I think I'd give them their 2017 swap rights or 2018 pick back for Lopez. This year's pick stays.
Without Lopez, they'd be in pretty rough shape... and might even live up to the bottom 10 projections. So I could see the logic in moving 2018 + the 2017 pick swap for Lopez. He looked good the second half of last season... 19.7 points, 9.2 rebounds, 1.8 blocks on 53% shooting and 82% from the line. I still don't think Brooklyn will be as bad as people think.
I'm just struggling to think of 3, let alone 5 teams that will be worse than Brooklyn in the East? Philly, Magic and maybe New York...? I mean I'd take a team with Afflalo, Calderon, Carmelo, Robin Lopez and Porzingris over Brook Lopez, Thad Young and Joe Johnson...
Who are the Nets currently better than?
I'm either entirely thick or missing something. Aside from Deron Williams (who most admit is borderline washed up), how is this team different than the one that finished the season? Plumlee was down to 13 minutes per game during the final month and 8mpg during the playoffs... so him leaving isn't the reason, is it?
Brooklyn was a poorly coached team. Brook Lopez spent half the season coming off the bench. Over the second half, he averaged 19.7 points, 9.2 rebounds, 1.8 blocks on 53% shooting and 82% from the line. They had Thad Young for 28 games and he avearged 14 points, 6 rebounds, 1.4 assists and 1.4 steals... Joe Johnson was still an effective 14.4 points, 4.8 rebounds, 3.7 assists... in the playoffs he averaged 17 points, 8 rebounds, 5 assists and a steal.
Brooklyn finished the season 13-6. They looked good. But now everyone says they will be the worst team in the league? I get that they lost Deron and Jarret Jack isn't the world's greatest PG. I get that the addition of Bargnani isn't anything to be concerned about (though he averaged 16.2 points, 4.6 rebounds, 1.8 assists, 1 block on 46%/37%/83% shooting over the second half of the season) ... but why am I the only person who thinks a team that has made the playoffs 4 years in a row and has literally nothing to lose probably isn't going to be the worst team in the league?
I still think everyone's projections are contingent on the idea that Lopez re-injures himself. Everyone acts like it's a foregone conclusion.
1. Deron Williams was nowhere near as good as he used to be, but he was still arguably their best player (his 14-15 real plus-minus was the best on the team by a substantial margin).
2. Jarrett Jack is taking Deron Williams minutes and he's an advanced stat nightmare. The Nets were awful with him on the floor (as the Cavs were the year before).
3. Shane Larkin is taking Jack's minutes and he's even worse than Jack! What the Nets did to their PG position is the equivalent of the Hawks replacing Jeff Teague with Raymond Felton and Phil Pressey.
4. Joe Johnson is one more year older and ended the last season looking like a scrub.
5. Their 13-6 record came against crap competition (they lost their 3 road games against playoff teams by an average of 27 points during that stretch) and a big part of their success was Deron Williams' ability to get Brook Lopez easy shots in pick and roll (something Jack failed to do all season) and stretch the floor (something that neither Jack nor Larkin can do).
6. They replaced their weak back-up bigs (Teletovic, Plumlee, Jefferson) with horrific ones: Bargnani and T-Rob were horror shows last year.
7. Alan Anderson was very underrated for what he brought to the team last season. He's a tough defender that has a decent perimeter game and brought some nastiness.
8. Lopez and Young were in contract seasons. The importance of this can't be measured.
9. Lopez played 72 games. His last 4 seasons he's played in 5, 74, 17, and 72. So this could be the year he misses significant time. Regardless, it's a safe bet to say he misses considerable time the next 3 seasons, which is why I wouldn't deal 1 of those picks, let alone all 3, back for a poor defender, below average rebounder, who has injury issues, and doesn't fit the system.