 Guests are viewing this topic.

Early PER comparisons
« on: October 26, 2021, 01:10:25 PM »

Online Silas

  • 2020 CelticsStrong Draft Guru
  • Frank Ramsey
  • ************
  • Posts: 12829
  • Tommy Points: 2169
I know that using PER to measure performance is not perfect and that it mainly measures offensive performance.   However, I thought it would be interesting to look at and debate some of our current and past players as the season gets underway.  As a reminder, the league average is 15.

Horford - 26.84
Brown - 24.68
G. Williams - 22.92
R. Williams - 22.45
Tatum - 22.10
Fournier - 16.94
Schroder - 16.21
Hayward - 13.22
Walker - 11.58
Smart - 7.42

Slight correction:  Walker is 11.58 not 13.22
« Last Edit: October 26, 2021, 01:22:47 PM by Silas »
I've lived through some terrible things in my life, some of which actually happened.   -  Mark Twain

Re: Early PER comparisons
« Reply #1 on: October 26, 2021, 01:16:02 PM »

Offline Celtics2021

  • Tiny Archibald
  • *******
  • Posts: 7940
  • Tommy Points: 1033
Don’t forget Aaron Nesmith’s negative 10.  I honestly didn’t know you could get that low.

(Don’t worry, Nesmith fans.  PER is troublesome at best, and it has huge issues with sample size.)

Re: Early PER comparisons
« Reply #2 on: October 26, 2021, 01:16:30 PM »

Offline Vermont Green

  • K.C. Jones
  • *************
  • Posts: 13580
  • Tommy Points: 1023
Wow, our bigs (Horford, Williams, Williams) are really tearing it up.  Doesn't quite match the eye test to me.  Good to see though.  Hope they keep it up.

Re: Early PER comparisons
« Reply #3 on: October 26, 2021, 01:25:36 PM »

Offline Vermont Green

  • K.C. Jones
  • *************
  • Posts: 13580
  • Tommy Points: 1023
And I was wondering about Josh Richardson, he is at 9.68

Not bad for what looks like a really slow start for him.


Re: Early PER comparisons
« Reply #4 on: October 26, 2021, 01:45:18 PM »

Offline footey

  • JoJo White
  • ****************
  • Posts: 16039
  • Tommy Points: 1837
Rob had one of the highest PERs last season in the entire league. 

Re: Early PER comparisons
« Reply #5 on: October 26, 2021, 01:49:30 PM »

Offline Csfan1984

  • Don Nelson
  • ********
  • Posts: 8875
  • Tommy Points: 290
Have to keep Horford fresh and healthy to get that great performance consistently.

I think the starters would be even higher if the team wasn't starting double big the first two games.

Re: Early PER comparisons
« Reply #6 on: October 26, 2021, 02:05:24 PM »

Offline droopdog7

  • Tiny Archibald
  • *******
  • Posts: 7022
  • Tommy Points: 468
Wow, our bigs (Horford, Williams, Williams) are really tearing it up.  Doesn't quite match the eye test to me.  Good to see though.  Hope they keep it up.
I feel like the numbers match the eye test pretty darn well actually

Re: Early PER comparisons
« Reply #7 on: October 26, 2021, 02:07:24 PM »

Offline droopdog7

  • Tiny Archibald
  • *******
  • Posts: 7022
  • Tommy Points: 468
Don’t forget Aaron Nesmith’s negative 10.  I honestly didn’t know you could get that low.

(Don’t worry, Nesmith fans.  PER is troublesome at best, and it has huge issues with sample size.)
What we're seeing here isn't an issue with PER as it is with the small sample size.  I think PER is capturing exactly what is going on with Nesmith. 

What isn't clear is whether Nesmith will do better in the long term.  Okay, he'll definitely do better than -10 but he still could be crap and unplayeable.

Re: Early PER comparisons
« Reply #8 on: October 26, 2021, 02:18:22 PM »

Online Roy H.

  • Forums Manager
  • James Naismith
  • *********************************
  • Posts: 62690
  • Tommy Points: -25472
  • Bo Knows: Joe Don't Know Diddley
I know that using PER to measure performance is not perfect and that it mainly measures offensive performance.   However, I thought it would be interesting to look at and debate some of our current and past players as the season gets underway.  As a reminder, the league average is 15.

Horford - 26.84
Brown - 24.68
G. Williams - 22.92
R. Williams - 22.45
Tatum - 22.10
Fournier - 16.94
Schroder - 16.21
Hayward - 13.22
Walker - 11.58
Smart - 7.42

Slight correction:  Walker is 11.58 not 13.22

Basketball-reference has different numbers.  Updated, perhaps?

Jabari - 29.5
Horford - 23.4
Jaylen - 21.4
G. Williams - 19.9
Timelord - 19.6
Tatum - 19.1
Schroder - 14.1
Langford - 10.9
Richardson - 8.4
Smart - 6.4
Nesmith - (-)10.2

Another interesting statistical anomaly:  Herangomez leads the team in usage (41.8) and turnover percentage (38.1)


I'M THE SILVERBACK GORILLA IN THIS MOTHER——— AND DON'T NONE OF YA'LL EVER FORGET IT!@ 34 minutes

Re: Early PER comparisons
« Reply #9 on: October 26, 2021, 02:28:10 PM »

Online Silas

  • 2020 CelticsStrong Draft Guru
  • Frank Ramsey
  • ************
  • Posts: 12829
  • Tommy Points: 2169
I know that using PER to measure performance is not perfect and that it mainly measures offensive performance.   However, I thought it would be interesting to look at and debate some of our current and past players as the season gets underway.  As a reminder, the league average is 15.

Horford - 26.84
Brown - 24.68
G. Williams - 22.92
R. Williams - 22.45
Tatum - 22.10
Fournier - 16.94
Schroder - 16.21
Hayward - 13.22
Walker - 11.58
Smart - 7.42

Slight correction:  Walker is 11.58 not 13.22

Basketball-reference has different numbers.  Updated, perhaps?

Jabari - 29.5
Horford - 23.4
Jaylen - 21.4
G. Williams - 19.9
Timelord - 19.6
Tatum - 19.1
Schroder - 14.1
Langford - 10.9
Richardson - 8.4
Smart - 6.4
Nesmith - (-)10.2

Another interesting statistical anomaly:  Herangomez leads the team in usage (41.8) and turnover percentage (38.1)

Not sure why there is a difference.  I took the PER numbers from ESPN stats through yesterday's games. 
I've lived through some terrible things in my life, some of which actually happened.   -  Mark Twain

Re: Early PER comparisons
« Reply #10 on: October 26, 2021, 03:10:13 PM »

Online Goldstar88

  • K.C. Jones
  • *************
  • Posts: 13538
  • Tommy Points: 1711
I know that using PER to measure performance is not perfect and that it mainly measures offensive performance.   However, I thought it would be interesting to look at and debate some of our current and past players as the season gets underway.  As a reminder, the league average is 15.

Horford - 26.84
Brown - 24.68
G. Williams - 22.92
R. Williams - 22.45
Tatum - 22.10
Fournier - 16.94
Schroder - 16.21
Hayward - 13.22
Walker - 11.58
Smart - 7.42

Slight correction:  Walker is 11.58 not 13.22

Walker is basically a (non prime) Lou Williams type role player at this point(10ppg, 2reb, 2ast), yet many still think that it was a mistake trading him away for Horford. Guess seeing is not always believing.
Quoting Nick from the now locked Ime thread:
Quote
At some point you have to blame the performance on the court on the players on the court. Every loss is not the coach's fault and every win isn't because of the players.

Re: Early PER comparisons
« Reply #11 on: October 26, 2021, 03:43:33 PM »

Online DefenseWinsChamps

  • Paul Silas
  • ******
  • Posts: 6755
  • Tommy Points: 810
I know that using PER to measure performance is not perfect and that it mainly measures offensive performance.   However, I thought it would be interesting to look at and debate some of our current and past players as the season gets underway.  As a reminder, the league average is 15.

Horford - 26.84
Brown - 24.68
G. Williams - 22.92
R. Williams - 22.45
Tatum - 22.10
Fournier - 16.94
Schroder - 16.21
Hayward - 13.22
Walker - 11.58
Smart - 7.42

Slight correction:  Walker is 11.58 not 13.22

Walker is basically a (non prime) Lou Williams type role player at this point(10ppg, 2reb, 2ast), yet many still think that it was a mistake trading him away for Horford. Guess seeing is not always believing.

Statistically you are right, but from my eye test he's worse. Walker does not look like a starting point guard in the NBA anymore. I'm not even sure what he brings as a change of pace backup. Rose was able to transition to that, but most guards aren't.

Love the guy and I wish we could have had some UCONN moments in Boston, but he looks cooked to me.

Re: Early PER comparisons
« Reply #12 on: October 26, 2021, 04:58:05 PM »

Online Neurotic Guy

  • Tommy Heinsohn
  • *************************
  • Posts: 25541
  • Tommy Points: 2720
I know that using PER to measure performance is not perfect and that it mainly measures offensive performance.   However, I thought it would be interesting to look at and debate some of our current and past players as the season gets underway.  As a reminder, the league average is 15.

Horford - 26.84
Brown - 24.68
G. Williams - 22.92
R. Williams - 22.45
Tatum - 22.10
Fournier - 16.94
Schroder - 16.21
Hayward - 13.22
Walker - 11.58
Smart - 7.42

Slight correction:  Walker is 11.58 not 13.22

Walker is basically a (non prime) Lou Williams type role player at this point(10ppg, 2reb, 2ast), yet many still think that it was a mistake trading him away for Horford. Guess seeing is not always believing.

Statistically you are right, but from my eye test he's worse. Walker does not look like a starting point guard in the NBA anymore. I'm not even sure what he brings as a change of pace backup. Rose was able to transition to that, but most guards aren't.

Love the guy and I wish we could have had some UCONN moments in Boston, but he looks cooked to me.

It wasn't long ago that Kemba used go on head-shaking runs from long range -- hitting shot after unlikely shot.  Almost JT-like when he's bombing and swishing.  In addition, he was finding his way to the hoop and finishing -- with regularity.   Today's Kemba doesn't seem able to do these things.  And without those things, really -- what benefit does he provide to a basketball team?  OK passer, OK handle, defensive liability.   Doesn't seem to be a guy who is going to suddenly re-emerge as the player he once was.   

On the other hand, Horford looks pretty much like Horford.

Re: Early PER comparisons
« Reply #13 on: October 26, 2021, 06:27:20 PM »

Offline gouki88

  • NCE
  • Red Auerbach
  • *******************************
  • Posts: 31552
  • Tommy Points: 3142
  • 2019 & 2021 CS Historical Draft Champion
Don’t forget Aaron Nesmith’s negative 10.  I honestly didn’t know you could get that low.

(Don’t worry, Nesmith fans.  PER is troublesome at best, and it has huge issues with sample size.)
Wow! That's impressive. Kevin Knox is at -8.5 or something like that (4 minutes played total). He's my go-to for woefully inefficient wing play
'23 Historical Draft: Orlando Magic.

PG: Terry Porter (90-91) / Steve Francis (00-01)
SG: Joe Dumars (92-93) / Jeff Hornacek (91-92) / Jerry Stackhouse (00-01)
SF: Brandon Roy (08-09) / Walter Davis (78-79)
PF: Terry Cummings (84-85) / Paul Millsap (15-16)
C: Chris Webber (00-01) / Ralph Sampson (83-84) / Andrew Bogut (09-10)

Re: Early PER comparisons
« Reply #14 on: October 26, 2021, 06:30:56 PM »

Offline droopdog7

  • Tiny Archibald
  • *******
  • Posts: 7022
  • Tommy Points: 468
Don’t forget Aaron Nesmith’s negative 10.  I honestly didn’t know you could get that low.

(Don’t worry, Nesmith fans.  PER is troublesome at best, and it has huge issues with sample size.)
Wow! That's impressive. Kevin Knox is at -8.5 or something like that (4 minutes played total). He's my go-to for woefully inefficient wing play
Crazy how knox quickly went from prospect to dud.