I expect the current Celtics may do better during the regular season against teams like Dallas, Atlanta, San Antonio, Chicago, Memphis, Clippers and even Indiana or Miami, than younger teams like Golden State, Washington, MInnesota or New Orleans, who can match our energy/depth with their own.
Then of course things change in the playoffs, which brings me to the question of how Brad Stevens will use depth in the playoffs.
This is the thing that sticks out in my mind. We've seen in recent seasons that young teams with depth can punch above their weight in the regular season, especially if they are well coached. The Nuggets are the most prominent example of that, followed by the Sixers.
Those teams typically are much less competitive in the playoffs, however.
I think that may be the biggest challenge for Brad Stevens; he's already shown that he can translate the success he had in college with making underdog teams more competitive than expected -- in the regular season. But I'm not sure that it can work in the playoffs, when rotations tighten up and the more experienced, more talented teams typically step it up a level or three.
So the concern is that the Celtics regularly punch above their weight in the regular season but have trouble putting together the pieces to make a really good playoff team, in part because they win more games in the regular season.
The biggest difference between the Celtics and the Nuggets, however, is that they play a slow pace and emphasize defense, which is the opposite of what the Nuggets do. Playing a slow, defensive style definitely correlates with greater post-season success.
I don't think a good defensive team has to play at a slow pace offensively. I do think, however, that good defensive teams will by nature of playing good D and forcing the opposition to take time off the shot clock end up having a slower
pace as measured as an estimate of possessions per 48 minutes.
I have read quotes where Stevens has said he would like this to be an up-tempo team. Granted, those were earlier in the season, and he could have changed his mind. He's certainly shown that he's flexible.
I do think, though, that running is a good idea for this team, particularly once Rondo returns. I have always seen Rondo as being in the slightly unfortunate (for the fans) position of being an up-tempo offensive point guard, playing in a not so up-tempo style.
We'll see what happens once Rondo returns. I like transition buckets, but I agree that it can be a risky way to play.