I am not taking a stand on the various rumors, but one thing seems odd about this story.
If Ainge is selling the BKN pick for Okafor, to get out of this draft because he doesn't like it...why on earth would PHI be the buyers? They already have a guaranteed top 4 pick and a 50/50 shot at having #4/#5 too.
So they're going to add another pick which is also likely in the 4-6 range? Talk about putting all your eggs in one basket.
I mean, maybe they think they could move said pick for another asset - but why not just do that with Okafor? If we are to believe the story, both about BOS needing to include another asset and about Ainge's views on this draft, then Okafor is worth more than the BKN pick straight up.
Not saying that the story as rumored above isn't true. It's just....odd. Of course Philly has done lots of odd things in the last few years, but I figured that would be coming to an end with Colangelo aboard.
Simmons and House talk about that in their podcast. Adding the Brooklyn pick with their own increases their ping pong ball combos and heightens their chance of adding Ben Simmons. Right now they would have 250 out of 1001 combos. Adding the Brooklyn pick (if it stays at 4th) gives them an additional 156 lotto combos. So they'd own 406 out of 1001 lotto combos. They'd have huge odds of landing a top 2 pick with all those lotto combos.
Also, it would be cutting their losses. There's no way they keep all 3 bigs. One has to go.
That said, I don't believe the Brooklyn pick was all that was being offered. First, we'd have to include contracts (so at the very least we were giving them Rozier and Young or something). Second, Ainge himself referred to it as a "big package" and not the pick by itself. Third, it would be pretty foolish for Philly to give up Okafor for an unknown pick... which is why it's not surprising they backed out of the deal.
What I worry about now is if the draft actually does stink, what does that do to our trade options? The 2007 draft was pretty crap outside the top 2 picks, but we were still able to include the #5 pick in a package for a 32 year old allstar. I think we'd struggle to trade a pick outside the top 2 for a 20 year old star prospect, though. It had value, because of the potential to land in the top 2... when you remove that option, it degrades in value considerably, right?