Author Topic: Danny Was Right  (Read 13048 times)

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Re: Danny Was Right
« Reply #75 on: April 12, 2016, 06:27:19 PM »

Offline mctyson

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Who thinks they are a real contender?  :o

Having a bad game at the worst time right now. It happens.

I know, I am not saying anything more than that "Danny was right."  He said that the team is not a true contender because it is too easy for them to get thrown off their game. 

I am also saying that they shoot too poorly too often to be a serious threat and they desperately need more shooting.

Again who's saying they are contender?

Danny said they weren't a contender in an interview, and it was a bit of news story over the past week.  Some called in controversial, especially since they were on track to be the #3 seed in the conference.  For example, Evan Turner sort of dismissed his comments. 

My original point is that Danny was right, and the team has had ample opportunity to prove him wrong, at least thus far in the regular season.  I am holding out hope that the best is yet to come and that Brad has something up his sleeve.  But the facts are that they (a) are too easy to throw off their game and (b) can't shoot.



Re: Danny Was Right
« Reply #76 on: April 12, 2016, 06:49:27 PM »

Offline Celtics18

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Who thinks they are a real contender?  :o

Having a bad game at the worst time right now. It happens.

I know, I am not saying anything more than that "Danny was right."  He said that the team is not a true contender because it is too easy for them to get thrown off their game. 

I am also saying that they shoot too poorly too often to be a serious threat and they desperately need more shooting.

Again who's saying they are contender?

Danny said they weren't a contender in an interview, and it was a bit of news story over the past week.  Some called in controversial, especially since they were on track to be the #3 seed in the conference.  For example, Evan Turner sort of dismissed his comments. 

My original point is that Danny was right, and the team has had ample opportunity to prove him wrong, at least thus far in the regular season.  I am holding out hope that the best is yet to come and that Brad has something up his sleeve.  But the facts are that they (a) are too easy to throw off their game and (b) can't shoot.

Danny's right; the current team isn't a legitimate title contender.  Outside of Evan Turner (and maybe some of the other guys on the team--and they should go into the playoffs thinking they are a contender), I don't think most of us feel like that's a particularly controversial statement.

They are, however, a legitimate contender to advance beyond the first round this year.  They've worked hard enough and played well enough all season to be in position where their first round opponent will be a team with whom they are on equal footing--this was obviously not the case last year.  Whether or not they will get home court for round one is still up in the air. 

For me, I'm just rooting for them to advance to the next round.  If they manage to win some games and make it competitive after that, well, awesome.  Maybe they'll have me believing in an upset by then.
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PG: G. Hill/D. Schroder
SG: C. Lee/B. Hield/T. Luwawu
SF:  Giannis/J. Lamb/M. Kuzminskas
PF:  E. Ilyasova/J. Jerebko/R. Christmas
C:    N. Vucevic/K. Olynyk/E. Davis/C. Jefferson

Re: Danny Was Right
« Reply #77 on: April 12, 2016, 07:05:56 PM »

Offline PaulP34

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I don't even care if the Celtics lose in the 1st round cause we r not a contender anyways. I love IT but u need much more then him to win out in the east. I don't expect the likes of Crowder, Bradley, Olynyk or Sully to be back next year. I don't care what happens this post season because its gonna be an entire different team next year. I'm excited about the off season n who we r going to pick up via trade and free agency. Danny is gonna make a splash n dive in head first this off season. The 2016-17 Boston Celtics will be feared before the season even starts... 2007-2008 all over again

Re: Danny Was Right
« Reply #78 on: April 12, 2016, 07:45:15 PM »

Offline PhoSita

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For me, I'm just rooting for them to advance to the next round.  If they manage to win some games and make it competitive after that, well, awesome.  Maybe they'll have me believing in an upset by then.

Agreed.

If they're up against the Hawks in the 1st round, I'll be happy just to see them push it to 6 or 7 games.

Bottom line, simply winning a playoff game will be a significant step in the process toward building a contender.  Avery Bradley is the only one on the team who was in the rotation the last time the Celts won a playoff game.
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Re: Danny Was Right
« Reply #79 on: April 12, 2016, 07:51:08 PM »

Offline Celtics18

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For me, I'm just rooting for them to advance to the next round.  If they manage to win some games and make it competitive after that, well, awesome.  Maybe they'll have me believing in an upset by then.

Agreed.

If they're up against the Hawks in the 1st round, I'll be happy just to see them push it to 6 or 7 games.

Bottom line, simply winning a playoff game will be a significant step in the process toward building a contender.  Avery Bradley is the only one on the team who was in the rotation the last time the Celts won a playoff game.

I think you misread me.  While I don't think advancing past the first round is anywhere near a given, anything less will be a disappointment in my mind and heart.
DKC Seventy-Sixers:

PG: G. Hill/D. Schroder
SG: C. Lee/B. Hield/T. Luwawu
SF:  Giannis/J. Lamb/M. Kuzminskas
PF:  E. Ilyasova/J. Jerebko/R. Christmas
C:    N. Vucevic/K. Olynyk/E. Davis/C. Jefferson

Re: Danny Was Right
« Reply #80 on: April 13, 2016, 03:14:29 AM »

Offline Hemingway

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We just need another scorer. AB and Crowder have done well in scoring more but we have too many guys who just stand around. I don't blame them, you can't be what your not, Jerebko isn't going to turn into Bird, we just need some scoring help at the 4 or 5 this summer. Simple as that.

Re: Danny Was Right
« Reply #81 on: April 13, 2016, 12:15:18 PM »

Offline mmmmm

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This was always a concern with our team, because IT can be taken out of his game so easily.

Yeah which is why he was their leading scorer 17 games in a row.

And has been a primary reason why we have lost the last 6 quarters...

Easy to do things in the season. How was IT again in the playoffs last year when he was taken out of his game?



Please, an exaggeration he was their leading scorer in the playoffs and their ONLY scorer. You're ragging on him for be the leading scorer on the eighth who got swept by the best team in the east. Where was his help? Where was Bradley? Crowder? Turner? When the Cavs were honing their defense on him, how come others didn't step up. If they did, it would take some burden off him.

Yeah, real impressive when you're the leading scorer shooting 33 fg% and 17 3PFG%.  ::)

It just shows what his role truly is: a sixth man volume scorer.

Sixth man?! The man is averaging 22 and 6 is this season are those sixth man numbers?

Yes, he is ideally a sixth man. His size and defense are too big of a disadvantage and his game is too easy to game plan for to be a legitimate starting point guard on a contending team.
I disagree.

Hes more than a sixth man and can certainly be a starter. When he is taken out of his game, we cant afford to see everyone else be garbage too.

Where was Jae? AB didnt generate any offense, Turner was garbage, Kelly was garbage, neither Sully nor Amir did jack.

IT is not really the problem.

Hes not Chris Paul or Steph obviously, but to say hes not starting caliber is too much.

Sure, he's starting caliber on THIS TEAM (at least this year - Smart should take back his starting position next year). But can you really say that he's an ideal starting caliber point guard? No, his game is totally tailored to be a sixth man, which is why it's his ideal position.

You are completely wrong.

The reason why he is such a dangerous scorer is because he is so DIFFICULT to gameplan against.  He's a guy who can score in just about ever imaginable way.  He can hit the three, he has a deadly midrange game, can shoot off spot-ups or off the dribble, can get into the paint and finish at the basket, gets to the line at an elite rate, makes his free throws at an elite percentage, etc.

Isaiah Thomas is probably one of the top 5 scorers in the entire NBA for all of the above reasons. I'm not talking in terms of pure scoring numbers, but in terms of scoring talent/skill/ability. 

The guy has been on an absolute tear since the All-Star break and has been nothing short of elite.   The game today was a terrible effort, but you can't blame Thomas for that - one or two bad games in 20 is hardly something to get frustrated about.

Putting a lanky, athletic defender on him isn't exactly rocket science. Pretty much every time that has happened IT has been limited - Shumpert, Livingston, MCW, etc. He's struggled against every single one of those guys. Further, it's amazing that more teams don't do it and then take advantage of him offensively more often.

This is just mythology.  First off, in regards to last year's playoffs, the ONLY game that Isaiah got 'limited' in was Game 3, in which for whatever reason the refs would not give him a foul call.  This became extremely obvious very early in the game and he only played 21 minutes in that game.

In the other three playoff games Isaiah scored 22, 22 &  21 points and dished out 10, 7 & 9 assists.  He got to the FT line 8, 10 & 12 times, nailing every one of them.

In their last 2 regular season matches, Shumpert has gotten large minutes (34:47 & 34:42) and was on the floor against Isaiah as much as possible (35:47 & 34:02), I suppose in some misguided attempt to have him 'limit' Isaiah.   Isaiah has lit him up for 49 points in those two games, getting to the FT line 19 times and dealing out 8 assists.  Isaiah's combined scoring efficiency (TS%) in those two games was .578.

Yeah, Shumpert did a fantastic job of limiting Isaiah there.  He was called for 9 PFs in those two games.  Meanwhile, he scored 16 points of his own on miserable .508 TS efficiency, so there is that.

If teams want to put a defensive specialist on the floor to try to shut down Isaiah, then they have to also incur the cost to their own offense for doing so.

This is what you call confirmation bias.

1) You're really going to use the last two games of the regular season last year - you know the games where their stars sat because they were resting - as evidence for your claim? Yeah, that's not a fair assessment to use. Using those games as an example, you could argue that we're a better team than Cleveland, which is an illogical argument to make given the context. Thus, you also can't use that argument here. Put Bradley out there on Kyrie with our three rookies and Young. How do you think his defensive stats are going to look then?

Umm.... nope.  Those two games were from THIS year.  But nice try.

Quote

2) Speaking of context, it's funny that you don't mention the percentages that IT shot in the playoffs. Could there be a reason for that - perhaps because they don't fit your narrative? Let's take a look at his shooting percentages to find out:

                        FG%  3P%  2P%  eFG%  FT%  PTS   AST  TOV
2015 Playoffs: .333   .167  .417  .361   .967  19.0  5.4    3.5

2015 Season: .411   .345  .473  .495   .861  17.5  7.0    2.6

I'm not sure what your definition of the word "limited" is, but this pretty categorically characterizes being limited in a playoff series. Other than FT% and assists, he was significantly limited to a much lower standard than his regular season statistics. It doesn't matter if he's scoring 20 points if he's shooting 33% and 17% from the field to get there. Only Kobe apologists look at those numbers and say they are good..

Sure, because ultimately scoring efficiency is far more relevant (because it measures effect on the scoreboard) than shooting efficiency.  In case you missed it, Isaiah got to the FT line a ton in those three games.  And he also dished out a ton of assists.   Even though Isaiah didn't shoot all that efficient, he still created points very efficiently.

But if you are of the school that still worships batting average, RBI's and the Game Winning RBI stats, more power to you.

Bro, I think you're thinking of last year, because Shump didn't start in the games this year, so it's not like he was on him all that much. How the hell is he supposed to "limit" IT when he's not even guarding him or even on the floor with him for the majority of the time? Can we say that Marcus Smart didn't limit a guy when the guy didn't score at all on him, but he did score when Smart was on the bench or guarding another play? No, that's non-sense.

On Feb 5, Shumpert came off the bench 7 minutes into the game and was on the floor most of the rest of the game when Isaiah was on the floor:
http://www.basketball-reference.com/boxscores/plus-minus/201602050CLE.html

On March 5, he entered the game after just 5 minutes and again, was on the floor most of the rest of the game when Isaiah was on the floor:
http://www.basketball-reference.com/boxscores/plus-minus/201603050CLE.html

Certainly, Shumpert didn't cover Isaiah exclusively.  Switches happen.  But he was on the floor for ~35 minutes in each game and overlapped with IT for probably two-thirds of that if not more.  What was the great value add of having him on the floor?  For his offense? 

How well did Livingston shut Isaiah down in the last Golden State game?  Oh, he only played 20 minutes.   And only some of them overlapped with Isaiah.  And, indeed, Isaiah didn't score much during those overlapping minutes.   Of course, neither did Livingston.  Which is why Livingston was only on the floor for 20 minutes.

And there is the rub:  If you put one of these "lanky athletic defender" guys on the floor for enough minutes to try to 'shut down Isaiah", then you have to tolerate their sub-par offense as well.
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Re: Danny Was Right
« Reply #82 on: April 13, 2016, 12:17:47 PM »

Offline mmmmm

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(Response to all of you - thread was getting a bit too long to keep hitting quote.  ;D)

Don't get me wrong, I'm actually a big fan of IT - but in the ideal role as a perennial sixth man of the year contender, similar to Jamal Crawford. Jamal Crawford is both a very good player and an important piece to the Clips, and he plays the perfect role that I envision IT in.

But without a doubt our environment has been absolutely perfect for him to thrive in, but you also have to admit that we have a rather limited ceiling with him as our best player AND primary scorer and decision-maker. For example, if we hit the jackpot and added a Durant and a Cousins or Horford type down low, then I would immediately move Smart to the starting lineup and IT to the sixth man role. Why? Because we're much less in need of his scoring and playmaking and much more in need of size, perimeter D to stop penetration at the top of the key, and smart decisions with the ball, which I think Smart is a much better decision-maker already than IT (outside of his shot selection on threes - which is coincidentally not an issue when he's the primary ball-handler). Further, you then have the most dangerous bench scoring option as a weapon off the bench when your other stars sit down.

I think we're all in agreement with IT's skill level and utility, but we just have differing opinions on what his ideal role is.

I wouldn't hate starting Isaiah Thomas next to Kevin Durant.  Remember that Durant is starting next to a high usage point guard currently, and they have had some fairly decent success together. 

In that scenario, I might try to start Jae Crowder at the two.

I stopped hating when you used the words, "next to Kevin Durant".
 ;D
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Re: Danny Was Right
« Reply #83 on: April 13, 2016, 01:11:11 PM »

Offline PhoSita

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I think you misread me.  While I don't think advancing past the first round is anywhere near a given, anything less will be a disappointment in my mind and heart.

Ah ok.

I thought it was strange that we seemed to be on the same page there.
You’ll have to excuse my lengthiness—the reason I dread writing letters is because I am so apt to get to slinging wisdom & forget to let up. Thus much precious time is lost.
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Re: Danny Was Right
« Reply #84 on: April 13, 2016, 01:28:00 PM »

Offline bigal534

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Everyone.....

RELAX.

Re: Danny Was Right
« Reply #85 on: April 13, 2016, 08:27:12 PM »

Offline mctyson

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Showing it again...

Re: Danny Was Right
« Reply #86 on: April 13, 2016, 08:28:52 PM »

Offline Rondo9

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Wait til the game is over.

Re: Danny Was Right
« Reply #87 on: April 13, 2016, 08:32:06 PM »

Offline dreamgreen

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I think this is who they really are talent wise. They win on defense and grit, when they don't do that they suck.

Re: Danny Was Right
« Reply #88 on: April 13, 2016, 08:36:04 PM »

Offline PhoSita

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OK, yeah, Danny definitely was right.

This Celts team has done some nice stuff in the regular season, but that doesn't mean anything in the third week of April and beyond.


You’ll have to excuse my lengthiness—the reason I dread writing letters is because I am so apt to get to slinging wisdom & forget to let up. Thus much precious time is lost.
- Mark Twain

Re: Danny Was Right
« Reply #89 on: April 13, 2016, 08:38:06 PM »

Offline alldaboston

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Edited.  Profanity and masked profanity are against forum rules and may result in discipline.. Do we have to bring this thread up every time we have a bad stretch?
I could very well see the Hawks... starting Taurean Prince at the 3, who is already better than Crowder, imo.

you vs. the guy she tells you not to worry about