Best chance of winning overall #1 pick

[timriffic]

since its inception the team with the 3rd best chance has won 6 times , sounds like luck of the irish

[gift]

Statistics tell us that it all depends on who is sent to represent the team at the lottery.

[timriffic]

they should send me . I've got a horseshoe up my azz

[PaulAllen]

usually its the first ball that gets picked 

[Green-Bananas]

Usually. You know something the rest of us don't?

[footey]

I played draft lottery on ESPN one time and Celtics took Ingram with the 2nd pick. Minny took Simmons with the 1st pick.

How sweet would that be?

[jpotter33]

I played draft lottery on ESPN one time and Celtics took Ingram with the 2nd pick. Minny took Simmons with the 1st pick.

How sweet would that be?

Not sweet at all, because Minny becomes a dynasty for the next decade in that scenario lol

[Boris Badenov]

If we stay at 3rd, the glass half full approach is to think that we have an equal shot at #1, #2 or #3. (This is true, 15.6% for each.)


The glass half empty view is that we're almost twice as likely to get #5 (27%) but who cares about that.

[hwangjini_1]

I played draft lottery on ESPN one time and Celtics took Ingram with the 2nd pick. Minny took Simmons with the 1st pick.

How sweet would that be?

Not sweet at all, because Minny becomes a dynasty for the next decade in that scenario lol

dont worry. they would screw things up sooner or later.

[celticmania]

I'd rather get the second so we can have a higher chance to get the first next year 

[PhoSita]

Nearly every day I go on tankathon.com and simulate until I get a scenario in which the Celts get a top 2 pick and the Lakers lose their pick.

[hwangjini_1]

i posted this in another thread, but it works here as well.

since 1993, the #3 seed in the lottery has won the number pick more times than #1, 2, and 4 picks combined.

i like this fun fact. 

[alldaboston]

Nearly every day I go on tankathon.com and simulate until I get a scenario in which the Celts get a top 2 pick and the Lakers lose their pick.

Glad I'm not the only one who does this

[Smokeeye123]

This thread is like a lesson in gambler's fallacy.

Just because it's happened in the past doesnt mean its less or more likely to happen again. The odds are the odds.

[greece66]

I played draft lottery on ESPN one time and Celtics took Ingram with the 2nd pick. Minny took Simmons with the 1st pick.

How sweet would that be?

Not sweet at all, because Minny becomes a dynasty for the next decade in that scenario lol

dont worry. they would screw things up sooner or later.

^ this. Minny always finds a way.