After some fluctuations between excitement, pessimism, and neutrality, I am at a standstill right now thinking about the draft this year. I don't think there are any more mock boards or profiles I can read, or youtube videos I can watch. I wanted to look back to the past few years to get a sense of what our picks at 16 and 28 (if we are unable to move up) have netted for other teams in the past few years.
The past few drafts have been admittedly weak. In 2014 and 2013, talent seemed to drop off pretty quickly. I took a look at first round for each of these years.
2014: Shallow draft, take-home for me was that there was a pretty significant drop off after just the first 3. Elfrid (10) and Lavine (13) seem to have promise. Looking at our positions this year, 16 landed Jusuf Nurkic (idk who it is, but imagine an early draft and stash?) and C.J. Wilcox at 28. Not all that encouraging.
2013: A bit deeper, with Noel (6), McLemore (7), KCP (

, MCW (11), S. Adams (12), Giannis (15), Schroeder (17), Snell (20), Plumlee (22). Not bad. At 16 we selected Nogueira and Livio Jean-Charles went 28. Another meh, not encouraging.
2012: More exciting, but far better draft. While there appear to be a nice group of potentially very good players this year, 2012 was pretty top heavy but also had quite a few steals in the late 1st and early 2nd. Davis (1), Beal (3), Lillard (6), Barnes (7), Ross (

, Drummond (9!), Henson (14) and Sully (21) were all nice selections. Beyond that, there were plenty of pleasant surprises, including Ezeli (30), Crowder (34), Draymond (35), Middleton (39!). Royce White went 16, Perry Jones III at 28. Bleh, but there were nice steals late nonetheless.
In hindsight, I'm not too optimistic about our positions and really hope we find a way to move up. Seems to be the right move to make with the crop coming in this year, especially when considering drafts within the past few years and those upcoming. Albeit this may be a bit short-sighted, as I only went back to 2012, I am thinking this may be a fairly good indicator of how well selections in our positions this year can turn out.