Author Topic: Celtics high / low win total  (Read 1162 times)

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Celtics high / low win total
« on: October 15, 2018, 05:30:56 PM »

Offline Roy H.

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From ESPN:

Quote
Best case: 62-20
If the Celtics win 62 games, that means the leprechaun kissed the foreheads of Kyrie Irving and Gordon Hayward and they stayed healthy wire to wire with limited games off for rest. It means the leprechaun slipped rookie Robert Williams a four-leaf clover to keep him on the straight and narrow and help add muscle to the middle. It also indicates Jayson Tatum is on track to become an absolute superstar.

Quote
Worst case: 47-35
The biggest question remains the ability of Irving to permanently put his knee woes behind him. If he falters, so will this team. There's pressure on both Tatum and Jaylen Brown to take a significant step forward in their development. What if they can't live up to it? And can the likes of Terry Rozier, Marcus Smart and Marcus Morris accept lesser roles on this extra-deep roster?

Agree?


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Re: Celtics high / low win total
« Reply #1 on: October 15, 2018, 05:55:09 PM »

Offline Donoghus

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I have no qualms with the best case.  May a win or two shy but nothing egregious.

Worst case seems awfully low.  I guess if this team is injury plagued again and really bad, then its possible. Probably would be even worse than that.  But I can't see a healthy squad not hitting in the 50s for Ws.


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Re: Celtics high / low win total
« Reply #2 on: October 15, 2018, 05:58:37 PM »

Online gouki88

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I can't imagine us winning 47 games, unless we lose half our starters or something
Mock Trade Deadline LAL roster and picks:

G: Ball, Hart, Rondo, KCP, Bonga, Stephenson
F: James, Ingram, Kuzma, Beasley, Mykhailiuk
C: McGee, Zubac, Chandler, Wagner
Picks: https://basketball.realgm.com/nba/draft/future_drafts/team

Re: Celtics high / low win total
« Reply #3 on: October 15, 2018, 06:05:01 PM »

Offline bdm860

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Both seem off to me, but are consistent with the rest of their rankings (GS for example had a best case of 67 and worst of 52; Houston and Toronto were both 61 and 45).

For most teams I would think even the worst case was generous, but the C's had pretty much a worst case last season and still won 55 games.  You're telling me there's something worse than that?  I think Boston should have had GS's numbers (while GS best case should be 70+), Houston's best case is 61 while they actually won 65 games last year (and  ESPN actually mentions this in their first line about Houston but does nothing to answer it, seems lazy to me).

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Re: Celtics high / low win total
« Reply #4 on: October 15, 2018, 06:08:31 PM »

Offline Roy H.

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You're telling me there's something worse than that?

Don’t test the basketball gods!


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Re: Celtics high / low win total
« Reply #5 on: October 15, 2018, 06:09:04 PM »

Offline tstorey_97

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Win total this year offers a different dynamic...

Raptors
76'ers

And assorted others will also win bunches of games....except for the Cavs, they'll be just terrible.

High 55-56 sounds reasonable with focus on last 15 regular season games on getting ready for playoffs as opposed to some all out drive for homecourt or injury city which already happened last year.

Re: Celtics high / low win total
« Reply #6 on: October 15, 2018, 06:24:17 PM »

Offline Celtics4ever

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Quote
Agree?

Nope, they already forgot we did not have Irving for the playoffs and still beat some of ESPN's darlings like Simmons, Embiid and Giannis.

Re: Celtics high / low win total
« Reply #7 on: October 15, 2018, 06:34:15 PM »

Offline Sophomore

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Worst case seems low.

Re: Celtics high / low win total
« Reply #8 on: October 15, 2018, 06:53:06 PM »

Online CelticSooner

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ESPN analytics lol

Re: Celtics high / low win total
« Reply #9 on: October 15, 2018, 07:25:23 PM »

Offline BringToughnessBack

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If Celtics hit worst case, these boards will be depressing! 47 seems low with our depth....

Re: Celtics high / low win total
« Reply #10 on: October 15, 2018, 07:38:52 PM »

Online gouki88

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If Celtics hit worst case, these boards will be depressing! 47 seems low with our depth....
You bet if we win sub-50 this will be a grumpy place to be
Mock Trade Deadline LAL roster and picks:

G: Ball, Hart, Rondo, KCP, Bonga, Stephenson
F: James, Ingram, Kuzma, Beasley, Mykhailiuk
C: McGee, Zubac, Chandler, Wagner
Picks: https://basketball.realgm.com/nba/draft/future_drafts/team

Re: Celtics high / low win total
« Reply #11 on: October 15, 2018, 07:46:52 PM »

Online SCeltic34

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ESPN analysis is garbage as usual.  Who was the writer that "analyzed" this?  Reading the worst-case scenario leads me to believe that this person did not watch one second of our playoff run last year.

Of course we aren't winning a championship without Kyrie, but to say that we'll "falter" without him is silly.  If everyone else is healthy I could still see us topping any other team in the East and making the Finals, but losing to whichever team comes from the west.


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Re: Celtics high / low win total
« Reply #12 on: October 15, 2018, 09:03:47 PM »

Offline Moranis

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Quote
You're telling me there's something worse than that?

Don’t test the basketball gods!
Well you make that 16-2 more inline with the rest of the season and Boston is a 50 win team.  I also think it would be possible for the team to get off to a pretty mediocre start trying to figure out roles and while everyone gets back into form.  If they then suffer some other injuries, then it wouldn't be all that difficult to see a 50ish win team.  47 seems a bit low though especially given how Boston performed last year. 

Re: Celtics high / low win total
« Reply #13 on: October 15, 2018, 09:49:42 PM »

Offline Kuberski33

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Stevens could take the 2nd unit and win 47 games so I'm not sure where they get that number. Now contending for a title vs not - I could see a scenario where they win 50 and have no chance at a title - just look at last year.  Big thing is Kyrie, Hayward and Al need to stay healthy - and you can probably add Tatum to that list too, though I think a healthy Hayward more than equals last year's version of him.

Re: Celtics high / low win total
« Reply #14 on: October 15, 2018, 11:46:56 PM »

Offline billysan

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The best case is somewhat plausible I guess.

The only way we fall to the sub 50 win worst case is a season ending injury to Horford. 

Much bigger impact than losing Kyrie as last season showed us.

Where does ESPN  find these writers? Does anyone fact check or proof read their work?
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