Recent Posts

Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 10
1
Transaction Ideas and Rumors / Re: Would you trade this for Myles Turner
« Last post by ozgod on Today at 01:47:18 AM »
....

We might be better off trading Hauser and a second for Day'ron Sharpe and Noah Clowney to bolster our depth in bigs behind Queta, and then move Simons for a two way wing that can fit into the Zinger TPE which is $22m, then we can carry Simons's TPE into next season. The emergence of Walsh and Minott has made me wonder if Hauser and his $10m are expendable to fetch us better backup bigs.

Whats the fascination with Dayron Sharpe lately? The guys just not that good. Id rather have Hauser who has become a very formidable 2 way player.

I don't get it either.

Has the guy massively improved in the last year or so? Because the guy I remember was a below average backup center. Limited on both ends of the court.

I don't understand this idea of trying for a budget option bench center. Like that is how far away the team is from winning a championship. We are so good all we need is a passable bench piece.

I also do not understand the reluctance to pay guys what they are worth. Fair enough to be concerned about a contract if it is a bad deal that you won't be able to move. But Myles Turner + Nic Claxton are both on solid contracts. If you want to trade them, you can move them. Not only can you move them but you will get value in return for them. They are assets. Not liabilities. They are worth their contracts. I have no understanding of this refusal to pay good players fair money. If they are worth it, pay them.

I guess the question is, are they worth it? And is the contract really movable? Because when you look at advanced metrics, there are other, younger, players doing what they are doing for much less. Kind of like Queta and Kornet were, when we signed them.  And if we in our lounge rooms can access that type of data I'm sure that every front office in the league can, and probably has access to much more. Of course, for every Queta or Kornet there's a Tillman where it doesn't work out.

I'm not attached to Sharpe by any means, I used him as an example of what could be a better value option than Turner. Here is Sharpe's advanced metrics from Cleaning the Glass (I have a sub and am choosing to share the information and providing credit to them).

Offensive (orange is 50th %ile or above for their position, blue is under 50th %ile).
(click to enlarge)


Sharpe is in the top 26% of all bigs in terms of his points per shot attempt (128.6), top 13% in assist % (18.5% of all teammate made shots that he assisted on), and his assist to usage ratio where he is in the top 17% of bigs with an assist to usage ratio of 0.95. The big flaw (and there's always a flaw especially at this price point) is his turnover %, where he ranks in the bottom 5% of bigs, turning the ball over 1 in every 4 times when using a possession.

If you compare with Claxton, he compares favorably, his PSA is higher, but Claxton is much better at taking care of the ball.

Then you look at his defensive metrics:

(click to enlarge)


Again Claxton and Sharpe's metrics are similar, Claxton ranks higher in blocks, Sharpe higher in steals, Sharpe ranks higher in offensive and defensive rebounds (he's in the 80th percentile at least in both metrics, as well as offensive rebounding of free throws, while Claxton is better at staying out of foul trouble.

Then we factor in their contracts:

Claxton: in 2nd year 4y/$97m contract ending in 2027-28 - https://www.spotrac.com/nba/player/_/id/31590/nicolas-claxton
Sharpe: in 1st year of a 2y/$12.5m contract with a club option for next year - https://www.spotrac.com/nba/player/_/id/74136/dayron-sharpe
Data from www.spotrac.com where I also have a sub  ;D

I'm not going to die on the Day'ron Sharpe hill, but I would argue that he represents better value in terms of his production than either Claxton or Turner. The two glaring issues are the turnovers and the fouling, which is probably what is holding him back. Are those fixable? I don't know enough to say. But I would offer that that is why his name keeps getting brought up.

That being said, looking at his shooting tendencies, he seems to be very similar to Queta. He's a rim roller and dunker spot guy. He doesn't shoot from the midrange, he doesn't stretch the floor. Joe seems to like different tools in the toolkit when it comes to his bigs to force the opposition to adapt to different looks. Sharpe is a little bit too similar to Queta, in that he would just be Queta V2. He might have been someone they signed before they saw what Queta has done so far.

(click to enlarge)


As for whether Myles Turner's contract is tradeable, I wonder about that, given that Indy refused to extend him and Milwaukee was the only one willing to pay him because they needed to show Giannis they were doing everything they could to build a team around him. And given his mediocre numbers this year, he's not doing his trade value any good. But @Vermont Green said, if it became a zero-sum game where we had to get rid of Simons, we had no takers except Milwaukee, would we take on Myles's contract? Probably. But I don't think he would move the needle for us.
2
Patriots / Football / Re: NFL 2025-26 Season
« Last post by SparzWizard on Yesterday at 11:54:58 PM »
Seahawks are dangerous.

38-37 final OT. Seattle goes for 2 to win the game in OT.

For now, Seattle is the #1 seed and also clinches playoff berth.
3
Patriots / Football / Re: NFL 2025-26 Season
« Last post by SparzWizard on Yesterday at 11:27:51 PM »
Rams/Seahawks game tonight pretty good. 30-30 game.

Crazy Seahawks 2-point conversion that counted to tie the game
4
Game Threads / Re: Heat (14-12) at Celtics (15-11) Game #27 12/19/25
« Last post by slamtheking on Yesterday at 10:39:57 PM »
TP for another great game thread FL.  beat the heat
5
Games / Gambling / Fantasy Sports / Re: Basketball Card Collectors
« Last post by DefenseWinsChamps on Yesterday at 10:38:32 PM »
Purchased Derrick White and Al Horford autograph card for my son for Christmas. I also grabbed a few new Topps packs for the girls and him and a box for him. Hopefully we get some good stuff.
6
Game Threads / Re: Heat (14-12) at Celtics (15-11) Game #27 12/19/25
« Last post by FLCeltsFan on Yesterday at 10:33:44 PM »
TP to  SparzWizard    for being the first to post in the game thread!!!!!!!!!!

GOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO Celtics!!!!!

Beat the Heat!!!!!!!!!!!
7
Game Threads / Re: Heat (14-12) at Celtics (15-11) Game #27 12/19/25
« Last post by SparzWizard on Yesterday at 10:32:37 PM »
Lets go C's!!
8
Game Threads / Heat (14-12) at Celtics (15-11) Game #27 12/19/25
« Last post by FLCeltsFan on Yesterday at 10:28:09 PM »
  at 
Miami Heat (14-12) at Boston Celtics (15-11) 
Friday, December 19,  2025
7:00 PM ET
Regular Season Game #27  Home Game #14
TV:  NBCSB,  FDSN Sun, NBA-LP
Radio: 98.5 Sports Hub, WQAM 104.3 FM, Sirius XM
TD Garden



Probable Celtics Starters
PG SG SFPF C
PG:  Derrick White
SG:  Payton Pritchard
SF:  Jaylen Brown
PF:  Jordan Walsh
C:   Neemias Queta

Boston Celtics Reserves
Anfernee Simons
Josh Minott
Xavier Tillman
Sam Hauser
Hugo Gonzalez
Baylon Scheierman
Chris Boucher

2-Way Players

Ron Harper, Jr
Max Shulga
Amari Williams

Injuries/Out

Jayson Tatum (Achilles) out
Josh Minott (back) probable
Sam Hauser (ankle) probable

Head Coach
Joe Mazzulla 

Probable Heat Starters
PGSGSFPFC
PG:   Davion Mitchell
SG:   Norman Powell
SF:    Andrew Wiggins
PF:    Bam Adebayo
C:     Kel'el Ware

Miami Heat Reserves
Kasparas Jakucionis
Jaime Jaquez, Jr
Keshad Johnson
Dru Smith
Kel'el Ware

2-Way Players

Myron Gardner
Vladislav Goldin
Jahmir Young

Injuries/Out

Tyler Herro (toe) questionable
Pelle Larsson (ankle) doubtful
Niola Jovic (elbow)  out
Terry Rozier III (not injury related) out

Head Coach
Erik Spoelstra

Game Notes
The Celtics host the Miami Heat for the first of 4 games between them this season.  They will meet again in Boston on February 6 and will play two more times in Miami on January 15 and April 1.    The Celtics won the series 3-1 last season.  They won the two games played in Miami and won one and lost one in Boston.  The Celtics are 86-54 overall all time against the Heat.  They are 42-30 all time in games played in Miami. 

The Heat are playing on the second night of back to back games after playing in Toronto on Thursday.  The Heat are 3-1 in the second of back to back games so far this season.  The Celtics have not played since Monday and have struggled in their last 2 games that came after 4 days rest. This is the first of back to back games for the Celtics as they play in Toronto on Saturday.  They are 1-3 so far in the first of back to back games. 

The Heat made several changes since last season.  They drafted Kasparas Jakucionis with the 20th pick in the first round.  They did a sign and trade of Duncan Robinson to Detroit in return for Simone Fontechhio.  They also received Norman Powell in a 3 way trade that sent Kyle Anderson and Kevin Love to Utah.  Davion Mitchell, who was traded to Miami in February resigned for another 2 years. 

The Celtics are 4th in the East, 4 games behind 2nd place New York and 6 games behind first place Detroit. They are half a game behind 3rd place Toronto.  They are tied with 5th place Orlando. They are half a  game ahead of 6th place Philadelphia and 7th place Miami. They are 1 game ahead of  8th place Cleveland and 9th place Atlanta. The Celtics are 8-5 at home. They are 11-8 against Eastern Conference opponents and 7-3 in their last 10 games. They have lost their last 2 games.

The Heat are 7th in the East, 4.5 games behind 2nd place New York, 1 game behind 3rd place Toronto and half a game behind 4th place Boston and 5th place Orlando.  They are tied with 6th place Philadelphia and half a game ahead of 8th place Cleveland and 9th place Atlanta.  They are 9-7 against Eastern Conference opponents and 5-8 on the road.  They are 4-6 in their last 10 games and won their last game after losing their previous 5 games.

After this game at home against the Miami, play at Toronto, the Celtics will host Indiana and then head out on a 5 game road trip through Indiana, Portland, Utah, Sacramento and the LA Clippers. Next they have a 4 game home stand where they host Chicago, Denver, Toronto, and San Antonio before a 4 game road trip through Indiana, Miami, Atlanta and the final game at Detroit. 

The Heat are playing in the 2nd game of a 3 game road trip.  They will finish the trip at New York.  Then they play home vs Toronto and on the road at Atlanta before playing at home against Indiana and Denver.  Then at Detroit and home again vs Minnesota and New Orleans.  Then it's a 4 game road trip through Minnesota, Chicago, Indiana and Oklahoma City.  They then return home to host Phoenix and Boston. 

Jayson Tatum remains out for the Celtics as he continues to rehab from the Achilles tear he suffered in last year's playoffs.  Sam Hauser left Monday's game with a sprained ankle and is listed as probable for this game.  Josh Minott is managing lower-back spasms and is also probable for this game.  Both Hauser and Minott will be a game time decision. 

For the Heat, Terry Rozier III is out as he awaits the results of the investigation into the illegal betting scandal.  Pelle Larsson is doubtful after Larsson sprained his ankle back on Dec. 10 and has yet to return to practice.  Nikola Jovic is out due to a right elbow contusion.  Tyler Herro is questionable due to a right toe contusion.  He has missed the last 2 games and is a game time decision for this game.  I've listed the same starting lineup that they used on Thursday.  If Herro can return, they will likely start Mitchell, Herro, Powell, Wiggins and Adebayo. 

Key Matchups
vs
Payton Pritchard vs Norman Powell
Powell is averaging 24.4 points, 3.7 rebounds, 2.5 assists and 1.1 steals per game.  He is shooting 49.3% from the field and 42.9% from beyond the arc.  The Celtics need to defend him well as he is the Heat's high scorer and can put up a lot of points.  If Herro can play, then he would start here and is averaging 23.2 points, and shooting 50.5% from the field and 40.5% on 3's.  Whoever starts here, it will be key to slow them down. 

vs
Jordan Walsh vs Bam Adebayo
Adebayo is averaging 19.2 points, 9.0 rebounds, 2.5 assists and 1.0 steals per game.  He is shooting 48.1% from the field and 34.3% from beyond the arc.  The Celtics need to keep him off the boards as he is capable of pulling down double figures in rebounds and they need to defend him both in the paint and on the perimeter.

Honorable Mention

Neemias Queta vs Kel'el Ware
Ware is averaging 11.1 points, 10.2 rebounds, and 1.4 blocks per game.  He is shooting 53.3% from the field and 40.7% from beyond the arc.  He is dangerous in the paint to block shots and to grab rebounds.  He is also a good 3 point shooter and so the Celtics have to stay with him both in the paint and on the perimeter. 

Keys to the Game
Defense - Defense will always be the biggest key to winning every single game.   The Celtics are 18th with a defensive rating of 115.1.  The Heat are 4th with a defensive rating of 111.8.   The Celtics need to defend the perimeter since the Heat attempt 36.7 threes a game and shoot threes better than the Celtics at 36.7%. They also have to defend the paint as the Heat are 3rd with 56.2 points in the paint per game.  The Celtics need to work harder than the Heat on defense and make that their priority.

Rebound - Along with defense, rebounding is always a key to winning.  As Pat Riley once said "No rebounds, no rings."  The Celtics average 43.4 rebounds per game (19th) while the Heat average 45.4 rebounds per game (8th).  The Celtics are 10-4 when they out-rebound opponents and just 5-7 when out-rebounded.  It takes effort and hustle to get rebounds and the Celtics need to give more effort than the Heat to grab rebounds if they want to win this game.

Reserve Contributions
- Against the Pistons, the Celtics starters out-scored the Pistons starters 91-75.   But the Celtics reserves were out-scored 47-14.  The Celtics have to get more from their reserves.  The starters can only do so much if they don't get help on offense from their bench.  The Celtics got 65 points from just Brown and White and they could use more scoring from Pritchard, Walsh and Queta as well.  The Heat have one of the best benches in the league and the Celtics need to get more from theirs. 

Effort and Focus for 48 Minutes- The Celtics have to play with extra effort overall for all 4 quarters. In most of their losses and even in their wins,  they have allowed their opponents to play with more energy than them for periods of time during the game. They play well for stretches but let up and allow their opponents to surge ahead.  Against the Bucks, the Celtics shot 52.4% from the field and 47.8% from 3 in the first half but just 26.1%from the field and 11.5% (3-26) from 3 in the second half.  Against the Pistons, the Celtics shot 52.4% from the field and 26.3% from 3 in the first half but just 40% from the field and 25% from 3 in the second half.  They also struggled from the free throw line.   They have to stay focused for all 48 minutes and be ready for their opponents to play harder in the second half and they need to match that effort and if the 3's aren't falling, get into the paint. 

X-Factors
Home Game and Fatigue vs Rust - The Celtics are at home and will have the crowd behind them to give them extra motivaton.  The Heat will be playing in front of a hostile crowd and in an unfamiliar arena.  The Celtics have not played since Monday while the Heat are playing on the second night of back to back games.  Will the Celtics show rust because of being off or will the Heat be fatigued from playing 2 nights in a row? 

Officiating - Officiating is always an x-factor in every game. Every crew officiates differently. Some call it tight, others let them play. The Celtics need to adjust to how the refs are calling the game and not allow bad calls or no calls to take away their focus from playing the game.  The more aggressive team will usually get the benefit of the calls and so the Celtics need to be the more aggressive team.   
9
Celtics Talk / Re: Celtics News
« Last post by SparzWizard on Yesterday at 09:56:46 PM »
NBA Courtside: He told me he?s coming back this season. @ChrisBHaynes on Jayson Tatum chances to play this season.

Certainly has felt trending this way.

So, as it's becoming more real - does anyone see this team as an EC contender?  A championship contender...
with JT at 95% by playoff time?
With JT at 95% and a new Center -  Zubac?  Claxton?  Turner?   Someone else?
With JT, new center, and.... ?

If it's just Tatum coming back, I think the C's would be a second-round exit.

If we have Tatum and an upgraded Center then I think they'd be an ECF exit.

But ofc that's assuming the 3's are falling becuz if they're clanking all night long and no adjustments then that'll be another second round exit, like last year.
10
Around the NBA / Re: Report: LaMelo Wants Out
« Last post by hwangjini_1 on Yesterday at 08:28:31 PM »
Simons, Hauser, 2 firsts, and 2 swaps
gross overpay
To be fair, the swaps probably wouldn't convert into high picks for Charlotte.
probably not but even without them, still wouldn't give up 2 firsts for Ball.  The thing with the swaps is also that they'd be out in the future and no one knows how these teams will be at that point.  Charlotte may be on the upswing and the C's on the downswing. 

Example, I was against adding the swap in the trade for White for that very reason.  looking at how SA is doing and expects to improve next year and with the C's uncertainty with Tatum, we could very well be losing draft position in that draft to SA.

That's the '28 draft and I'd love to dump that pick - it's a bit of a stressor thinking about things falling apart in 27-28 and then swapping that pick with a 60-win SA.  Of course that's a pessimist's view, but it's possible.
perhaps. but the celtics would still have the nba championship trophy they won with white on the team.
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 10