I am not saying that IND did anything wrong. The point is that tanking is risky. IND didn?t get the pick they hoped for. And even if they did, you can end up drafting the next Greg Oden or Markelle Fultz. Tanking and drafting is no guarantee. It can lead to years of being bad. Sometimes it works out.
Agree. I feel like tanking as a strategy is kind of a Hail Mary. Basically as a front office you're screwed things up so much or Lady Luck has cursed you so much your only option is to throw the dice and a) hope the lottery balls go your way; and b) hope that whoever you pick will be a Wemby or a LeBum or a Tatum, not a Fultz or a Risacher or a Zion (remember the Road To Zion Tank everyone wanted to be on). I don't know what the success rate is for tanking teams, or ones in a perpetual rebuild, but I can't imagine it's too high. You need to not just draft a player who works out, you also need to surround him with solid players and have a winning culture in your team.
I don't really think saying "wow this draft is really strong, let's tank" is a proper strategy. Getting the pick is the easy part. Look at the Sixers - they've had 2 No1 picks. 2 No3 picks, multiple lottery picks and have never got out of the 2nd round. Kings have had literally 12 picks in the top 10 since 2009.
Yes it can work, but too often it's a "we messed up the roster, let's tank and reset" and fans buy it because "hope is a bigger drug than certainty".
I think for good front offices, and teams with a culture of winning, tanking - or asset collection - is just part of an overall strategy, like what OKC did - they traded for Shai, collected assets, moved aging stars and contracts while they still had a lot of value, drafted complementary players instead of swinging for transformative stars, instead of "this year's not looking too good, let's lose on purpose and see if the lottery saves us and we will have something to sell to our fans instead of a season of trying to make the playoffs and failing". That's why I'm ok with Brad not tanking this season I trust him to actually have a plan to make us better via trading for established stars
