Knowing next to nothing about College basketball and how various programs, competition, etc impact stats... just purely going off the numbers, my pick at #3 would have to be Jamal Murray.
I think if we're resigned to getting a fairly one dimensional prospect at #3, instead of trying to get a guy who is likely to become the sort of player you hope to get in the top 3, Murray is probably the best choice.
My preference is to swing for the fences at 3 -- even if it's for a super raw guy like Chriss, God help us -- and try to pick up some future role players elsewhere in the 1st / early 2nd.
Yeah I mean... I don't watch the game. But Murray seems to have decent size (6'5, 207), averaged 20 points, 5 rebounds as a Freshman... and shot an impressive 45%/41%/78%. Whoever Ainge picks, I'm sure will be someone they have confidence in. If Murray is the guy they select after vetting all the prospects, I'll be pretty encouraged. Instead of taking some guy who shot 41%/29%/60% and hoping he somehow develops a shot, or taking some Senior who was subpar for two years until he got old enough to bully younger guys, at least that Murray kid has a College career that can give you reasonable expectations he'll be an offensive weapon on the next level and is young enough to continue developing.
I thought you were high on Aaron Gordon who couldn't shoot at all coming out. Otherwise. I agree on both criteria. I do want to note that Kris Dunn is a 4th year player who lost 2 years due to injury and then was named Big East player of the year and Big East defensive player of the year two years running. I think he should have come out last year because he might have rose into the top 10. This year he might slide down within the top 10 because of team needs; with teams 3-7 already having PGs they could live with.
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Otherwise:
- I'd prefer Dunn at #3 as BPA > Hield > Murray with an asterisk next to Bender's name and a good trade being the best outcome. Not interested in guys like Brown and Chriss. If shooting only is the biggest need, I'd pick Hield as I'm concerned about Murray being able to create shots. Hield has a quicker release and greater range. The points O'Connor makes against Jamal Murray BTW are similar to the points Draft Express makes. If the Cs draft him though, I'll trust their judgment..
- Kyler's big point against Bender is that there is very little to go on with Bender, Porzingus was pretty much an unknown coming over for tryouts and Bender has far less experience than even Zinger had. I think it's a good point, Bender is a risky pick for a #3 in this draft. If Danny picks him, I trust it's because he sees how Bender's talent translates several years down the road.
- I think Kyler's throwing around names at this point of people he thinks deserve a closer look after the top 2. Kyler attends a lot of these open workouts just like Ford and Givony, so I don't think he's strictly throwing darts.
- I kind of expect that someone will take a shot at Skal in the top ten. It's kind of tiered 1-2, 3-6, 7-15, 15-35, and out and he's in that 7-15 group. I wouldn't pick him in the top 10, but I'm not picking,
Topic: Basketball Insiders consensus mock v5.0 (Read 9181 times)