I actually got an upset tonight. I think Dallas wins Game 2.
Dallas is just like the C's in that when there's some adversity, they are resilient and bounce back. Doncic leads the charge and I think he'll do the same tonight. I'd be shocked if Doncic had two rough games in a row
They are not like us- We got One Superstar- Tatum. One star brown- One 2 way beast in Smart- We are Far more Physical- and Our bigs are wayyy better.
I think defining what Dallas is is still very much TBD. Same for GSW. The thing with GSW is that they are not the team now that they were all season. They won 53 games, same as MIA, but are clearly better now than at any point in the season due to Thompson and Green being healthy. Dallas has pretty much the same personnel that they had all season but somehow found a way to beat PHO. They seemed to play better as the season went along and as the playoffs have gone on, but I am not sure I can explain why.
I don't think the point with Dallas is that they are the same as us in terms of matching personnel or roster or whatever. What is similar is that they seem to have the ability to play better than is expected. To be resilient, to respond to adversity. We shall see how well that resiliency holds up against GSW.
Dallas is not the same team they were in the beginning of the year. They are the same team from a lot of 2022 when they were the 2nd best team in basketball (only Phoenix was better, Dallas had the same losses and 1 more win than Boston). This idea that Dallas came out of nowhere isn't really born in reality. They have been on fire all of 2022, playing elite defense and with an uber-talent at the top.
I guess they had the Porzingis trade so the team did change along the way. But my main point is not that they have come out of nowhere but rather they seem to keep playing better and better as the season and playoffs have gone on. And if not out of nowhere, certainly out of the middle of the pack. But I am having a hard time gauging just how good they actually are. I look at the roster and don't see how they beat PHO but they did.
Usually in basketball, there is a clearer hierarchy of teams. It is pretty clear who the best teams, the title favorites are, certainly by this point. There are upsets along the way of course but in the end, the teams you expect to see in the finals tend to be the teams that make it to the finals.
This season, I don't know what to expect. I would not have expected any of the final 4 to have made it, even as deep into the season as say December. But here we are. I went back to the ESPN preseason power rankings. They had:
Miami #6
GSW #10
Dallas #11
Boston #13
On December 27, the power rankings were:
GSW #1
Miami #7
Boston #16
Dallas #17
So I am clearly not alone in being surprised by how these teams have done. None of these teams were expected to be in the final 4 at the start of the season and only 1 was trending that way at the end of December. And I am not sure how much consensus there was around GSW being the top team.
Boston and Dallas were not even ranked top 15 in December and they may meet in the finals. Teams come out of nowhere in baseball and win titles but I have not seen that very often in the NBA.