Author Topic: 2023 CS Historic Draft Thread - Results in OP!  (Read 138715 times)

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Re: 2023 CS Historic Draft Thread - Results in OP!
« Reply #1185 on: July 03, 2024, 01:44:01 AM »

Offline smokeablount

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Hello fellow champions,

I come to you with a offer to briefly rekindle our magical times last summer, nearly 1 year later.

I used a website called whatifsports to do some nba historical sim competitions against heavy hitters after finding and citing some data after drafting our teams here.

I made the playoffs 5x in 10 teams staying under their cap. I didn't get out of the 1st round ever, but I had 500 games of sim experience and every team that made it out of the 1st had 5k+ games. Some had 50k+. It was intense.

Because I made the playoffs, I earned 8 slots of sim matchup spots for the NBA, up from 3.

This means I can save and store the top 8 finishers, and we can do either a round robin sim series to narrow down the field, or a bracket based on a hybrid of voting/salary cap.

I can tell you after entering the top 4 finishers that CFF, our winner, had the highest salary cap at 91M+ and I was 2nd at 90M+ while finishers #2 and #3 were north of $80M+.

On a side note, I am in an NBA program and went to a speech with a well known Princeton professor and analytics expert who has deep connections in the sports world. On LinkedIn I am connected to RG3, Tim Brown, an EVP at the NFL and a few other athletes and high level sports execs, and he's connected to nearly all I know and who knows how many more.

He took an interest in our sim draft and my experience with whatifsports because he is working on his own sim and code base and may advise some pro teams in some capacity. I am talking to him on Friday at 10-10:30am and if I have time and anyone has any Q's or wants a recap, LMK.

But the main Q is- if I enter the teams, correct any major omissions with amazing seasons not gettting picked (I made to exec decisions / 2 swaps to increase Who's cap by $2M for example, can explain because I did a minor version for me and Gouk, while CFF was dead on with WIS)... and set depth charts and reasonable regular season, BPA emphasized lineups for 7 game series, where every team's home stadium is the Boston Garden...

Would you guys be interested in doing a 2 week (or something) rekindling of the flame?

See how our voting reflects what the best sim I could find says? See if we got #2-8 right?
2023 Non-Active, Non-NBA 75 Historical Draft, SAB Bulls:

PG: Deron Williams 08 / John Wall 17
SG: David Thompson 78 (HOF) / Hersey Hawkins 91
SF: TMac 03 (HOF) / M.R. Richardson 81 / Tayshaun 07
PF: Larry Nance Sr 92 / Blake Griffin 14
C: Lanier 77 (HOF) / Brad Daugherty 91 / Camby 07

Re: 2023 CS Historic Draft Thread - Results in OP!
« Reply #1186 on: July 03, 2024, 02:15:51 AM »

Offline smokeablount

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Deleted, double post
« Last Edit: July 03, 2024, 08:18:26 AM by smokeablount »
2023 Non-Active, Non-NBA 75 Historical Draft, SAB Bulls:

PG: Deron Williams 08 / John Wall 17
SG: David Thompson 78 (HOF) / Hersey Hawkins 91
SF: TMac 03 (HOF) / M.R. Richardson 81 / Tayshaun 07
PF: Larry Nance Sr 92 / Blake Griffin 14
C: Lanier 77 (HOF) / Brad Daugherty 91 / Camby 07

Re: 2023 CS Historic Draft Thread - Results in OP!
« Reply #1187 on: July 03, 2024, 02:28:58 AM »

Offline smokeablount

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To be clear, I meant questions for the professor that I would ask and relay answers to you if there was time or it seemed like he'd be interested.

Let me know about simming up the top 8 finishers here! I would love to do it, but if no one else cares, I won't bother to drum it up.

Still want to check it out, even if there was a new fantasy draft I wouldn't have time right now.

I earned 8 sim spots. My idea is a round robin top 8 sim down to 4, 4 down to 2, championship,

OR

Top 8 bracket with seeding resetting after each round, seeding based on hybrid voting/salary cap aka market value model. Assign value to votes #1-8 and to each $2-3M in Cap, weight, assess

Going solely by vote, which again, I'd factor in salary cap and vote (letting people optimize for cap if desired especially if there are 2-3 seasons which are way off the #1, which is likely the case):

TOP 8:

1v8 CFF v Dons

2v7 Gouk v RPG

3v6 Who v Switch

4v5 SAB v Roy Hobbs

Like I said, weigh in cap, or if you don't want to do a bracket just have 8 teams all play each other in 7 game series (or a 21 games series, or 33, or 34), distill to 4 teams, and repeat twice more, and we have a voting champ, a sim champ, a case study of popularity vs data, and a fortnite aka 2 weeks (10 business days) of fun.
2023 Non-Active, Non-NBA 75 Historical Draft, SAB Bulls:

PG: Deron Williams 08 / John Wall 17
SG: David Thompson 78 (HOF) / Hersey Hawkins 91
SF: TMac 03 (HOF) / M.R. Richardson 81 / Tayshaun 07
PF: Larry Nance Sr 92 / Blake Griffin 14
C: Lanier 77 (HOF) / Brad Daugherty 91 / Camby 07

Re: 2023 CS Historic Draft Thread - Results in OP!
« Reply #1188 on: July 03, 2024, 02:38:04 AM »

Offline bdm860

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Would you guys be interested in doing a 2 week (or something) rekindling of the flame?

I haven't participated in one of these drafts in years, but I kicked the tires maybe 10 years ago about setting about a WhatIfSports League to coincide with fantasy drafts here.  There was minimal interest then, but that was with trying to set up a full league where everybody would have to pay for their teams.

With this one, it sounds like you'd be doing all the work, and no cost to others, so I'm guessing there will be interest.

Just throwing it out there again, a CelticsStrong WhatIfSports basketball league would be a lot of fun.

After 18 months with their Bigs, the Littles were: 46% less likely to use illegal drugs, 27% less likely to use alcohol, 52% less likely to skip school, 37% less likely to skip a class

Re: 2023 CS Historic Draft Thread - Results in OP!
« Reply #1189 on: July 03, 2024, 08:16:10 AM »

Offline smokeablount

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Would you guys be interested in doing a 2 week (or something) rekindling of the flame?

I haven't participated in one of these drafts in years, but I kicked the tires maybe 10 years ago about setting about a WhatIfSports League to coincide with fantasy drafts here.  There was minimal interest then, but that was with trying to set up a full league where everybody would have to pay for their teams.

With this one, it sounds like you'd be doing all the work, and no cost to others, so I'm guessing there will be interest.

Just throwing it out there again, a CelticsStrong WhatIfSports basketball league would be a lot of fun.

Thank you! Yes, correct.

No cost to others and no work for others unless someone wants to upload images for me or box scores if I email them. I have issues with anything image related here.

I?m not going to do a season sim, which people would need to pay for. Anyone can populate 3 teams, set depth charts, and do some sim matchups. I can store 8 teams so I could input the team top 8 finishers and square off in a series of dimmed matchups, not a season.

Like it could be bracket best of 21 and each day we sim one matchup, 3 best of 7?s in a day. Each day someone advances and someone loses and it lasts 1.5 to 2 weeks.

I wouldn?t have time to do a new draft. But I could take lead on adding a sim element to what we already drafted.
2023 Non-Active, Non-NBA 75 Historical Draft, SAB Bulls:

PG: Deron Williams 08 / John Wall 17
SG: David Thompson 78 (HOF) / Hersey Hawkins 91
SF: TMac 03 (HOF) / M.R. Richardson 81 / Tayshaun 07
PF: Larry Nance Sr 92 / Blake Griffin 14
C: Lanier 77 (HOF) / Brad Daugherty 91 / Camby 07

Re: 2023 CS Historic Draft Thread - Results in OP!
« Reply #1190 on: July 08, 2024, 10:49:34 AM »

Offline smokeablount

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From the teams thread:

Chicago (smokeablount):
PG: Deron Williams (07-08) / Micheal Ray Richardson (80-81) / John Wall (16-17)
SG: David Thompson (77-78) / Hersey Hawkins (96-97)
SF: Tracy McGrady (02-03) / Tayshaun Prince (04-05)
PF: Larry Nance Sr (91-92) / Blake Griffin (13-14)
C: Bob Lanier (76-77) / Brad Daugherty (92-93) / Marcus Camby (06-07)

Utah (wdleehi):
PG: Tony Parker (06-07) / Sam Cassell (03-04)
SG: Joe Johnson (09-10) / Dale Ellis (88-89)
SF: Grant Hill (96-97) / Latrell Sprewell (93-94) / Sean Elliott (95-96)
PF: Chris Bosh (06-07) / Larry Johnson (94-95) / Robert Horry (95-06)
C: Artis Gilmore (77-78) / Kevin Willis (91-92)

Memphis (celticinorlando):
PG: Kemba Walker (18-19) / Jamal Crawford (07-08)
SG: Vince Carter (00-01) / Michael Cooper (86-87) / Gail Goodrich (77-78)
SF: Alex English (82-83) / Antawn Jamison (00-01) / Josh Smith (11-12)
PF: LaMarcus Aldridge (14-15) / Horace Grant (93-94)
C: Yao Ming (08-09) / Bill Laimbeer (85-86)

Denver (Who):
PG: Kevin Johnson (89-90) / Gus Williams (78-79)
SG: Eddie Jones (98-99) / Rolando Blackman (84-85) / Fred Brown (76-77)
SF: Bernard King (83-84) / Bob Dandridge (77-78)
PF: Vin Baker (97-98) / Danny Manning (91-92) / Cliff Robinson (97-98)
C: Alonzo Mourning (99-00) / Jack Sikma (81-82)

Toronto (theswitch):
PG: Penny Hardaway (95-96) / Fat Lever (87-88) / Terrell Brandon (95-96)
SG: Paul Westphal (78-79) / Paul Pressey (85-86)
SF: Marques Johnson (78-79) / Danny Granger (08-09)
PF: Jermaine O'Neal (03-04) / Bobby Jones (76-77) / Kiki VandeWeghe (82-83)
C: Marc Gasol (12-13) / Serge Ibaka (13-14)

OKC (Celtic Fan Forever):
PG: Chauncey Billups (05-06) / Baron Davis (01-02)
SG: Dan Majerle (92-93) / Michael Redd (05-06) / Allan Houston (99-00)
SF: Peja Stojakovic (03-04) / Gerald Wallace (09-10) / Kukoc (95-96)
PF: Shawn Kemp (95-96) / Antonio McDyess (98-99)
C: Dwight Howard (10-11) / Tyson Chandler (11-12)

LA Clippers (RPGenerate):
PG: Dennis Johnson (78-79) / Jo Jo White (76-77) / Stephon Marbury (04-05)
SG: Sidney Moncrief (82-83) / World B. Free (79-80)
SF: Chris Mullin (88-89) / Ron Artest (03-04)
PF: Detlef Schrempf (94-95) / Tom Chambers (88-89) / Buck Williams (82-83)
C: Ben Wallace (03-04) / Andrew Bynum (11-12)

Orlando Magic (gouki88):
PG: Terry Porter (90-91) / Steve Francis (00-01)
SG: Joe Dumars (92-93) / Jeff Hornacek (91-92) / Jerry Stackhouse (00-01)
SF: Brandon Roy (08-09) / Walter Davis (78-79)
PF: Terry Cummings (84-85) / Paul Millsap (15-16)
C: Chris Webber (00-01) / Ralph Sampson (83-84) / Andrew Bogut (09-10)

Brooklyn (Moranis):
PG: Maurice Cheeks (82-83) / Don Buse (76-77)
SG: Drazen Petrovic (92-93) / Rip Hamilton (05-06)
SF: Adrian Dantley (83-84) / Bruce Bowen (02-03)/ Jim Jackson (03-04)
PF: Amare Stoudemire (04-05) / George McGinnis (78-79) / Dan Roundfield (79-80)
C: Pau Gasol (09-10) / Dan Issel (79-80)

Cleveland (Roy H.):
PG:  Mookie Blaylock (96-97) / Isaiah Thomas (16-17)
SG: Manu Ginobili (07-08) / Reggie Lewis (91-92) / J.J. Redick (15-16)
SF: Andre Iguodala (07-08) / Jamal Mashburn (02-03)
PF: Elton Brand (05-06) / Andrei Kirilenko (03-04)
C:  Dikembe Mutombo (94-95) / DeMarcus Cousins (16-17) / Mehmet Okur (08-09)

Sacramento (Donoghus):
PG: Mark Price ('92-93) / Rajon Rondo ('09-10)
SG: Mitch Richmond ('94-95) / Andrew Toney ('83-84) / Doug Christie ('02-03)
SF: Shawn Marion ('05-06) / Michael Finley ('00-01)
PF: Maurice Lucas ('77-78) / Zach Randolph ('10-11) / David West ('07-08)
C: Vlade Divac ('00-01)/ Theo Ratliff ('03-04)

Washington (Kernewek):
PG: Tim Hardaway Sr. (90-91) / Gilbert Arenas (05-06) / Jason Williams (99-00)
SG: Alvin Robertson (85-86) / Tony Allen (10-11)
SF: Glen Rice (96-97) / Mark Aguirre (86-87)
PF: Rasheed Wallace (00-01) / Carlos Boozer / Derrick Coleman (93-94)
C: Joakim Noah (13-14) / Arvydas Sabonis (95-96)
2023 Non-Active, Non-NBA 75 Historical Draft, SAB Bulls:

PG: Deron Williams 08 / John Wall 17
SG: David Thompson 78 (HOF) / Hersey Hawkins 91
SF: TMac 03 (HOF) / M.R. Richardson 81 / Tayshaun 07
PF: Larry Nance Sr 92 / Blake Griffin 14
C: Lanier 77 (HOF) / Brad Daugherty 91 / Camby 07

Re: 2023 CS Historic Draft Thread - Results in OP!
« Reply #1191 on: July 08, 2024, 10:50:07 AM »

Offline smokeablount

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From the teams thread:

Chicago (smokeablount):
PG: Deron Williams (07-08) / Micheal Ray Richardson (80-81) / John Wall (16-17)
SG: David Thompson (77-78) / Hersey Hawkins (96-97)
SF: Tracy McGrady (02-03) / Tayshaun Prince (04-05)
PF: Larry Nance Sr (91-92) / Blake Griffin (13-14)
C: Bob Lanier (76-77) / Brad Daugherty (92-93) / Marcus Camby (06-07)

Utah (wdleehi):
PG: Tony Parker (06-07) / Sam Cassell (03-04)
SG: Joe Johnson (09-10) / Dale Ellis (88-89)
SF: Grant Hill (96-97) / Latrell Sprewell (93-94) / Sean Elliott (95-96)
PF: Chris Bosh (06-07) / Larry Johnson (94-95) / Robert Horry (95-06)
C: Artis Gilmore (77-78) / Kevin Willis (91-92)

Memphis (celticinorlando):
PG: Kemba Walker (18-19) / Jamal Crawford (07-08)
SG: Vince Carter (00-01) / Michael Cooper (86-87) / Gail Goodrich (77-78)
SF: Alex English (82-83) / Antawn Jamison (00-01) / Josh Smith (11-12)
PF: LaMarcus Aldridge (14-15) / Horace Grant (93-94)
C: Yao Ming (08-09) / Bill Laimbeer (85-86)

Denver (Who):
PG: Kevin Johnson (89-90) / Gus Williams (78-79)
SG: Eddie Jones (98-99) / Rolando Blackman (84-85) / Fred Brown (76-77)
SF: Bernard King (83-84) / Bob Dandridge (77-78)
PF: Vin Baker (97-98) / Danny Manning (91-92) / Cliff Robinson (97-98)
C: Alonzo Mourning (99-00) / Jack Sikma (81-82)

Toronto (theswitch):
PG: Penny Hardaway (95-96) / Fat Lever (87-88) / Terrell Brandon (95-96)
SG: Paul Westphal (78-79) / Paul Pressey (85-86)
SF: Marques Johnson (78-79) / Danny Granger (08-09)
PF: Jermaine O'Neal (03-04) / Bobby Jones (76-77) / Kiki VandeWeghe (82-83)
C: Marc Gasol (12-13) / Serge Ibaka (13-14)

OKC (Celtic Fan Forever):
PG: Chauncey Billups (05-06) / Baron Davis (01-02)
SG: Dan Majerle (92-93) / Michael Redd (05-06) / Allan Houston (99-00)
SF: Peja Stojakovic (03-04) / Gerald Wallace (09-10) / Kukoc (95-96)
PF: Shawn Kemp (95-96) / Antonio McDyess (98-99)
C: Dwight Howard (10-11) / Tyson Chandler (11-12)

LA Clippers (RPGenerate):
PG: Dennis Johnson (78-79) / Jo Jo White (76-77) / Stephon Marbury (04-05)
SG: Sidney Moncrief (82-83) / World B. Free (79-80)
SF: Chris Mullin (88-89) / Ron Artest (03-04)
PF: Detlef Schrempf (94-95) / Tom Chambers (88-89) / Buck Williams (82-83)
C: Ben Wallace (03-04) / Andrew Bynum (11-12)

Orlando Magic (gouki88):
PG: Terry Porter (90-91) / Steve Francis (00-01)
SG: Joe Dumars (92-93) / Jeff Hornacek (91-92) / Jerry Stackhouse (00-01)
SF: Brandon Roy (08-09) / Walter Davis (78-79)
PF: Terry Cummings (84-85) / Paul Millsap (15-16)
C: Chris Webber (00-01) / Ralph Sampson (83-84) / Andrew Bogut (09-10)

Brooklyn (Moranis):
PG: Maurice Cheeks (82-83) / Don Buse (76-77)
SG: Drazen Petrovic (92-93) / Rip Hamilton (05-06)
SF: Adrian Dantley (83-84) / Bruce Bowen (02-03)/ Jim Jackson (03-04)
PF: Amare Stoudemire (04-05) / George McGinnis (78-79) / Dan Roundfield (79-80)
C: Pau Gasol (09-10) / Dan Issel (79-80)

Cleveland (Roy H.):
PG:  Mookie Blaylock (96-97) / Isaiah Thomas (16-17)
SG: Manu Ginobili (07-08) / Reggie Lewis (91-92) / J.J. Redick (15-16)
SF: Andre Iguodala (07-08) / Jamal Mashburn (02-03)
PF: Elton Brand (05-06) / Andrei Kirilenko (03-04)
C:  Dikembe Mutombo (94-95) / DeMarcus Cousins (16-17) / Mehmet Okur (08-09)

Sacramento (Donoghus):
PG: Mark Price ('92-93) / Rajon Rondo ('09-10)
SG: Mitch Richmond ('94-95) / Andrew Toney ('83-84) / Doug Christie ('02-03)
SF: Shawn Marion ('05-06) / Michael Finley ('00-01)
PF: Maurice Lucas ('77-78) / Zach Randolph ('10-11) / David West ('07-08)
C: Vlade Divac ('00-01)/ Theo Ratliff ('03-04)

Washington (Kernewek):
PG: Tim Hardaway Sr. (90-91) / Gilbert Arenas (05-06) / Jason Williams (99-00)
SG: Alvin Robertson (85-86) / Tony Allen (10-11)
SF: Glen Rice (96-97) / Mark Aguirre (86-87)
PF: Rasheed Wallace (00-01) / Carlos Boozer / Derrick Coleman (93-94)
C: Joakim Noah (13-14) / Arvydas Sabonis (95-96)

So I entered the teams and made any obvious season switches where the sim wouldn't reward one's seasonal preferences over market value/metrics, to see salary caps. They are as follows:

#1 CFF - $91M
#2 Gouki - $84M
#3 Who - $80M
#4 SAB - $90M
#5 Roy - $84M
#6 Switch - $84M
#7 RPG - $87M
#8 Dons - $83M

I update depth charts 2 teams at a time between Tuesday and Sunday. The best whatifsports teams were also deep and played guys mostly 12-28 mpg, so I didn't set many guys above 35 mpg, usually one per team, and usually 2 at 32 mpg. Everyone's bench got mixed in but if teams had massive drop offs at the 11th or 12th man, those guys would play a little less.

I did a bracket tournament with reseeding strictly based on voting, best of 7, best 2 out of 3 this AM. I work on West Coast time, start at 12pm ET, but get up around 7:30am.

ROUND 1

#1 Celtics Fan Forever vs #8 Donoghus

CFF beat Dons 4-1, 4-0. Kemp was the likely series MVP as the focal point of the offense while Dwight put up solid offensive numbers and patrolled the paint. Peja easily contributed enough to form a big 3, routinely putting up 18-4-4. Those 3 just overwhelmed Price's heroic effort scoring and creating, routinely putting up 20 and between 6-12 assists, but it didn't matter. Dons' starters couldn't keep pace with those 3 guys, and then McDyess and GWallace would come in and absolutely clean up, particularly McDyess. CFF had about 6 forwards doing damage, plus Dwight, and Chauncey had his moments. You need a lot of talent to hang with this team.

#2 Gouki vs #7 RPGenerate

RPG upset Gouki 4-3, 2-4, 4-3, winning both times as the road team in a road game 7.

Schrempf looked like the MVP of the series, having two monster games in road game 7 wins. Mullin was the more consistent alpha but Schrempf was clutch. He went for 30 twice in the series. Moncrief was assertive and versatile in road games, routinely putting up 16-5-6 seemingly every time he played away from home. Big Ben was an absolute force and even scored when needed, silencing any questions about his value in this format. DJ was volatile but when he was on, he was capable of being the best player on the team.

Webber was valiant in defeat. Had he played at PF, I think Gouki takes the series. Schrempf would not have been able to contain him and Schrempf's game 7 heroics would have been offset. But instead he matched up with Big Ben and put up big numbers, but it made life easier for Shrempf. Roy was usually good but had some stinkers that cost the team. Cummings was the clear 2nd best player on the team and played fantastic, DS had a lot of trouble but was able to do his own damage. TC was a walking 20-10, Dumars was also good and had games as a top 2 alpha.

Gouki's point guard play was steady and solid if unspectacular, and he had solid production off the bench, but the defense and clutchness of RPG won out essentially because there was just enough scoring and balance. RPG's higher sim team market value also likely made this tight.

#3 Who vs #6 theswitch

Another upset! theswitch benefitted from a trade that most believe he won at the time, dealing the #1 pick to be the first owner to field a starting five by the middle of the 4th round. Who was stuck between a murderers row of owners and routinely had to go to his 2nd and 3rd choices when things were looking smooth only a few picks away. As a result, this had upset potential.

theswitch won 4-1, 4-1, with JO/Penny winning co-MVPs of the series as JO accrued the best volume stats as a 2 way player, but Penny efficiently drove the team. The other starters and the bench provided good scoring balance, particularly Granger, Westphal, and Gasol. What was surprising about Toronto was how much JO assumed the mantle of #1 and not a guy like Penny or Westphal, and it worked.

For Denver, it was surprising how much trouble KJ had in this matchup. Penny just owned him. Mourning did well, King held his own, but it was essentially that dynamic duo holding off a mob. It may go better starting twin towers with Sikma and giving him enough minutes to get in a rhythm:

KJ
Eddie Jones
King
Sikma
Zo

I like that lineup better, I think in this matchup/sim at least, Sikma is your 3rd best player. It isn't a sim where teams shoot 40 3's a game and the older players rarely shoot them. Could tweak this.

#4 SAB vs #5 Roy Hobbs

SAB won 4-0, 4-3, breezing thru act 1 but experiencing heavy resistance in act 2. McGrady was unstoppable, putting up Heat Lebron offensive numbers with 20-6-6 every game and topping out at 30-8-8 and 29-13-7. Thompson, Lanier and Deron provided equal support and the bench was an angry mob led by Blake Griffin. In the 2nd act, Manu and Brand were marvelous for Roy, and IT and Mashburn came in and did damage off the bench, but the talent/depth of SAB won out.

ROUND 2

#1 Celtics Fan Forever vs #7 RPG

CFF won 4-0, 4-2, with Kemp overwhelming Schrempf and again taking series MVP, again a chorus line of forwards eating barbecue chicken while Dwight lived up to his billing and Chauncey cooked every 2-3 games, while rarely having bad shooting games, mostly just deferring and creating. It was a winning formula and RPG got to 1-1 and 2-2 in act 2 and looked primed to extend the series, but in the end CFF just stepped on the gas pedal and drove away.

However, it is my new thought that a round robin is necessary. Market value has RPG at the 3rd highest market value and he beat Gouki as the road team. He finished 7th has a case for 3rd best team.

#4 SAB vs #6 theswitch

SAB won 4-2, 4-3, with the 1st act never really being in doubt starting 3-1 SAB, but the 2nd act being a battle. JO continued his Shaq role, switching with Penny as the alpha, but the team had very balanced scoring beyond that. But McGrady continued going scorched earth, battling Kemp as playoffs MVP (or Dwight if you prefer) and David Thompson started to emerge in pivotal games, going for 20+ on efficient shooting and getting others involved in game 5's, 6's and 7's.

Deron Williams had 1-2 games where he may have been the best player on the floor, or at least the best not named TMac. So did Penny. Lanier had one. A key difference was, JO did not have the efficiency of the other 20+ ppg scorers. John Wall started to come in and make a huge difference in small minutes windows this series, scoring more points than mins played routinely. The big 4 of TMac, Thompson, Lanier and Deron always played big as a group, Nance/Blake always added up to one monster PF game, and the bench always found ways to break even at worst.

NBA FINALS

Sims and recap to come. Debating doing a best of 5 here.

I also think that with the depth of teams, the only fair way to evaluate is a round robin sim. It's clear the voting and the sim disagree, and the sim isn't biased, just maybe flawed. I'm interested in doing a round robin best of 7 and seeing how things shake out, but first, the finals...
« Last Edit: July 08, 2024, 02:06:41 PM by smokeablount »
2023 Non-Active, Non-NBA 75 Historical Draft, SAB Bulls:

PG: Deron Williams 08 / John Wall 17
SG: David Thompson 78 (HOF) / Hersey Hawkins 91
SF: TMac 03 (HOF) / M.R. Richardson 81 / Tayshaun 07
PF: Larry Nance Sr 92 / Blake Griffin 14
C: Lanier 77 (HOF) / Brad Daugherty 91 / Camby 07

Re: 2023 CS Historic Draft Thread - Results in OP!
« Reply #1192 on: July 08, 2024, 10:56:30 AM »

Offline Kernewek

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I don't see my trophy anywhere, Sab. There must be some mistake.
"...unceasingly we are bombarded with pseudo-realities manufactured by very sophisticated people using very sophisticated electronic mechanisms. I do not distrust their motives; I distrust their power. They have a lot of it."

Re: 2023 CS Historic Draft Thread - Results in OP!
« Reply #1193 on: July 08, 2024, 11:06:37 AM »

Offline smokeablount

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I don't see my trophy anywhere, Sab. There must be some mistake.

Does anyone else use whatifsports and have 12 sim matchup spots open, or use a different good sim that allows for 12 spots? I can't even get you in the running Kerns.

You get 3 free spots and I made the playoffs 5 times and have 8 but if you need to make the 2nd round to get more, that is really hard. I had 500 games exp when I made my playoff run but anyone in round 2 was 5k-50k+ so it might need to be a CelticsStrong collaborative effort.

As it stands, I can sim 8 teams. If someone doesn't give a Edited.  Profanity and masked profanity are against forum rules and may result in discipline. and you do, I can swap you in. Just wouldn't do it for a team like CFF or Gouki obviously, even if they ghosted.

Edit - All I would need help with is posting screenshots. I could email them and if someone could post them, I could share box scores, team win/loss records, and most importantly depth charts because I just made everyone's based on what won championships and people that simmed this thing 50k+ times are doing with minutes, and what I would do if it was my team. If someone can post depth chart screenshots I can adjust them, but I'm not going to type them out.

In some cases people picked injured or traded seasons where the players was worth a ton less, and sometimes there just post-merger seasons where the season not picked was worth 15%+ more in market value and that is what will matter unless 3's fall of a cliff, which they didn't because I checked. I did each team with how I would want it but stuck to your depth charts and rotations, but CFF picked the best season like every time and was at $91M. I was at $87M before and now $90M. Some teams jumped $5-8M and would barely have/not have broken $75M if not adjusted. Now we a may have a top dog or two (won?t really know until round Robin) but largely it is NFL parity.
« Last Edit: July 08, 2024, 02:10:54 PM by smokeablount »
2023 Non-Active, Non-NBA 75 Historical Draft, SAB Bulls:

PG: Deron Williams 08 / John Wall 17
SG: David Thompson 78 (HOF) / Hersey Hawkins 91
SF: TMac 03 (HOF) / M.R. Richardson 81 / Tayshaun 07
PF: Larry Nance Sr 92 / Blake Griffin 14
C: Lanier 77 (HOF) / Brad Daugherty 91 / Camby 07

Re: 2023 CS Historic Draft Thread - Results in OP!
« Reply #1194 on: July 08, 2024, 12:38:23 PM »

Offline Kernewek

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I've got no real opinion on the matter, I'm just a sucker for hardware.
"...unceasingly we are bombarded with pseudo-realities manufactured by very sophisticated people using very sophisticated electronic mechanisms. I do not distrust their motives; I distrust their power. They have a lot of it."

Re: 2023 CS Historic Draft Thread - Results in OP!
« Reply #1195 on: July 08, 2024, 01:01:51 PM »

Offline Moranis

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I'd be curious how my team does since I wasn't in the top 8 (wrongly in my view obviously). My payroll was 76 million without any swapping and using just the years I chose.  If I take the most expensive nba seasons, payroll jumps to over 86 million (even higher if I use some aba seasons).
2023 Historical Draft - Brooklyn Nets - 9th pick

Bigs - Pau, Amar'e, Issel, McGinnis, Roundfield
Wings - Dantley, Bowen, J. Jackson
Guards - Cheeks, Petrovic, Buse, Rip

Re: 2023 CS Historic Draft Thread - Results in OP!
« Reply #1196 on: July 08, 2024, 02:35:34 PM »

Offline smokeablount

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I'd be curious how my team does since I wasn't in the top 8 (wrongly in my view obviously). My payroll was 76 million without any swapping and using just the years I chose.  If I take the most expensive nba seasons, payroll jumps to over 86 million (even higher if I use some aba seasons).

$86M would put you 4th under current configuration among the top 8 if you stuck to post merger seasons, with the caveat being that I didn't just overrule people all the time. Some people could be marginally higher but it was only if it was semi steep that I would've stepped in.

I don't think anyone questions your talent, especially bigs, it's fit and defense. I also think voting was wonky. We saw #2 and #3 both get upset. The caveat is that the sim might be wonky too.

I think what I will do is sim the top 8 round robin, unless someone is just happy with how things went and doesn't want to be associated with my madness. I will remove anyone who asks.

After that, I remove the 2 bottom finishers so far and add Kerns, Moranis, and anyone who wants.

Then we can reshuffle. I've only done this once and I had a blast and spent way too much time. I am down to re-explore what we did from another angle. Just if people want pics, need help.
2023 Non-Active, Non-NBA 75 Historical Draft, SAB Bulls:

PG: Deron Williams 08 / John Wall 17
SG: David Thompson 78 (HOF) / Hersey Hawkins 91
SF: TMac 03 (HOF) / M.R. Richardson 81 / Tayshaun 07
PF: Larry Nance Sr 92 / Blake Griffin 14
C: Lanier 77 (HOF) / Brad Daugherty 91 / Camby 07

Re: 2023 CS Historic Draft Thread - Results in OP!
« Reply #1197 on: July 08, 2024, 03:13:17 PM »

Offline smokeablount

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2023 CELTICSBLOG/STRONG FANTASY DRAFT SIM FINALS

#1 CFF vs #4 SAB

And the winner is...

Well...

It depends on the format.

Best of 3, same as all series

SAB wins 4-2, 2-4, 4-3

McGrady wins FVP / League MVP after a dominant finals. The talent of CFF forces TMac to be a Kobe level alpha, and he delivers. He probably averaged 25-7-6 in the finals.

In this series more than any other, Thompson comes out to play and is clearly the 2nd best player on SAB. Smoked Dan the Man and Redd combined. The SAB wing duo would be elite with top 75 players and it is a neutralizing force to Dwight/Kemp, which was helped by the fact that Nance largely held off Kemp head to head, which up to this point in the playoffs had not at all been the case when playing other teams.

Blake also neutralized McDyess, who may have been 6th man of the year in the league (Blake and Ron Artest also have a case). Deron outplayed Billups. Lanier got outplayed by Dwight but not badly and since he played less minutes because of his injury history and Dwight was his team's 35 minute guy, their per minute production was similar except Dwight rebounded better. The SAB bench outplayed CFF largely due to Brad D, Hersey Hawkins who I upgraded to a prime year, and because John Wall was again tremendous in <10 mpg, scoring more points than minutes.

Kemp did much worse this series. Dwight did about the same but he wasn't dominant on defense. He didn't rack up the blocks like the 5-6 he was capable of (more like 1-2), and SAB scored. The other starters did about the same but the dominant CFF bench and endless forward production tailed way off and they were getting counterpunched. In the end SAB snuck by.

All was well for SAB, the champion, until his manager got curious and decided to extend the series...

Best of 5, super championship series

CFF wins 2-4, 4-2, 3-4, 4-2, 4-0

CFF just went on a run in the last series and I went cold. I performed better as the road team as I won the first 2 on the road and then lost 4-2 in both home series. I thought I had a 50/50 in the pivotal series 5 but I got rocked. CFF scored 110+ in the final 3 games and I couldn't break 100 once, so it was like the first 3 games of the Celtics Mavs finals. Dwight was a powerhouse on offense for this series and this series only, averaging 27 ppg, and Kemp bounced back big in 2 of the last 3 games while Peja continued to be a HOF caliber 3rd banana. TMac went from the best player in the series in the best of 5 to a choker and Thompson fell off too. The double big outgunned the wing duo in back to back series and claimed the best of 7. The SAB bench continued to play well and had a variety of double digit scorers, and Deron was team MVP.

ROUND ROBIN

Top 8 teams.

Start with the #1 seed, CFF, and sim a 7 game series vs all opponents. Log and input scores.

Now the #2 seed, Gouk, omitting CFF matchup which already simmed. Repeat down to #7 v #8.

See where the chips fall. Maybe pare the 8 down to 4 and then figure out the Final 4. How close did the voting get?

1) CFF (bracket simmed #1, #2 at worst)
2) Gouki
3) Who
4) SAB (bracket simmed #2 at worst)
5) Roy
6) theswitch (final 4 in bracket sim)
7) RPG (final 4 in bracket sim)
8) Dons
2023 Non-Active, Non-NBA 75 Historical Draft, SAB Bulls:

PG: Deron Williams 08 / John Wall 17
SG: David Thompson 78 (HOF) / Hersey Hawkins 91
SF: TMac 03 (HOF) / M.R. Richardson 81 / Tayshaun 07
PF: Larry Nance Sr 92 / Blake Griffin 14
C: Lanier 77 (HOF) / Brad Daugherty 91 / Camby 07

Re: 2023 CS Historic Draft Thread - Results in OP!
« Reply #1198 on: July 08, 2024, 07:39:09 PM »

Offline smokeablount

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OFFICIAL SIM ROUND ROBIN TRACKER

          CFF. Gouk.Who.SAB.Roy switch RPG Dons
CFF.      x.    4        4     4    4       4       4    4   28 - #1 (vs theswitch)
Gouk.   1      x       4.    2.    0.     4       4    4   19 - #5     
Who.     1     2       x.    3.    3.     2       4    1   16 - #6
SAB.     1      4       4     x.    4      4       4    4   25 - #2 (vs Roy Hobbs)
Roy.      1      4       4     0     x     4       4    4   21 - #3 (vs Smokeablount)
switch.  1      3       4     3     1     x       4    4   20 - #4 (vs CFF)
RPG.     3      1       2     3     2     2       x    2   15 - #7
Dons.    0      1       4     1     1     2       4    x   13 - #8

#1 - CFF - No resistance at all except RPG who I kind of predicted. I lost by 1 twice, another GM lost by 1 after me but I don't remember who. CFF never lost by 1 point, but 3x won by 1 point.

Will do Gouki later. No surprise that CFF is the #1 team. In this round robin format, it was Dwight who was far and away the MVP. In the bracket, Kemp.

Switch went up 3-1 on me and I came back to win 3 straight. Then I went 7 grueling games with RPG. TMac went MJ in the RR, winning all series after CFF, with five 32+ point games during RR (games of 39, 38, and 34).

No other player has eclipsed 33 or recorded 30+ more than 4x in RR and bracket combined. Kemp and Dwight are the best 1-2 punch (plus Peja, the best big 3) but my trade for the #1 pick panned out. McGrady is exactly what I thought he would be in this format. And it is working out for switch as well, who has the inside track on a #3 seed and avoiding CFF even going 1 of 2. RPG did the best job hanging with elite competition, but hasn't been able to close out series effectively.

CFF ran train and SAB has locked up second. Gouki is 3rd atm and Dons is out. But Roy, switch, and RPG will be battling it out and two of them might take spots #3 and #4 and move on.

Let's see how the top half of this pool shakes out.

EDIT - We have our final four.

CFF vs theswitch
SAB vs Roy Hobbs

Real close in the end between Gouki, Roy and theswitch but Gouki getting swept by Roy sealed it.

We will now do best 2 of 3 of these matchups in the semifinals, and who our finals matchup is.
« Last Edit: July 09, 2024, 09:06:23 AM by smokeablount »
2023 Non-Active, Non-NBA 75 Historical Draft, SAB Bulls:

PG: Deron Williams 08 / John Wall 17
SG: David Thompson 78 (HOF) / Hersey Hawkins 91
SF: TMac 03 (HOF) / M.R. Richardson 81 / Tayshaun 07
PF: Larry Nance Sr 92 / Blake Griffin 14
C: Lanier 77 (HOF) / Brad Daugherty 91 / Camby 07

Re: 2023 CS Historic Draft Thread - Results in OP!
« Reply #1199 on: July 09, 2024, 04:45:54 AM »

Offline Kernewek

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This is awesome, by the way. TPs for the work & the writeups.
"...unceasingly we are bombarded with pseudo-realities manufactured by very sophisticated people using very sophisticated electronic mechanisms. I do not distrust their motives; I distrust their power. They have a lot of it."