Let me make sure I understand - To guarantee a lottery spot, the Celts would have to finish outside the top 10 in the East. Correct ?

If we finished 9th or 10th and lost our play-in, would we be placed in the lottery ?
Are the teams with the worst records still given the most ping-pong balls respectively ?

Each team will be assigned the following odds for teams starting with the reverse order of regular season record. The default odds are as follows:
Team 1: 14.0%
Team 2: 14.0%
Team 3: 14.0%
Team 4: 12.5%
Team 5: 10.5%
Team 6: 9.0%
Team 7: 7.5%
Team 8: 6.0%
Team 9: 4.5%
Team 10: 3.0%
Team 11: 2.0%
Team 12: 1.5%
Team 13: 1.0%
Team 14: 0.5%
Note: The above odds are the default odds should no team finish with an identical record. When teams finish with the same regular season record, tie-breaking procedures are enacted which can slightly shift the odds.

Quote from: Phantom255x on November 17, 2025, 05:39:36 PM

Even right now being 7-7 and just outside the play-in picture as the 11 seed, we're #14 in the draft slot on Tankathon. There's actually a lot of terrible teams this year, including a few unexpected ones like Dallas and LAC who have also dealt with some bad injury luck.

Unless White or Jaylen go down with a significant injury and we hover around .500 our best bet is probably a pick in the 8-14 range, and even the higher end of that relies on some luck

You don?t think we?re due for some luck? AJ Dybansta is destined to be a Celtic.

Who will be fired after the season?

New York Giants & Tennessee Titans already haves
My predictions:
Bengals fire Zac Taylor pleaseeeee
Arizona fires Johnathon Gannon
Atlanta fires Raheem Morris
Miami fires Mike McDaniels
Cleveland fires Kevin Stefanski

Pittsburgh and Mike Tomlin May part ways by mutual agreement if they don?t make playoffs

New Orleans & New York Jets will keep their coaches

Quote from: Vermont Green on Yesterday at 05:52:46 PM

Quote from: Jiri Welsch on Yesterday at 05:36:42 PM

Really don't think it's wise to trade this year's pick.

Why?  People are already complaining that BOS isn't tanking enough and the pick won't have all that much value if BOS is a 0.500'ish team, which is where this appears to be headed, if not better (worse in terms of the pick odds).  What I am suggesting is to only trade the pick if the return is a legit starting big.  That will make the 2025-26 team even better, but the primary goal is to bolster 2026-27.  Is the, say, 12th or 15th pick going to help the 2026-27 team?  I don't see it.

In fact, I predict that if BOS still has the pick on draft night, and it does end up in the say 12-15 range, that BOS probably trades back and picks up more future firsts, which will drive everyone crazy.  For me, the best thing is to trade Simons and the pick for a real player.  A starting big.  A known quantity.  I get that if BOS is in the lottery, there is like a 1% chance it turns into a top 3 pick, but even that pick doesn't help the Tatum and Brown window for at least a few years.

This is all valid. My thinking is that the Celtics should set themselves up for one more "five year window" with the Jays after this season. And in order to actually compete most of those years, they're going to need some legitimate young and affordable guys to supplement the stars and elevate the roster (the Brandon Bass, Nate Robinson, Big Baby types from the old Big 3 Era).

If somehow Simons + this year's pick can net you a legitimate 3rd star, then obviously you pull the trigger. I just don't see that happening -- so I'm hesitant to get rid of a valuable roster construction piece.

I think this year's pick is a chance to get a solid young guy who could become an affordable rotation piece later on in our second window.