team is 5th or 6th in the East talent wise. Measure your expectations.
Eh ... really?
I guess Milwaukee has more talent just because of Giannis.
Brooklyn definitely has more talent.
Philly ... eh? Embiid is better than our best guys. Simmons is much worse. Tobias is better RIGHT NOW than Kemba, but is that a forever thing? The rest of that roster is not very talented. The Sixers have two things going for them -- their main guys have been healthy, and their supporting cast fits really well around their stars. Neither of those things have been true for the Celtics this year, but neither of those factors is about talent.
Miami? No, I don't think Miami is more talented. They're deeper and more balanced, but they've been struggling even harder than the Celts so far this season. As long as Jimmy Butler can't shoot and Tyler Herro is closer to a league average shooter than a very good one, the Heat aren't so scary.
Indiana? I love Sabonis as much as anyone, but no.
All of that said, at this point for a variety of reasons I am kind of expecting this season to end with a first round playoff loss against the Sixers, Bucks, or Nets because the Celts end up with the 5th or 6th seed.
Brooklyn and Milwaukee are without question better and more talented. Embiid is the best player on either team and that matters a lot. I wouldn't say Simmons is much worse than Brown, I think they are pretty similar players. Simmons is still an elite defender, rebounder, and passer. All great skills for your complimentary star to have. Harris has been playing great and the rest of the roster is finally constructed well. They have shooting, defense, and size. Very nice length, just a well constructed roster. Howard has been surprisingly good backing up Embiid as well.
Miami is 10-8 with Butler and 3-9 without him. They've played 6 straight games on the road against the West (with 1 game left on the trip) and are 3-3 in part because Butler has been out there. Miami is just a vastly different team with Butler than without him. They haven't even had Dragic for this West trip either so it isn't like they are full strength. And the thing is, Butler, Adebayo, and Dragic compare favorably with Tatum, Brown, and Walker (at least right now - given the age I'd take Boston's without much thought for the future), but the Heat are just a lot deeper with Herro, Nunn, Robinson, Olynyk, Iguodala, Achiuwa and that doesn't even account for guys like Bradley and Harkless on the deep bench. If the two teams met healthy in the playoffs, I'd expect Miami to win just as they did last year.
Indiana without LeVert and Warren is not better than Boston, but with those 2 it is a much more interesting discussion because that would make the Pacers so much deeper. I definitely think Tatum is the best player in that series, but it isn't like Sabonis or Brogdon aren't both very good players.