I just don't know if Okafor's game is really going to translate in the new NBA. Sure, he'll have mismatches against certain teams that can't guard him down low, but it's just so abnormal to have a low post, non-stretch 5 nowadays who can't play defense. You almost need an Ibaka-type, i.e. 3 and D, stretch 4 next to him that is great defensively. However, there's just not that many guys like that in the NBA, especially at the 4.
And precious few who are efficient in the post. The other issue is whether you're clogging the lane for something more promising. But surely a mixture is possible, and surely Okafor could develop a pick and roll game as good as his post game. In any case, Brad Stevens is not shy about calling for post-ups.
I think there will always be a place in the NBA for big men with elite size and skill. I'm not convinced Okafor is a lost cause defensively and I don't buy into the idea that post up big men can't succeed in the NBA anymore. It's just not as easy to make it work as it once was.
He's also got a great body, great joints - he'll have a long career. The great feet and hands say he's eventually a plus individual defender. Being a good team defender is the larger part of defense, though; what has he got going for him?
1) He wants to be great - long record of excellence, and ample evidence in his post game of a history of relentless repetition and coachability. He's a worker.
2) He's got fight in him (! as shown off the court this year)
3) Great footwork translates easily into recovery and closeout
4) He sees the floor - incidentally, he's actually a pretty good passer
Currently shooting .690 from the line - that's C-minus, so he's not a hacking target, and he's a rookie; good chance he'll improve on it. Shooting 3.5 a game - likely to go up as he figures it out and gets respect from the refs.
His PER is 16.8, [dang] good, and obviously with upside.
Real Plus-minus hates him, VORP has him below replacement level. Ouch!
Why the Jekyll-and-Hyde disconnect between stats? He's failing as a team player and excelling as an individual. I think he can make up the gap - I bet we know by Playoffs 2018, just about the timeline that the Celtics are looking at.