3rd pick: Jamal Murray
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MB0vHLKuh6k
And after what GSW did to beat Cavs (raining 3 pt shooting) but also vice versa (Cavs only win) 3 pt shooting/shooters is more and more becoming a premium
Murray is one of the 3 best shooters of this draft. No question. He is strong for his age, underrated explosiveness, underrated scorer (other than shooter) and overall a good player with all star potential.
Think Devin Booker/Klay Thompson
Murray at 3 should mean James Young and/or RJ Hunter are likely gone.
Guard depth will look like
AB/IT
Smart/Murray/Rozier
12th Pick: Domantas Sabonis (Trade 16, 35)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SJYj65flIfw
Another problem the Celtics had last season was they didn't have that one reliable "rebounder". Yes Amir, Sully did a good job at times and the team did an amazing job rebounding as a team but we saw some games, some moments, against the likes of Tristant Thompson etc. that we sorely lacked that one reliable rebounder. This is where Sabonis will step in (and replace Sullinger). I compare Sabonis to Draymond Green. Minus as good handles, shooting but is taller and has better interior scoring skills . Both are fiery competitors , able to guard multiple positions (versatility edge goes to Green), high IQ, high motor, very good rebounders and tough as nails. Sabonis will fit right in with this group and contribute right away imo.
Rest of the picks
23rd Pick: Luwawu - Draft and Stash
31st pick: Yabusele - Project with upside
45th pick: Ibeh - Send overseas
51st pick: Danuel House - Send overseas
58th pick: Chinanu Onuaku - Send overseas
I see a slight problem with your assessment on Murray.
Devin Booker is 6'6" with shoes and has a 6'8" wingspan and 8'6" standing reach. Overall, he has pretty optimal size for the SG spot.
Klay Thompson is 6'7" with shoes with a 6'9" wingspan and 8'7" standing reach - elite size for the SG spot, and solid size for even the SF spot.
For both of those guys, their size helps to make up for their lack of elite athleticism.
Jamal Murray is 6'4" in shoes with a 6'6" wingspan and an 8'1" standing reach. He's got good size for a PG but doesn't have the skills (passing, ball handling) to play that position. He's got poor size for a SG which would be OK if he made up for it with above average athleticism - but he doesn't.
With Murray's lack of athleticism, lack of lateral quickness, lack of passing/dribbling skills and lack of outright size...I see absolutely nothing to indicate that he has the potential to be anything more then JJ Reddick 2.0 - Reddick is a nice player if you're picking in the 8-12 range, but not at #3.
If Murray had the size of Booker or Thompson, then I'd be perfectly cool with that pick. But when has a player with Murray's size, length, athleticism, passing ability and ball handling skills (or lack thereof) ever become a star in the NBA? Has it ever happened in the past 20 years?
I can't think of a single guy.
Far as I can see Murray has "BUST" written all over him. I'm sure he'll be a productive player, but I think the probability of him ever becoming a star is pretty darn slim. A "safe" pick if I ever saw one.
Oh and before anybody says it yes, I do know he's 19. I don't care. I won't even begin to count through the list of 18/19 year old players who came out of college touted as bright prospects who never got anywhere.
Hell Murray might actually be THE highest risk of busting of all the guys projected to go top 7. I don't like Bender because of his high risk level but at least he has shown the promise of being able to contribute on both ends of the floor, and at least his physical limitation (muscle/bulk) is something the he could potentially improve. Murray isn't going to grow, his arms aren't going to get longer, and he's not going to become an explosive athlete - his physical limitations are things that will not change.
I think Bender, Hield, Dunn, Brown all have significantly lower risk of busting then Murray AND a significantly higher ceiling too. Wouldn't be surprised of Murray slides in the draft, much like Winslow did last year (I saw that coming).