ellis has had his best season with the Mavs
why is ellis gone?
rondo is definitely gone
chandler maybe gone
parsons will impact them at the start of the season
dirk hasnt really shown much decline
they may miss the playoffs (i mean if you had to choose between all the playoff teams in the west- the team most likely to fall out is dallas or Pelicans as OKC would be back)
with that said rick is an excellent coach
cuban has shown he is not scared of spending in free agency and wants to remain competitive in dirk's last years
dirk will not leave the Mavs (he would only leave if he hadnt won a championship)
so we are relying on the fact that
dirk's health/game declines or injured for the season (unlikely)
parsons stays at the same level of production (likely)
ellis, chandler, and rondo leave (50-50)
and they cannot attract any good/solid free agents to replace them (50-50 as they have the money but depends on free agents availablity)