In general, it’s not a good idea to bet against Danny making a trade, but I have a hard time seeing how or why he would move Smart this year.
Half of this is about the Cs: the team is much better than expected, and has a real chance to get to the finals. Smart has been a part of that run, and there isn’t someone who can easily take his place on the current roster.
The other half, maybe more important, is about who our trading partner would be. Marcus won’t get too much return as a part-year rental then restricted free agent, and the teams most likely to be interested in him are teams trying to contend this year. If you’re getting back peanuts, why lose a player you know, with proven value, and risk screwing up team DNA (see:Kendrick Perkins). The contenders who might want him are either teams we don’t want to strengthen or teams that can’t or don’t want to give us rotation players or high draft picks..
So, what’s the scenario for a trade?