Author Topic: Grant Williams vs Draymond Green  (Read 14709 times)

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Re: Grant Williams vs Draymond Green
« Reply #45 on: October 26, 2019, 06:06:53 AM »

Offline Celtics4ever

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This is incorrect

Grant can jump higher than Draymond. Draymond has a longer wingspan

What is this based on  an eye test?   Because I used their draft metrics.  But this almost completely opposite of what is true and based in fact, sorry, with all due respect.  the different is not large but a few inches can ofted grasp a rebound in basketball.

Quote
This information gives teams a glimpse into a player’s versatility, especially as a defender. Wang uses the example of Draymond Green, a player that he worked with at the Warriors. At 6’7” he can play much bigger because of his large wingspan and reach—Green's 8’10" standing reach was greater than fellow 2011 Combine participants Drew Gordon

https://www.si.com/edge/2016/05/11/nba-draft-combine-results-measurements-vertical-jump-value


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                                height      height/shoes   Weight    Wingspan     Standing Reach     Vertical     Max Vertical
Draymond Green     6'5.75"    6'7.5"          235.6    7'1.25"          8'10"               28"          33"         
Grant Williams         6'5.75″    6'7.5"              240.6          6"9.75"         8' 8.5″                   26"          31.5"


https://www.nbadraft.net/2012-nba-combine-athleticism-results

https://www.nbadraft.net/2012-nba-combine-measurements

https://www.rockytopinsider.com/2019/05/20/how-vol-players-performed-at-2019-nba-draft-combine/

https://stats.nba.com/draft/combine-strength-agility/

Facts.

https://stats.nba.com/draft/combine-anthro/?sort=PLAYER_NAME&dir=-1&SeasonYear=2019-20

Metrics, don't always work in sports even though they are cold hard facts, to date, there is no metric for measuring effort or heart that a guy can play with and sometimes that can overcome metric deficits.  Basketball IQ is another area that we don't have precise measurements for.
« Last Edit: October 26, 2019, 06:24:01 AM by Celtics4ever »

Re: Grant Williams vs Draymond Green
« Reply #46 on: October 27, 2019, 11:22:15 AM »

Offline KG Living Legend

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Automatic TP to anybody that can find a closer statistical comparison to Grant Williams than Draymond Green.

How about someone who can alter this comparison.

Draymond vertical 28" Max 33" Standing reach  8'10" inches   

Williams vertical 26"  Max 31"   Standing reach  8'8.5" inches 

Grant is faster at springing more agile, he is also a lot stronger but he does not have the ability to play as vertical as Draymond.  Draymond can jump higher and has more reach and thus more vertical range in terms of defense by about 4 inches .

I hope he proves me wrong.

This is incorrect

Grant can jump higher than Draymond. Draymond has a longer wingspan

Both are good at getting a hand on the ball on the drive to basket defense and contesting shots.  Grant is a better shot blocker at the rim imo
???


 Where are you getting your information from TB?

 This is from NBA draft.net combine.

Green 28" standing vertical
Grant 26"

Draymond 33" max vertical
Grant 31.5" max

Draymond in fact jumped higher.

Re: Grant Williams vs Draymond Green
« Reply #47 on: October 27, 2019, 12:27:36 PM »

Offline Sophomore

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Grant opened my eyes a little with his two blocks at the rim last night and then converting an alley-oop from Jaylen. I don't know how his vertical compares to similarly-sized players, but at least here his timing and explosiveness were enough to make really nice plays in the context of a live game that was still competitive. Portis is a legit PF in height/reach.

Re: Grant Williams vs Draymond Green
« Reply #48 on: October 27, 2019, 12:36:15 PM »

Offline BitterJim

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Grant and Draymond may be a good comp on offense (though Grant still has a ways to go to get there), but I don't like the comp on the defensive end. Don't get me wrong, Grant is a good defender, but he doesn't seem to have the multiple-time DPOY ceiling of Green
I'm bitter.

Re: Grant Williams vs Draymond Green
« Reply #49 on: October 27, 2019, 12:49:52 PM »

Offline saltlover

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Grant and Draymond may be a good comp on offense (though Grant still has a ways to go to get there), but I don't like the comp on the defensive end. Don't get me wrong, Grant is a good defender, but he doesn't seem to have the multiple-time DPOY ceiling of Green

At the end of the day, it’s really difficult to project anyone who’s barely played in the NBA as a DPOY.  Certainly no one would have projected that for Draymond after his rookie year, and it’s not a big stretch to say that Grant at 21 is equal to or ahead of where a Draymond was at 22.  The thing that will define his ceiling will probably be best observed in his foul totals.  He’s a very physical and engaged defender, which puts him at risk of fouling when he gets beaten.  Draymond averaged 7.6 fouls per 100 in his rookie year and 6.4 his second year, compared to the 3.9-4.2 range for his best seasons.  Fouling was a problem Grant had at times in college, and through three games he’s at 6.8 per 100, which (small sample size of course) looks similar to the issues Draymond dealt with early in his career.  If he can bring that foul rate down while otherwise playing largely the same style, he might be able to reach similar value on defense to Draymond.

Re: Grant Williams vs Draymond Green
« Reply #50 on: October 27, 2019, 01:38:19 PM »

Offline keevsnick

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Grant and Draymond may be a good comp on offense (though Grant still has a ways to go to get there), but I don't like the comp on the defensive end. Don't get me wrong, Grant is a good defender, but he doesn't seem to have the multiple-time DPOY ceiling of Green

At the end of the day, it’s really difficult to project anyone who’s barely played in the NBA as a DPOY.  Certainly no one would have projected that for Draymond after his rookie year, and it’s not a big stretch to say that Grant at 21 is equal to or ahead of where a Draymond was at 22.  The thing that will define his ceiling will probably be best observed in his foul totals.  He’s a very physical and engaged defender, which puts him at risk of fouling when he gets beaten.  Draymond averaged 7.6 fouls per 100 in his rookie year and 6.4 his second year, compared to the 3.9-4.2 range for his best seasons.  Fouling was a problem Grant had at times in college, and through three games he’s at 6.8 per 100, which (small sample size of course) looks similar to the issues Draymond dealt with early in his career.  If he can bring that foul rate down while otherwise playing largely the same style, he might be able to reach similar value on defense to Draymond.

To me there is almost no chance Grant reaches Draymond's level defensively. Draymond has one of the highest defensive basketball IQ's ever, even if you think Grant's is very advanced thats a high bar. Draymond is also significantly longer than Williams.

Draymond comparisons are almost as annoying to me as Durant comparisons. Those guys are freaks in terms of wingspan/basketball IQ. Theres a reason they are DPOY/MVP candidates every year.

Re: Grant Williams vs Draymond Green
« Reply #51 on: October 27, 2019, 01:40:23 PM »

Offline Ogaju

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Grant and Draymond may be a good comp on offense (though Grant still has a ways to go to get there), but I don't like the comp on the defensive end. Don't get me wrong, Grant is a good defender, but he doesn't seem to have the multiple-time DPOY ceiling of Green

At the end of the day, it’s really difficult to project anyone who’s barely played in the NBA as a DPOY.  Certainly no one would have projected that for Draymond after his rookie year, and it’s not a big stretch to say that Grant at 21 is equal to or ahead of where a Draymond was at 22.  The thing that will define his ceiling will probably be best observed in his foul totals.  He’s a very physical and engaged defender, which puts him at risk of fouling when he gets beaten.  Draymond averaged 7.6 fouls per 100 in his rookie year and 6.4 his second year, compared to the 3.9-4.2 range for his best seasons.  Fouling was a problem Grant had at times in college, and through three games he’s at 6.8 per 100, which (small sample size of course) looks similar to the issues Draymond dealt with early in his career.  If he can bring that foul rate down while otherwise playing largely the same style, he might be able to reach similar value on defense to Draymond.

To me there is almost no chance Grant reaches Draymond's level defensively. Draymond has one of the highest defensive basketball IQ's ever, even if you think Grant's is very advanced thats a high bar. Draymond is also significantly longer than Williams.

Draymond comparisons are almost as annoying to me as Durant comparisons. Those guys are freaks in terms of wingspan/basketball IQ. Theres a reason they are DPOY/MVP candidates every year.

I do not see where the Draymond Green comparisons come from at all. Totally different players.

Re: Grant Williams vs Draymond Green
« Reply #52 on: October 27, 2019, 01:42:55 PM »

Offline keevsnick

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Grant and Draymond may be a good comp on offense (though Grant still has a ways to go to get there), but I don't like the comp on the defensive end. Don't get me wrong, Grant is a good defender, but he doesn't seem to have the multiple-time DPOY ceiling of Green

At the end of the day, it’s really difficult to project anyone who’s barely played in the NBA as a DPOY.  Certainly no one would have projected that for Draymond after his rookie year, and it’s not a big stretch to say that Grant at 21 is equal to or ahead of where a Draymond was at 22.  The thing that will define his ceiling will probably be best observed in his foul totals.  He’s a very physical and engaged defender, which puts him at risk of fouling when he gets beaten.  Draymond averaged 7.6 fouls per 100 in his rookie year and 6.4 his second year, compared to the 3.9-4.2 range for his best seasons.  Fouling was a problem Grant had at times in college, and through three games he’s at 6.8 per 100, which (small sample size of course) looks similar to the issues Draymond dealt with early in his career.  If he can bring that foul rate down while otherwise playing largely the same style, he might be able to reach similar value on defense to Draymond.

To me there is almost no chance Grant reaches Draymond's level defensively. Draymond has one of the highest defensive basketball IQ's ever, even if you think Grant's is very advanced thats a high bar. Draymond is also significantly longer than Williams.

Draymond comparisons are almost as annoying to me as Durant comparisons. Those guys are freaks in terms of wingspan/basketball IQ. Theres a reason they are DPOY/MVP candidates every year.

I do not see where the Draymond Green comparisons come from at all. Totally different players.
Oh don't get me wrong I get where they come from. Both are very smart guys. Both are very strong. Both are undersize PF's with some nice passing ability. Its just so much of Draymond's value is his immense defensive impact and I don't think grant at his peak will be that kid of player. Its a tough ask for any rookie.

Re: Grant Williams vs Draymond Green
« Reply #53 on: October 27, 2019, 02:03:49 PM »

Offline Ogaju

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Grant and Draymond may be a good comp on offense (though Grant still has a ways to go to get there), but I don't like the comp on the defensive end. Don't get me wrong, Grant is a good defender, but he doesn't seem to have the multiple-time DPOY ceiling of Green

At the end of the day, it’s really difficult to project anyone who’s barely played in the NBA as a DPOY.  Certainly no one would have projected that for Draymond after his rookie year, and it’s not a big stretch to say that Grant at 21 is equal to or ahead of where a Draymond was at 22.  The thing that will define his ceiling will probably be best observed in his foul totals.  He’s a very physical and engaged defender, which puts him at risk of fouling when he gets beaten.  Draymond averaged 7.6 fouls per 100 in his rookie year and 6.4 his second year, compared to the 3.9-4.2 range for his best seasons.  Fouling was a problem Grant had at times in college, and through three games he’s at 6.8 per 100, which (small sample size of course) looks similar to the issues Draymond dealt with early in his career.  If he can bring that foul rate down while otherwise playing largely the same style, he might be able to reach similar value on defense to Draymond.

To me there is almost no chance Grant reaches Draymond's level defensively. Draymond has one of the highest defensive basketball IQ's ever, even if you think Grant's is very advanced thats a high bar. Draymond is also significantly longer than Williams.

Draymond comparisons are almost as annoying to me as Durant comparisons. Those guys are freaks in terms of wingspan/basketball IQ. Theres a reason they are DPOY/MVP candidates every year.

I do not see where the Draymond Green comparisons come from at all. Totally different players.
Oh don't get me wrong I get where they come from. Both are very smart guys. Both are very strong. Both are undersize PF's with some nice passing ability. Its just so much of Draymond's value is his immense defensive impact and I don't think grant at his peak will be that kid of player. Its a tough ask for any rookie.

I do not see it. Draymond has one of the highest motors in the game. He plays more on the perimeter and rim runs. Enough of you think they are similar though. I dont. There are a number of cerebral hard working players that GW's style fits more.
« Last Edit: October 27, 2019, 08:28:41 PM by Ogaju »

Re: Grant Williams vs Draymond Green
« Reply #54 on: October 27, 2019, 02:06:05 PM »

Offline Who

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Boris Diaw as a lesser version of Draymond Green.

Still think Diaw feels closer to Grant Williams than Green. Even then, Diaw had a bit more athleticism when he was younger and better ball-handling skills.

Re: Grant Williams vs Draymond Green
« Reply #55 on: October 27, 2019, 03:56:52 PM »

Offline saltlover

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Grant and Draymond may be a good comp on offense (though Grant still has a ways to go to get there), but I don't like the comp on the defensive end. Don't get me wrong, Grant is a good defender, but he doesn't seem to have the multiple-time DPOY ceiling of Green

At the end of the day, it’s really difficult to project anyone who’s barely played in the NBA as a DPOY.  Certainly no one would have projected that for Draymond after his rookie year, and it’s not a big stretch to say that Grant at 21 is equal to or ahead of where a Draymond was at 22.  The thing that will define his ceiling will probably be best observed in his foul totals.  He’s a very physical and engaged defender, which puts him at risk of fouling when he gets beaten.  Draymond averaged 7.6 fouls per 100 in his rookie year and 6.4 his second year, compared to the 3.9-4.2 range for his best seasons.  Fouling was a problem Grant had at times in college, and through three games he’s at 6.8 per 100, which (small sample size of course) looks similar to the issues Draymond dealt with early in his career.  If he can bring that foul rate down while otherwise playing largely the same style, he might be able to reach similar value on defense to Draymond.

To me there is almost no chance Grant reaches Draymond's level defensively. Draymond has one of the highest defensive basketball IQ's ever, even if you think Grant's is very advanced thats a high bar. Draymond is also significantly longer than Williams.

Draymond comparisons are almost as annoying to me as Durant comparisons. Those guys are freaks in terms of wingspan/basketball IQ. Theres a reason they are DPOY/MVP candidates every year.

Ultimately BBIQ is unquantifiable, so there’s really no good way to have a debate with any agreeable metrics.  All I will say is that Grant looks ahead of where Draymond was at similar ages.  For one, he is in the NBA 20 months younger.  Two, he seems to be more effective than Draymond was in his rookie year — again, only 3 games in and that can change, but Green didn’t even become a member of the rotation until mid-November.  Three, I think one stat that can show a hint of defensive BBIQ is offensive fouls drawn.  You’re more likely to get those if, as a defender, you’ve anticipated where the offensive player is going and gotten there first.  As a rookie, Draymond drew a respectable 7 in a little over 1000 minutes on the court.  Through his first three games, Grant already has 3.

Again, BBIQ is virtually unquantifiable, and it’s very possible that Draymond and Grant have/had different trajectories in terms of the development of this skill.  But Grant’s already displayed a rare ability, and it would not be impossible for him to be near Draymond’s equal.

Re: Grant Williams vs Draymond Green
« Reply #56 on: October 27, 2019, 04:04:51 PM »

Offline keevsnick

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Grant and Draymond may be a good comp on offense (though Grant still has a ways to go to get there), but I don't like the comp on the defensive end. Don't get me wrong, Grant is a good defender, but he doesn't seem to have the multiple-time DPOY ceiling of Green

At the end of the day, it’s really difficult to project anyone who’s barely played in the NBA as a DPOY.  Certainly no one would have projected that for Draymond after his rookie year, and it’s not a big stretch to say that Grant at 21 is equal to or ahead of where a Draymond was at 22.  The thing that will define his ceiling will probably be best observed in his foul totals.  He’s a very physical and engaged defender, which puts him at risk of fouling when he gets beaten.  Draymond averaged 7.6 fouls per 100 in his rookie year and 6.4 his second year, compared to the 3.9-4.2 range for his best seasons.  Fouling was a problem Grant had at times in college, and through three games he’s at 6.8 per 100, which (small sample size of course) looks similar to the issues Draymond dealt with early in his career.  If he can bring that foul rate down while otherwise playing largely the same style, he might be able to reach similar value on defense to Draymond.

To me there is almost no chance Grant reaches Draymond's level defensively. Draymond has one of the highest defensive basketball IQ's ever, even if you think Grant's is very advanced thats a high bar. Draymond is also significantly longer than Williams.

Draymond comparisons are almost as annoying to me as Durant comparisons. Those guys are freaks in terms of wingspan/basketball IQ. Theres a reason they are DPOY/MVP candidates every year.

Ultimately BBIQ is unquantifiable, so there’s really no good way to have a debate with any agreeable metrics.  All I will say is that Grant looks ahead of where Draymond was at similar ages.  For one, he is in the NBA 20 months younger.  Two, he seems to be more effective than Draymond was in his rookie year — again, only 3 games in and that can change, but Green didn’t even become a member of the rotation until mid-November.  Three, I think one stat that can show a hint of defensive BBIQ is offensive fouls drawn.  You’re more likely to get those if, as a defender, you’ve anticipated where the offensive player is going and gotten there first.  As a rookie, Draymond drew a respectable 7 in a little over 1000 minutes on the court.  Through his first three games, Grant already has 3.

Again, BBIQ is virtually unquantifiable, and it’s very possible that Draymond and Grant have/had different trajectories in terms of the development of this skill.  But Grant’s already displayed a rare ability, and it would not be impossible for him to be near Draymond’s equal.

Oh for sure its not impossible, but any player reaching the absolute pinnacle of a skill set is exceedingly unlikely. I get the argument about G Williams maybe being comparable or better to where Draymond was year  one, but to each DPOY levels requires SOOOOO much improvement that I really dont think where G Williams is after three games has much predictive power over the long term. As we have been reminded time and time again, development is not linear. Guys like Draymond are outliers because they improve by orders of a magnitude, not because they were already elite in their rookie year.  And in this case I think there are physical limitations which probably cap G Williams at a level a little lower than Draymond even if everything breaks right.

But I could certainly be wrong. I would settle for a PJ tucker type impact.

Re: Grant Williams vs Draymond Green
« Reply #57 on: October 27, 2019, 04:10:43 PM »

Offline Wretch

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I think we are getting ahead of ourselves. I'm a GW fan and I think we need to back off the player comparisons.  Hell when I was 21 I was 6-1 200 lbs and could dunk but just because I shared a physical profile with Carson Edwards doesn't mean I missed my shot in the NBA.  So much more than height, weight, wingspan and jumping ability is required to be an NBA players let alone a potential HoFer like DG.

Let Grant be the first Grant Williams and not create an unrealistic expectation of being the next DG.

Re: Grant Williams vs Draymond Green
« Reply #58 on: October 27, 2019, 04:23:44 PM »

Offline Ogaju

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I think we are getting ahead of ourselves. I'm a GW fan and I think we need to back off the player comparisons.  Hell when I was 21 I was 6-1 200 lbs and could dunk but just because I shared a physical profile with Carson Edwards doesn't mean I missed my shot in the NBA.  So much more than height, weight, wingspan and jumping ability is required to be an NBA players let alone a potential HoFer like DG.

Let Grant be the first Grant Williams and not create an unrealistic expectation of being the next DG.

Good post, TP. His game in now way resembles the high motor game of Draymond Green. I see him play and there is no way I am thinking WOW he plays like Draymond Green.

Re: Grant Williams vs Draymond Green
« Reply #59 on: October 27, 2019, 04:55:26 PM »

Offline hwangjini_1

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Grant and Draymond may be a good comp on offense (though Grant still has a ways to go to get there), but I don't like the comp on the defensive end. Don't get me wrong, Grant is a good defender, but he doesn't seem to have the multiple-time DPOY ceiling of Green

At the end of the day, it’s really difficult to project anyone who’s barely played in the NBA as a DPOY.  Certainly no one would have projected that for Draymond after his rookie year, and it’s not a big stretch to say that Grant at 21 is equal to or ahead of where a Draymond was at 22.  The thing that will define his ceiling will probably be best observed in his foul totals.  He’s a very physical and engaged defender, which puts him at risk of fouling when he gets beaten.  Draymond averaged 7.6 fouls per 100 in his rookie year and 6.4 his second year, compared to the 3.9-4.2 range for his best seasons.  Fouling was a problem Grant had at times in college, and through three games he’s at 6.8 per 100, which (small sample size of course) looks similar to the issues Draymond dealt with early in his career.  If he can bring that foul rate down while otherwise playing largely the same style, he might be able to reach similar value on defense to Draymond.

To me there is almost no chance Grant reaches Draymond's level defensively. Draymond has one of the highest defensive basketball IQ's ever, even if you think Grant's is very advanced thats a high bar. Draymond is also significantly longer than Williams.

Draymond comparisons are almost as annoying to me as Durant comparisons. Those guys are freaks in terms of wingspan/basketball IQ. Theres a reason they are DPOY/MVP candidates every year.

Ultimately BBIQ is unquantifiable, so there’s really no good way to have a debate with any agreeable metrics.  All I will say is that Grant looks ahead of where Draymond was at similar ages.  For one, he is in the NBA 20 months younger.  Two, he seems to be more effective than Draymond was in his rookie year — again, only 3 games in and that can change, but Green didn’t even become a member of the rotation until mid-November.  Three, I think one stat that can show a hint of defensive BBIQ is offensive fouls drawn.  You’re more likely to get those if, as a defender, you’ve anticipated where the offensive player is going and gotten there first.  As a rookie, Draymond drew a respectable 7 in a little over 1000 minutes on the court.  Through his first three games, Grant already has 3.

Again, BBIQ is virtually unquantifiable, and it’s very possible that Draymond and Grant have/had different trajectories in terms of the development of this skill.  But Grant’s already displayed a rare ability, and it would not be impossible for him to be near Draymond’s equal.
let's pick some nits. first, your two bolded statements contradict one another by their premises concerning whether something can be quantified. the first declares it cannot. the second implies it is nearly impossible, or at least exceedingly difficult. these are not the same and the difference between "possible" and "impossible" is significant  ;D

next, before we can say whether something can be quantified, we are obliged to FIRST DEFINE the concept. that has not been done here, has it?.

if BBIQ is rendered as a collection of quantifiable categories, such as "number of successful picks + passes - turnovers," then yes, it is indeed quantifiable. but, if your definition is vague, or imprecise, includes non-quantifiable concepts, or is rooted in subjectivity then it becomes unquantifiable.

next, even if the definition can be quantified since it is clearly defined, is the resulting data of any real usefullness? for example, a brilliant and humorous article once spoke of how to quantify holes. first, theorize what is a hole. is something this is NOT there? or is a hole something that is there?  ;D

next, having done this we can quantify holes. for example, warfare greatly increases the number of holes. true, but ultimately who gives a crap?

back to BBIQ, add to the above whether all parties share this identical definition for BBIQ. if different parties have different definitions then conversation becomes very difficult as one side talks past the other, even though identical words (but not definitions) are being invoked by each party.

sigh, sigh, sigh...such complications that can flow out of poorly built foundations.  ;D
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