Author Topic: The Atlanta Hawks and Tanking  (Read 9809 times)

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Re: The Atlanta Hawks and Tanking
« Reply #45 on: April 13, 2015, 04:23:02 PM »

Offline Moranis

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Agreed, my point was more that it'd be hard to be considered one of the best players ever if you don't win a title.
that is because if you are that good is is hard not to win a title.  It happens like Malone (and nearly happened with KG), but it is rare because those guys are quite honestly just that good.

Barkley is another good example, but I still think there's a bit of a fallacy going on here: you're using a player's inherent greatness as a reason for why they won a title, when I'm fairly certain there's some hindsight bias going on because they won a title.

The truth, I suspect, is somewhere in the middle.
But is it though.  I mean before Lebron won he was widely regarded as one of the better players of his generation and an all timer.  Sure winning solidified his place, but he had reached that magnitude without the title.  I think Durant is probably headed there even if he never wins a title, but that certainly helps.

When you start listing the greatest players at each position in history, you see they almost all have titles, and most have multiple titles.  Even PG which is historically the least important position for winning titles, most of the guys have titles.  Even if you look at just the last 15 years and top 5 for each position, the vast majority have titles. 

And again historically you acquire those players via the draft or trades, free agency is great for acquiring secondary pieces, but rarely yields a Gold Medal Superstar or even a Silver Medal Superstar. 

Look at the last few champions (top few players)

San An - Draft (TD), Draft (Parker), Draft (Manu), Draft day trade (Leonard)
Miami - Draft (Wade), FA (James), FA (Bosh), draft (haslem)
Dallas - Draft day trade (Dirk), Trade (chandler), FA (kidd), Trade (Terry)
Lakers - Trade prior to playing (Kobe), Trade (Pau), Draft (Bynum), Trade (Odom)
Celtics - Draft (PP), Trade (KG), Trade (Allen)
Miami - Draft (Wade), Trade (Shaq), Draft (Haslem), Trade (Toine), FA (Payton)
Detroit - Trade (Wallace), Trade (Wallace), Trade (Hamilton), FA (Billups), Draft (Prince)

The only Free Agent to even be a top 2 player for a title team was Lebron (maybe Billups though I think both the Wallaces and Hamilton were better than Chauncey that season, though Chauncey got hot in the playoffs).  And every single team aside from Detroit was essentially anchored by a player that the team drafted (LA and Dallas acquired their anchor before they ever played in the league so they were essentially drafted by them).  Now a lot of those teams had a fair amount of players in the rotation that were acquired via free agency, but a rotation player is not an anchor.  To get an anchor you need to draft them or trade for them and historically draft works better.  And obviously not all of those drafted anchors were top 5 picks (Dirk, PP, and Kobe were not), but it certainly seems to help.  Of note, most of the players acquired via trade that became anchor/star/etc. were also top 5 picks in their respective drafts.   

Putting your eggs in the free agency basket is not something I would do.  Historically it really has only worked out for Miami and LA and that was just in two specific off seasons (I do also think it will work out for Cleveland as I believe the Cavs will win the title this year, but James coming back home is not exactly normal free agency either). 
2023 Historical Draft - Brooklyn Nets - 9th pick

Bigs - Pau, Amar'e, Issel, McGinnis, Roundfield
Wings - Dantley, Bowen, J. Jackson
Guards - Cheeks, Petrovic, Buse, Rip

Re: The Atlanta Hawks and Tanking
« Reply #46 on: April 13, 2015, 04:30:09 PM »

Offline D.o.s.

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I totally agree with all of that. And while I agree with you regarding LeBron, I'm not sold on Durant being in the same stratosphere -- it'll be the difference between a Jordan and a Malone, or an Iverson or a Nash.
At least a goldfish with a Lincoln Log on its back goin' across your floor to your sock drawer has a miraculous connotation to it.

Re: The Atlanta Hawks and Tanking
« Reply #47 on: April 13, 2015, 04:48:21 PM »

Offline Moranis

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I totally agree with all of that. And while I agree with you regarding LeBron, I'm not sold on Durant being in the same stratosphere -- it'll be the difference between a Jordan and a Malone, or an Iverson or a Nash.
I'm not sure about that with Durant.  He already has a MVP, 4 or 5 scoring titles (depends how you count them), etc.  He already rates higher than a guy like Dominique and has a more complete game than him.  He is also just 26.  Assuming he has a normal career arc, he will be thought of as perhaps the 4th best SF in history behind James, Bird, and Dr. J.  If he starts winning titles he very well might catapult into the discussion for greatest SF in history.
2023 Historical Draft - Brooklyn Nets - 9th pick

Bigs - Pau, Amar'e, Issel, McGinnis, Roundfield
Wings - Dantley, Bowen, J. Jackson
Guards - Cheeks, Petrovic, Buse, Rip

Re: The Atlanta Hawks and Tanking
« Reply #48 on: April 13, 2015, 05:10:41 PM »

Offline Vox_Populi

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Is Durant now, without any ringhs but probably one of the five best offensive players we've seen, already considered "greater" than Pippen?

Re: The Atlanta Hawks and Tanking
« Reply #49 on: April 13, 2015, 05:52:39 PM »

Offline mahcus smaht

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Fwiw when I started this thread I did it simply to compare two seperate Atlanta hawks rebuilds. One was by the book tanking with 2 young "stars" and 2 top 3 picks. The second rebuild was an on the fly one. They never scraped the lottery and with some
Good late picks and fa signings they HAVE ALREADY OUTPERFORMED THE FIRST REBUILD. I'm not saying that they are some championship blueprint because they've won nothing in the playoffs I just found the 2 rebuilding processes interesting to compare and contrast etc.

Re: The Atlanta Hawks and Tanking
« Reply #50 on: April 13, 2015, 06:00:54 PM »

Offline Celtics4ever

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Durant is a great one for sure but I for one am worried about his health after this year.

Re: The Atlanta Hawks and Tanking
« Reply #51 on: April 13, 2015, 06:41:48 PM »

Offline Future Celtics Owner

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Many people on this board are infatuated with the Hawks. I truly do not understand why a Celtics fan would drool over the Hawks "model".

I honestly do not think they will make it out of the East.

Re: The Atlanta Hawks and Tanking
« Reply #52 on: April 13, 2015, 06:44:19 PM »

Offline Moranis

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Is Durant now, without any ringhs but probably one of the five best offensive players we've seen, already considered "greater" than Pippen?
my post was assuming a normal career arc for Durant.  That said that is an interesting topic.  Pippen was by far a better defender, but he didn't have near the offensive repertoire of Durant.  And while Pippen was a great player, we saw in his times without Jordan he wasn't quite good enough to win a title as his teams best player (and that Portland team was a pretty darn good team, though Pip was past his prime then), so I'm not sure I'd hold that against Durant while also praising Pippen. 
2023 Historical Draft - Brooklyn Nets - 9th pick

Bigs - Pau, Amar'e, Issel, McGinnis, Roundfield
Wings - Dantley, Bowen, J. Jackson
Guards - Cheeks, Petrovic, Buse, Rip

Re: The Atlanta Hawks and Tanking
« Reply #53 on: April 13, 2015, 06:46:51 PM »

Offline mahcus smaht

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Many people on this board are infatuated with the Hawks. I truly do not understand why a Celtics fan would drool over the Hawks "model".

I honestly do not think they will make it out of the East.
To be honest I expect them to be like the moneyball A's and lose probably in the ECF but very possibly before that. The infatuation with them probably comes from the fact that they ran away with the east. That's quite impressive even if the east is week they led it wire to wire

Re: The Atlanta Hawks and Tanking
« Reply #54 on: April 13, 2015, 07:20:26 PM »

Offline gpap

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Many people on this board are infatuated with the Hawks. I truly do not understand why a Celtics fan would drool over the Hawks "model".

I honestly do not think they will make it out of the East.


Because too many people are also infatuated with the Sixers tanking model and the Hawks model shows you don't need to tank to become good again.

Re: The Atlanta Hawks and Tanking
« Reply #55 on: April 13, 2015, 07:53:43 PM »

Offline PhoSita

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Fans of a sub .500 team are "infatuated" with the way that a 60 win team plays and is built.

Go figure.  :P
You’ll have to excuse my lengthiness—the reason I dread writing letters is because I am so apt to get to slinging wisdom & forget to let up. Thus much precious time is lost.
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Re: The Atlanta Hawks and Tanking
« Reply #56 on: April 13, 2015, 08:14:14 PM »

Offline gpap

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Fans of a sub .500 team are "infatuated" with the way that a 60 win team plays and is built.

Go figure.  :P

Lol, imagine that.