Let me get this straight, sample sizes of 5-7 late 1st round draft picks draft picks are being used as proof that Ainge is a bad drafter? This thread just reeks of confirmation bias. You can't just stop looking at data at a certain point because the previous data doesn't fit your narrative, especially when you are dealing with a ridiculously small sample. Olynyk being drafted at 15 in a redraft is laughable, I would love to see someone justify that nonsense. Ainge's draft record is well above average when everything is taken into consideration and looked at without using the junk science being used in this thread.
2013 draft
Players Clearly taken ahead of KO in a redraft (in no particular order) - 8
Noel
Oladipo
Caldwell-Pope
McCollum
Adams
Giannis
Schroder
Gobert
Players likely taken ahead of KO in a redraft (in no particular order) - 6
Dieng
Plumlee
Crabbe
Len
Zeller
Porter
That would put KO at 15, of course you also have these guys which a team might actually favor over KO as they might have a skill with a higher peak (like Roberson for wing defense).
MCW
Roberson
Hill
McLemore
Muhammad
Burke
Snell
You mean Trey Burke who was recently traded for a 2022 second-rounder?
Or Tony Snell who recently had this article that tried its utmost to be optimistic about him by the Bulls blog?
http://www.blogabull.com/2016/8/11/12438612/three-reasons-tony-snell-can-still-be-a-factor-next-seasonOr Solomon Hill, who didn't even get his year 4 option picked up?
Or Michael Carter-Williams, who was on the trade block after about 4 months in Philly, and then again after a season in Mikwaukee?
Or Ben McLemore, whom the Kings also cannot seemingly trade, despite significant effort?
Maybe Shabazz Muhammed, he of the 31% career 3-point percentage, 1.1 assists, per 36 minutes, and defensive BPM of -4.2?
Roberson is the only useful player on that list, but I'd still take KO over him and not fret about it. Not to mention Len (career BPM of -2.8 and VORP of -0.4) has been a net negative for his career. I'd personally take KO over Zeller (even if I wouldn't have on draft night), Porter (even tho I advocated trading for Porter last year and may do so again), Plumlee, and Dieng, but I won't fight those battles in this post.
You are letting your biases really come through on this post with that third list, and that relatively aggressive second list. You can search my posts from 2013 and see that I advocated selecting both Giannis and Schroder, and was not a fan of Olynyk. While my appreciation of those two have proved well in hindsight (and my advocating of Trey Burke has not), Olynyk has proven to be the 10-14th best player in that draft, which is just fine for the 13th selection. It was a fine selection, and one that I will not look back on and question, other than my own misevaluation of Olynyk on draft night.