I don't think he really regressed, he just got hurt and got less minutes while McMillan tried to figure out a) how to run their offence without PG13 (an issue that solved itself quickly) and b) how to get Turner, Sabonis and Thad Young to coexist.
Sure, but he also regressed from year 2 to year 3 and his current value is worth no where near 20 million a year, so he had better improve or the Pacers will regret the contract.
Looks like Myles Turner just got a 4 year/$80 million contract extension, per Shams.If I’m the Pacers I like that deal for Turner. He’s still only 22 and is yet to make the jump into borderline All-Star big that I think he’s capable of, but if he does $20m a year is a steal
That's like Terry Rozier money!
I think when his minutes return to 30+ he'll average around 15/8/2.5
He averaged over 28 mpg last year. It wasn't like he barely played. His per minute production was down basically across the board (not significantly down, but still down). That generally isn't a good sign for a player going from year 2 to year 3, especially when all of the cumulative stats were also down i.e. BPM, VORP, PER, ORTG, DRTG, etc. The one positive was nearly doubling his 3 point attempts and increasing his 3 PT%.
Turner has potential no question and if he lives up to it, then his contract won't be a killer, but there are clear signs that he may not live up to his potential and if he doesn't, the Pacers have seriously overpaid and that could be devastating to them from a cap perspective.