First of all I have to apologize for writing this much. I guess I went a little overboard.
I think it might be difficult for the Celtics to orchestrate good trades right now. I might be totally wrong but envisioning me as GM I think I would have a tough time. Let me explain:
- I do not think that there is a trade out there right now that nets us a superstar, at least not one who is not over 30 and declining already. Maybe Cousins gets available, but if he does I think it will be at the end of the season.
- I would not like to include the Nets, Dallas or Memphis picks in any trades for non superstars right now (maybe Dallas at the deadline). Its very uncertain where these picks will fall and without knowing their worth its hard to make fair deals. I would trade the Minny Pick and our own (with at least top 3 better lottery protection).
- I would not like to trade players for picks. We have enough picks coming up.
- I like the way the Celtics play. I mostly enjoy watching them play. I kind of like all the players (most of the time).
- There are 3 areas that should/could be addressed through trades. We are not a good shooting team and not good at rim protection. We have 15 guys deserving of minutes but 9 to 10 man rotations just work best. Plus I would like the rookies (and Young) to get some (more) burn to develop them.
- So we probably should look for a 3 for 1 trade or 2 2 for 1 trades to trim down the roster get some more shooting and or/rim protection on the team.
- At this moment I would not like to include one of the rookies or Young in any deal that does not net the Celtics at least a potential All-Star. I just think you should not deal your rookies in there rookie season, that might come back to haunt you. I´d also like to keep Smart, AB, IT, Crowder, Amir and KO at least till the end of the season. If a star is available this changes. David Lee has actually played pretty good after a slow start. If there is a big trade his contract is going to be needed so I think he might be moved at the deadline but not before.
- That leaves JJ/Zeller (they don't really play much/are not really needed), Sully (playing good but contract year plus weight/injury concerns) and ET (while I have to admit that, the bone headed play/hero ball here and there aside, he has been pretty good so far, I have to say that when I have to trade one back court player than it has to be ET).
- So who might need a package including those players and what can the Celtics get back for them? One should look most closely at teams that find themselves at a place in the standings that they did not think they would be (e.g. Washington, Houston or NO) and at the teams that might be enticed to do a 1 for 2/3 deal (eg. Denver) to get into the tanking game later in the season.
- There are a couple of teams, especially Orlando and Houston, that might be looking at the same things we want to do (2for 1 upgrades). I might be hard to find a reasonable deal with those teams. I don´t think Orlando would agree to a 3 for one for Harris.
- Washington needs a PF/C bad, maybe 2 but what do they have to offer? Beal won´t be on the table. Would the C´s be interested in Porter? (I would not) Is there anyone else?
- NO actually don´t have a lot of players I like, Anderson maybe. I would not want to trade for Evans or Gordon. I think they would not be a big upgrade over what we already have.
- Milwaukee could be a trade partner. I admit I like Middleton and Henson. However I would be very reluctant to include AB in a deal for Middleton and I doubt a package of JJ, Sully and ET is getting it done.
- Phoenix probably wants to deal Morris but would we want him? (I would not but I like TJ Warren). Could we get Warren for Sully, probably not.
- There are some Teams like Charlotte, Detroit, Sacramento or Indiana that might like one or two of our guys but have basically nothing to offer (all the interesting guys are probably of limits for what we would be willing to offer).
- Denver might actually be our best chance. Something like Gallinari and Lauvergne for JJ, Zeller, Turner, Sully and the Minny Pick (overpay/not enough?)
It seems to me that right now there is not a lot out there that would realistically make sense for both the Celtics and their potential trade partner. I would still like to see one or two trades to address our needs, stabilize minute allocation and give our rookies some more playing time. What do you guys think? What is out there?