Author Topic: Are we the 2nd worst team in the NBA now?  (Read 11349 times)

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Re: Are we the 2nd worst team in the NBA now?
« Reply #30 on: December 06, 2014, 11:17:41 PM »

Offline BballTim

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No, we aren't the 2nd worst.
I'd say we are about the 4th to 6th worst team. What's keeping us from being a bottom 4 team is indeed our coach. His offense that made scrubby Butler teams compete with the best talent in the NCAA is actually working against NBA teams. I'm amazed at how quickly he's adjusted to the NBA. Thank god we don't have any good shooters or rim protector because we'd be a 6th seed in the East with no problems if we did. Who knows, with Zeller defending the paint (making it easier on Sully) and also running the pick and roll with Rondo, we may just end up battling for the 8th seed in this horrid conference. It's unlikely though because most NBA teams don't guard the pick and roll like the Lakers do. (like their eyes are closed!).

Teams we are better than:
-Philly- durrrr.
-Lakers- open tank job when you play Robert Sacre that many minutes vs a bottom team like us.
-Minnesota.
-Detroit- open tank job as Van Gundy aims to put decent draft pieces around Drummond, Caldwell Pope and Knight. They might creep up to a similar record to us depending on the ease of schedule.

After that, I'd say that the Knicks and Jazz are right there with us in a three team race for the 5th worst team.

  Right now we've played the 4th hardest schedule in the league and there are 9 teams with worse records than us and 10 teams with worse point differentials than us. I think it's a little early to say we're a bottom 5 or so team.

Re: Are we the 2nd worst team in the NBA now?
« Reply #31 on: December 06, 2014, 11:31:36 PM »

Offline chambers

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No, we aren't the 2nd worst.
I'd say we are about the 4th to 6th worst team. What's keeping us from being a bottom 4 team is indeed our coach. His offense that made scrubby Butler teams compete with the best talent in the NCAA is actually working against NBA teams. I'm amazed at how quickly he's adjusted to the NBA. Thank god we don't have any good shooters or rim protector because we'd be a 6th seed in the East with no problems if we did. Who knows, with Zeller defending the paint (making it easier on Sully) and also running the pick and roll with Rondo, we may just end up battling for the 8th seed in this horrid conference. It's unlikely though because most NBA teams don't guard the pick and roll like the Lakers do. (like their eyes are closed!).

Teams we are better than:
-Philly- durrrr.
-Lakers- open tank job when you play Robert Sacre that many minutes vs a bottom team like us.
-Minnesota.
-Detroit- open tank job as Van Gundy aims to put decent draft pieces around Drummond, Caldwell Pope and Knight. They might creep up to a similar record to us depending on the ease of schedule.

After that, I'd say that the Knicks and Jazz are right there with us in a three team race for the 5th worst team.

What's going to help our draft position however, is the probable trading of Bass, Thornton, Turner and hopefully Wallace.

 I'm still not sure what will happen with Jeff Green.
Paul George's injury and his scandal with Hibbert's girlfriend may have given us one of the opportunities that Danny Ainge waits for- a disgruntled championship impact player needing a change of scenery and coming out of contract. I believe Danny desperately tried to trade Green last year, but couldn't find any takers for any kind of decent return.
 But 6 months later, Jeff Green being one of Hibbert's best buddies could be a large part of getting Hibbert over to Beantown. Danny will just have to convince Green to a friendly deal. After all we did look after him with his last contract so it's very possible. I am not a fan of Green and don't want to pay him more than $12 million a year under the new cap- but if it means getting Hibbert here and signed long term, then I guess I'd agree to it- it just means that moving Avery Bradley becomes mission number one.

Back to the OP's topic...
I'd say the answer is somewhere around the 5th, 6th, or 7th worst team. Without Stevens we'd be right there with the Lakers battling for 2nd or 3rd because our terrible defense wouldn't be countered by a decent offense. However if we trade Bass, Thornton and Turner I'm not sure how much Stevens can do to stop the pain, and by season's end a bottom 4 finish is not out of the question.
But hey, no pain, no gain.  8)

I disagree with this assessment.  I think that from a talent perspective we are around 18th to 20th (or 10th to 12th worst) in the league.  The reality is that this might be good enough to compete for a playoff spot in the weak East. 

I also don't see why trading our 7th, 8th and 9th best players would affect our record all that much.  I'm not necessarily agreeing that I want to see those guys traded, but they aren't close to being among our most essential players.

I can understand your perspective completely. I could obviously be very wrong. I do disagree that there are 10-12 teams that have worse talent than us.
As far as talent goes, we have:
Rondo-stud/All Star caliber (or just below currently).
Sully-stud
Smart-stud
Olynyk- unknown ceiling at this stage, offensive talent is high, although worried about his competitiveness.
Zeller- career back up big?
Bradley- career 6th man?
James Young- who knows. Good be Eddie House or James Posey- or better.
We have some picks too.
Green- above average role player? Horrible efficiency but is okay in most areas?
Bass- role player?

Bass is arguably our #1 big off the bench and gives us some strength defensively.
Thornton has average 7 points a game in 15 minutes shooting 40% from three. I'm not sure who replaces that?
Same with Turner- he stinks but he's getting 9 points a game and can bring the ball up while defending 2/3's without doing too much damage to us.

We'll arguably have the thinnest bench in the NBA if we lose Bass and Thornton because Smart and Young are rookies. Bench will be:
Smart
Young
Olynyk
Powell
Turner if he stays.
Faverani
Pressey

Our talent in particular areas is great, it's the way that talent is distributed. Like having 4 or 5 shooting guards and 2 point guards (one of whom is a D League level player in Pressey with severe defensive problems and lack of size).

Having no rim protection and no one who can create their own shot at will other than Sullinger and Thornton.

Having 3 power forwards in Sully, Olynyk and Bass who are among our best players, but not enough minutes for all of them to maximise their strength relative to the roster.

We just don't have a 'complete' roster and it's why we suck.

But it could turn the other way, we could make a trade for a half decent rim protector and another shooter and battle our way to the 8th seed with some improvement on defense.

Something tells me that Ainge won't let that happen though. He's waited so long and avoided going for a fill in rim protector that I can't see any universe in which he makes moves to make us better this season, unless we get an All Star level player at the trade deadline.

I will say that we are in a great spot for next season, when we can take a clear direction with picks, cap room and assets. Our brilliant coach just makes it better for the long haul.
Nailed it. Ainge has gone all or nothing and I don't think he'll change his mind now.

This last sentence by greece is where my main disagreement is with you guys.  I don't buy this "all or nothing" mantra.  I understand that Danny hasn't gone all out to put the absolute most competitive team on the floor this year as was humanly possible.  However, I don't believe that means that he, and the rest of the organization, don't understand what a positive step for the future it would be if this young team could manage to exceed expectations and make the playoffs this year.

Such a scenario would open up more avenues for improvement than it would close.  Sure, we'd get a slightly lower draft pick, but we'd be a more lucrative destination for free agents and, I think more importantly, it would mean that our youngsters showed significant improvement in their games.  It would make everyone a better trade asset, or simply a better player if kept.

It would be a great chemistry building experience for the team, and mean that the future is closer than many would have us believe. 

Danny's not about to sell off the future for limited short-term improvement.  But, that is far from meaning he is "all in on the tank."

The problem is, who can we get for the short term, that is both;
a) good ?
b) cheap ?

I 100% agree with Greek that Ainge is all in or nothing.
He hates mediocrity. Early last season he did an interview where he stated that making the playoffs would be great, but making the playoffs because the rest of the conference is terrible is not great and really doesn't achieve anything under the circumstances. It's like you're the second best boxer in the world. You beat everyone except the guy at the top. He then retires young because of a career ending injury, and you become the world champion. You still never beat that guy. Do you deserve that crown? Technically you do, but are you fulfilled? Did you really earn that spot?

This Celtics team is not a playoff caliber basketball team.
So we shouldn't be playing in the playoffs- in my opinion.
"We are lucky we have a very patient GM that isn't willing to settle for being good and coming close. He wants to win a championship and we have the potential to get there still with our roster and assets."

quoting 'Greg B' on RealGM after 2017 trade deadline.
Read that last line again. One more time.

Re: Are we the 2nd worst team in the NBA now?
« Reply #32 on: December 06, 2014, 11:42:33 PM »

Offline chambers

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No, we aren't the 2nd worst.
I'd say we are about the 4th to 6th worst team. What's keeping us from being a bottom 4 team is indeed our coach. His offense that made scrubby Butler teams compete with the best talent in the NCAA is actually working against NBA teams. I'm amazed at how quickly he's adjusted to the NBA. Thank god we don't have any good shooters or rim protector because we'd be a 6th seed in the East with no problems if we did. Who knows, with Zeller defending the paint (making it easier on Sully) and also running the pick and roll with Rondo, we may just end up battling for the 8th seed in this horrid conference. It's unlikely though because most NBA teams don't guard the pick and roll like the Lakers do. (like their eyes are closed!).

Teams we are better than:
-Philly- durrrr.
-Lakers- open tank job when you play Robert Sacre that many minutes vs a bottom team like us.
-Minnesota.
-Detroit- open tank job as Van Gundy aims to put decent draft pieces around Drummond, Caldwell Pope and Knight. They might creep up to a similar record to us depending on the ease of schedule.

After that, I'd say that the Knicks and Jazz are right there with us in a three team race for the 5th worst team.

What's going to help our draft position however, is the probable trading of Bass, Thornton, Turner and hopefully Wallace.

 I'm still not sure what will happen with Jeff Green.
Paul George's injury and his scandal with Hibbert's girlfriend may have given us one of the opportunities that Danny Ainge waits for- a disgruntled championship impact player needing a change of scenery and coming out of contract. I believe Danny desperately tried to trade Green last year, but couldn't find any takers for any kind of decent return.
 But 6 months later, Jeff Green being one of Hibbert's best buddies could be a large part of getting Hibbert over to Beantown. Danny will just have to convince Green to a friendly deal. After all we did look after him with his last contract so it's very possible. I am not a fan of Green and don't want to pay him more than $12 million a year under the new cap- but if it means getting Hibbert here and signed long term, then I guess I'd agree to it- it just means that moving Avery Bradley becomes mission number one.

Back to the OP's topic...
I'd say the answer is somewhere around the 5th, 6th, or 7th worst team. Without Stevens we'd be right there with the Lakers battling for 2nd or 3rd because our terrible defense wouldn't be countered by a decent offense. However if we trade Bass, Thornton and Turner I'm not sure how much Stevens can do to stop the pain, and by season's end a bottom 4 finish is not out of the question.
But hey, no pain, no gain.  8)

I disagree with this assessment.  I think that from a talent perspective we are around 18th to 20th (or 10th to 12th worst) in the league.  The reality is that this might be good enough to compete for a playoff spot in the weak East. 

I also don't see why trading our 7th, 8th and 9th best players would affect our record all that much.  I'm not necessarily agreeing that I want to see those guys traded, but they aren't close to being among our most essential players.

I can understand your perspective completely. I could obviously be very wrong. I do disagree that there are 10-12 teams that have worse talent than us.
As far as talent goes, we have:
Rondo-stud/All Star caliber (or just below currently).
Sully-stud
Smart-stud
Olynyk- unknown ceiling at this stage, offensive talent is high, although worried about his competitiveness.
Zeller- career back up big?
Bradley- career 6th man?
James Young- who knows. Good be Eddie House or James Posey- or better.
We have some picks too.
Green- above average role player? Horrible efficiency but is okay in most areas?
Bass- role player?

Bass is arguably our #1 big off the bench and gives us some strength defensively.
Thornton has average 7 points a game in 15 minutes shooting 40% from three. I'm not sure who replaces that?
Same with Turner- he stinks but he's getting 9 points a game and can bring the ball up while defending 2/3's without doing too much damage to us.

We'll arguably have the thinnest bench in the NBA if we lose Bass and Thornton because Smart and Young are rookies. Bench will be:
Smart
Young
Olynyk
Powell
Turner if he stays.
Faverani
Pressey

Our talent in particular areas is great, it's the way that talent is distributed. Like having 4 or 5 shooting guards and 2 point guards (one of whom is a D League level player in Pressey with severe defensive problems and lack of size).

Having no rim protection and no one who can create their own shot at will other than Sullinger and Thornton.

Having 3 power forwards in Sully, Olynyk and Bass who are among our best players, but not enough minutes for all of them to maximise their strength relative to the roster.

We just don't have a 'complete' roster and it's why we suck.

But it could turn the other way, we could make a trade for a half decent rim protector and another shooter and battle our way to the 8th seed with some improvement on defense.

Something tells me that Ainge won't let that happen though. He's waited so long and avoided going for a fill in rim protector that I can't see any universe in which he makes moves to make us better this season, unless we get an All Star level player at the trade deadline.

I will say that we are in a great spot for next season, when we can take a clear direction with picks, cap room and assets. Our brilliant coach just makes it better for the long haul.
Nailed it. Ainge has gone all or nothing and I don't think he'll change his mind now.

This last sentence by greece is where my main disagreement is with you guys.  I don't buy this "all or nothing" mantra.  I understand that Danny hasn't gone all out to put the absolute most competitive team on the floor this year as was humanly possible.  However, I don't believe that means that he, and the rest of the organization, don't understand what a positive step for the future it would be if this young team could manage to exceed expectations and make the playoffs this year.

Such a scenario would open up more avenues for improvement than it would close.  Sure, we'd get a slightly lower draft pick, but we'd be a more lucrative destination for free agents and, I think more importantly, it would mean that our youngsters showed significant improvement in their games.  It would make everyone a better trade asset, or simply a better player if kept.

It would be a great chemistry building experience for the team, and mean that the future is closer than many would have us believe. 

Danny's not about to sell off the future for limited short-term improvement.  But, that is far from meaning he is "all in on the tank."

I'd also say that it's far more likely that we trade away Bass, Thornton, Turner etc than sign any more mediocre/half decent players to our mediocre team.
"We are lucky we have a very patient GM that isn't willing to settle for being good and coming close. He wants to win a championship and we have the potential to get there still with our roster and assets."

quoting 'Greg B' on RealGM after 2017 trade deadline.
Read that last line again. One more time.

Re: Are we the 2nd worst team in the NBA now?
« Reply #33 on: December 06, 2014, 11:42:35 PM »

Offline Celtics18

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No, we aren't the 2nd worst.
I'd say we are about the 4th to 6th worst team. What's keeping us from being a bottom 4 team is indeed our coach. His offense that made scrubby Butler teams compete with the best talent in the NCAA is actually working against NBA teams. I'm amazed at how quickly he's adjusted to the NBA. Thank god we don't have any good shooters or rim protector because we'd be a 6th seed in the East with no problems if we did. Who knows, with Zeller defending the paint (making it easier on Sully) and also running the pick and roll with Rondo, we may just end up battling for the 8th seed in this horrid conference. It's unlikely though because most NBA teams don't guard the pick and roll like the Lakers do. (like their eyes are closed!).

Teams we are better than:
-Philly- durrrr.
-Lakers- open tank job when you play Robert Sacre that many minutes vs a bottom team like us.
-Minnesota.
-Detroit- open tank job as Van Gundy aims to put decent draft pieces around Drummond, Caldwell Pope and Knight. They might creep up to a similar record to us depending on the ease of schedule.

After that, I'd say that the Knicks and Jazz are right there with us in a three team race for the 5th worst team.

What's going to help our draft position however, is the probable trading of Bass, Thornton, Turner and hopefully Wallace.

 I'm still not sure what will happen with Jeff Green.
Paul George's injury and his scandal with Hibbert's girlfriend may have given us one of the opportunities that Danny Ainge waits for- a disgruntled championship impact player needing a change of scenery and coming out of contract. I believe Danny desperately tried to trade Green last year, but couldn't find any takers for any kind of decent return.
 But 6 months later, Jeff Green being one of Hibbert's best buddies could be a large part of getting Hibbert over to Beantown. Danny will just have to convince Green to a friendly deal. After all we did look after him with his last contract so it's very possible. I am not a fan of Green and don't want to pay him more than $12 million a year under the new cap- but if it means getting Hibbert here and signed long term, then I guess I'd agree to it- it just means that moving Avery Bradley becomes mission number one.

Back to the OP's topic...
I'd say the answer is somewhere around the 5th, 6th, or 7th worst team. Without Stevens we'd be right there with the Lakers battling for 2nd or 3rd because our terrible defense wouldn't be countered by a decent offense. However if we trade Bass, Thornton and Turner I'm not sure how much Stevens can do to stop the pain, and by season's end a bottom 4 finish is not out of the question.
But hey, no pain, no gain.  8)

I disagree with this assessment.  I think that from a talent perspective we are around 18th to 20th (or 10th to 12th worst) in the league.  The reality is that this might be good enough to compete for a playoff spot in the weak East. 

I also don't see why trading our 7th, 8th and 9th best players would affect our record all that much.  I'm not necessarily agreeing that I want to see those guys traded, but they aren't close to being among our most essential players.

I can understand your perspective completely. I could obviously be very wrong. I do disagree that there are 10-12 teams that have worse talent than us.
As far as talent goes, we have:
Rondo-stud/All Star caliber (or just below currently).
Sully-stud
Smart-stud
Olynyk- unknown ceiling at this stage, offensive talent is high, although worried about his competitiveness.
Zeller- career back up big?
Bradley- career 6th man?
James Young- who knows. Good be Eddie House or James Posey- or better.
We have some picks too.
Green- above average role player? Horrible efficiency but is okay in most areas?
Bass- role player?

Bass is arguably our #1 big off the bench and gives us some strength defensively.
Thornton has average 7 points a game in 15 minutes shooting 40% from three. I'm not sure who replaces that?
Same with Turner- he stinks but he's getting 9 points a game and can bring the ball up while defending 2/3's without doing too much damage to us.

We'll arguably have the thinnest bench in the NBA if we lose Bass and Thornton because Smart and Young are rookies. Bench will be:
Smart
Young
Olynyk
Powell
Turner if he stays.
Faverani
Pressey

Our talent in particular areas is great, it's the way that talent is distributed. Like having 4 or 5 shooting guards and 2 point guards (one of whom is a D League level player in Pressey with severe defensive problems and lack of size).

Having no rim protection and no one who can create their own shot at will other than Sullinger and Thornton.

Having 3 power forwards in Sully, Olynyk and Bass who are among our best players, but not enough minutes for all of them to maximise their strength relative to the roster.

We just don't have a 'complete' roster and it's why we suck.

But it could turn the other way, we could make a trade for a half decent rim protector and another shooter and battle our way to the 8th seed with some improvement on defense.

Something tells me that Ainge won't let that happen though. He's waited so long and avoided going for a fill in rim protector that I can't see any universe in which he makes moves to make us better this season, unless we get an All Star level player at the trade deadline.

I will say that we are in a great spot for next season, when we can take a clear direction with picks, cap room and assets. Our brilliant coach just makes it better for the long haul.
Nailed it. Ainge has gone all or nothing and I don't think he'll change his mind now.

This last sentence by greece is where my main disagreement is with you guys.  I don't buy this "all or nothing" mantra.  I understand that Danny hasn't gone all out to put the absolute most competitive team on the floor this year as was humanly possible.  However, I don't believe that means that he, and the rest of the organization, don't understand what a positive step for the future it would be if this young team could manage to exceed expectations and make the playoffs this year.

Such a scenario would open up more avenues for improvement than it would close.  Sure, we'd get a slightly lower draft pick, but we'd be a more lucrative destination for free agents and, I think more importantly, it would mean that our youngsters showed significant improvement in their games.  It would make everyone a better trade asset, or simply a better player if kept.

It would be a great chemistry building experience for the team, and mean that the future is closer than many would have us believe. 

Danny's not about to sell off the future for limited short-term improvement.  But, that is far from meaning he is "all in on the tank."

The problem is, who can we get for the short term, that is both;
a) good ?
b) cheap ?

I 100% agree with Greek that Ainge is all in or nothing.
He hates mediocrity. Early last season he did an interview where he stated that making the playoffs would be great, but making the playoffs because the rest of the conference is terrible is not great and really doesn't achieve anything under the circumstances. It's like you're the second best boxer in the world. You beat everyone except the guy at the top. He then retires young because of a career ending injury, and you become the world champion. You still never beat that guy. Do you deserve that crown? Technically you do, but are you fulfilled? Did you really earn that spot?

This Celtics team is not a playoff caliber basketball team.
So we shouldn't be playing in the playoffs- in my opinion.

You seem to have missed the crux of my point; namely, that making the playoffs this year wouldn't only be a pleasant treat for the present, but would in the big picture help facilitate and speed up a brighter future. 

Personally, I'm guessing Danny is aware of this.  I remember the quote you are talking about and would love it if you could find it.  It seems to me that you are presenting his message a bit differently than I remember it. 
DKC Seventy-Sixers:

PG: G. Hill/D. Schroder
SG: C. Lee/B. Hield/T. Luwawu
SF:  Giannis/J. Lamb/M. Kuzminskas
PF:  E. Ilyasova/J. Jerebko/R. Christmas
C:    N. Vucevic/K. Olynyk/E. Davis/C. Jefferson

Re: Are we the 2nd worst team in the NBA now?
« Reply #34 on: December 07, 2014, 12:22:39 AM »

Offline Celtics4ever

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Quote
You seem to have missed the crux of my point; namely, that making the playoffs this year wouldn't only be a pleasant treat for the present, but would in the big picture help facilitate and speed up a brighter future. 

I think a lottery pick would help us more than the experience.

Re: Are we the 2nd worst team in the NBA now?
« Reply #35 on: December 07, 2014, 12:41:15 AM »

Offline Celtics18

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Quote
You seem to have missed the crux of my point; namely, that making the playoffs this year wouldn't only be a pleasant treat for the present, but would in the big picture help facilitate and speed up a brighter future. 

I think a lottery pick would help us more than the experience.

I guess we'll just have to agree to disagree on that.  I don't think there's any hard, conclusive evidence either way. 

I will add, though, that it's not just the experience that would be helpful, it's also the perceived value of our players if they are playing for a team that is competitive vs. playing for a bottom five team.  I'm not only talking about the perception by front office personnel who may be willing to give up more for our players if they show they can play good ball in a competitive environment, but also of the perception by other players around the league who may want to join a young, competitive team who they feel they can help bring to the next level. 
DKC Seventy-Sixers:

PG: G. Hill/D. Schroder
SG: C. Lee/B. Hield/T. Luwawu
SF:  Giannis/J. Lamb/M. Kuzminskas
PF:  E. Ilyasova/J. Jerebko/R. Christmas
C:    N. Vucevic/K. Olynyk/E. Davis/C. Jefferson

Re: Are we the 2nd worst team in the NBA now?
« Reply #36 on: December 07, 2014, 03:37:13 PM »

Offline Scottie

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we wont win another game with Rondo starting unless we face a bottom 3 team in the league.

In those quiet moments when you reflect on why people here offer you no respect or credability, remember posts like these OK?

Re: Are we the 2nd worst team in the NBA now?
« Reply #37 on: December 07, 2014, 04:28:12 PM »

Offline timobusa

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we wont win another game with Rondo starting unless we face a bottom 3 team in the league.

In those quiet moments when you reflect on why people here offer you no respect or credability, remember posts like these OK?

Yep. Hahaha

Re: Are we the 2nd worst team in the NBA now?
« Reply #38 on: December 07, 2014, 05:10:21 PM »

Offline knuckleballer

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we wont win another game with Rondo starting unless we face a bottom 3 team in the league.

In those quiet moments when you reflect on why people here offer you no respect or credability, remember posts like these OK?

You have to give him some credit.  The boy certainly tries.

Re: Are we the 2nd worst team in the NBA now?
« Reply #39 on: December 07, 2014, 05:12:07 PM »

Offline greece66

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we wont win another game with Rondo starting unless we face a bottom 3 team in the league.

In those quiet moments when you reflect on why people here offer you no respect or credability, remember posts like these OK?
lol
TP

Re: Are we the 2nd worst team in the NBA now?
« Reply #40 on: December 08, 2014, 05:51:02 AM »

Offline chambers

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No, we aren't the 2nd worst.
I'd say we are about the 4th to 6th worst team. What's keeping us from being a bottom 4 team is indeed our coach. His offense that made scrubby Butler teams compete with the best talent in the NCAA is actually working against NBA teams. I'm amazed at how quickly he's adjusted to the NBA. Thank god we don't have any good shooters or rim protector because we'd be a 6th seed in the East with no problems if we did. Who knows, with Zeller defending the paint (making it easier on Sully) and also running the pick and roll with Rondo, we may just end up battling for the 8th seed in this horrid conference. It's unlikely though because most NBA teams don't guard the pick and roll like the Lakers do. (like their eyes are closed!).

Teams we are better than:
-Philly- durrrr.
-Lakers- open tank job when you play Robert Sacre that many minutes vs a bottom team like us.
-Minnesota.
-Detroit- open tank job as Van Gundy aims to put decent draft pieces around Drummond, Caldwell Pope and Knight. They might creep up to a similar record to us depending on the ease of schedule.

After that, I'd say that the Knicks and Jazz are right there with us in a three team race for the 5th worst team.

What's going to help our draft position however, is the probable trading of Bass, Thornton, Turner and hopefully Wallace.

 I'm still not sure what will happen with Jeff Green.
Paul George's injury and his scandal with Hibbert's girlfriend may have given us one of the opportunities that Danny Ainge waits for- a disgruntled championship impact player needing a change of scenery and coming out of contract. I believe Danny desperately tried to trade Green last year, but couldn't find any takers for any kind of decent return.
 But 6 months later, Jeff Green being one of Hibbert's best buddies could be a large part of getting Hibbert over to Beantown. Danny will just have to convince Green to a friendly deal. After all we did look after him with his last contract so it's very possible. I am not a fan of Green and don't want to pay him more than $12 million a year under the new cap- but if it means getting Hibbert here and signed long term, then I guess I'd agree to it- it just means that moving Avery Bradley becomes mission number one.

Back to the OP's topic...
I'd say the answer is somewhere around the 5th, 6th, or 7th worst team. Without Stevens we'd be right there with the Lakers battling for 2nd or 3rd because our terrible defense wouldn't be countered by a decent offense. However if we trade Bass, Thornton and Turner I'm not sure how much Stevens can do to stop the pain, and by season's end a bottom 4 finish is not out of the question.
But hey, no pain, no gain.  8)

I disagree with this assessment.  I think that from a talent perspective we are around 18th to 20th (or 10th to 12th worst) in the league.  The reality is that this might be good enough to compete for a playoff spot in the weak East. 

I also don't see why trading our 7th, 8th and 9th best players would affect our record all that much.  I'm not necessarily agreeing that I want to see those guys traded, but they aren't close to being among our most essential players.

I can understand your perspective completely. I could obviously be very wrong. I do disagree that there are 10-12 teams that have worse talent than us.
As far as talent goes, we have:
Rondo-stud/All Star caliber (or just below currently).
Sully-stud
Smart-stud
Olynyk- unknown ceiling at this stage, offensive talent is high, although worried about his competitiveness.
Zeller- career back up big?
Bradley- career 6th man?
James Young- who knows. Good be Eddie House or James Posey- or better.
We have some picks too.
Green- above average role player? Horrible efficiency but is okay in most areas?
Bass- role player?

Bass is arguably our #1 big off the bench and gives us some strength defensively.
Thornton has average 7 points a game in 15 minutes shooting 40% from three. I'm not sure who replaces that?
Same with Turner- he stinks but he's getting 9 points a game and can bring the ball up while defending 2/3's without doing too much damage to us.

We'll arguably have the thinnest bench in the NBA if we lose Bass and Thornton because Smart and Young are rookies. Bench will be:
Smart
Young
Olynyk
Powell
Turner if he stays.
Faverani
Pressey

Our talent in particular areas is great, it's the way that talent is distributed. Like having 4 or 5 shooting guards and 2 point guards (one of whom is a D League level player in Pressey with severe defensive problems and lack of size).

Having no rim protection and no one who can create their own shot at will other than Sullinger and Thornton.

Having 3 power forwards in Sully, Olynyk and Bass who are among our best players, but not enough minutes for all of them to maximise their strength relative to the roster.

We just don't have a 'complete' roster and it's why we suck.

But it could turn the other way, we could make a trade for a half decent rim protector and another shooter and battle our way to the 8th seed with some improvement on defense.

Something tells me that Ainge won't let that happen though. He's waited so long and avoided going for a fill in rim protector that I can't see any universe in which he makes moves to make us better this season, unless we get an All Star level player at the trade deadline.

I will say that we are in a great spot for next season, when we can take a clear direction with picks, cap room and assets. Our brilliant coach just makes it better for the long haul.
Nailed it. Ainge has gone all or nothing and I don't think he'll change his mind now.

This last sentence by greece is where my main disagreement is with you guys.  I don't buy this "all or nothing" mantra.  I understand that Danny hasn't gone all out to put the absolute most competitive team on the floor this year as was humanly possible.  However, I don't believe that means that he, and the rest of the organization, don't understand what a positive step for the future it would be if this young team could manage to exceed expectations and make the playoffs this year.

Such a scenario would open up more avenues for improvement than it would close.  Sure, we'd get a slightly lower draft pick, but we'd be a more lucrative destination for free agents and, I think more importantly, it would mean that our youngsters showed significant improvement in their games.  It would make everyone a better trade asset, or simply a better player if kept.

It would be a great chemistry building experience for the team, and mean that the future is closer than many would have us believe. 

Danny's not about to sell off the future for limited short-term improvement.  But, that is far from meaning he is "all in on the tank."

The problem is, who can we get for the short term, that is both;
a) good ?
b) cheap ?

I 100% agree with Greek that Ainge is all in or nothing.
He hates mediocrity. Early last season he did an interview where he stated that making the playoffs would be great, but making the playoffs because the rest of the conference is terrible is not great and really doesn't achieve anything under the circumstances. It's like you're the second best boxer in the world. You beat everyone except the guy at the top. He then retires young because of a career ending injury, and you become the world champion. You still never beat that guy. Do you deserve that crown? Technically you do, but are you fulfilled? Did you really earn that spot?

This Celtics team is not a playoff caliber basketball team.
So we shouldn't be playing in the playoffs- in my opinion.

You seem to have missed the crux of my point; namely, that making the playoffs this year wouldn't only be a pleasant treat for the present, but would in the big picture help facilitate and speed up a brighter future. 

Personally, I'm guessing Danny is aware of this.  I remember the quote you are talking about and would love it if you could find it.  It seems to me that you are presenting his message a bit differently than I remember it.

I heard it on an interview but here's an article (bottom of this post) that talks about something similar.
It's just really difficult for me to see the benefit to our future by making the 7th or 8th seed in the playoffs- especially when key players are up for free agency at the end of the season.
What's funny is that in that article Ainge specifically mentions 4 guys from A to D and how great they're playing. They were the main guys (other than Rondo) he was rumored to be trying to move at the deadline so we didn't make the playoffs.

What's better for the now and the future to me, is that we get a top 5 pick and either draft another stud like Smart for the future, or use it to make a trade for a current stud.

Both of those appeal far more to me than watching us get swept in the first round by the Cavs or Raptors. I understand your position, but we can agree to disagree :)



http://www.bostonglobe.com/sports/2013/12/12/danny-ainge-assessing-celtics-surprising-early-success/10XiKT8vg7o7s7HuvP1lJO/story.html
"We are lucky we have a very patient GM that isn't willing to settle for being good and coming close. He wants to win a championship and we have the potential to get there still with our roster and assets."

quoting 'Greg B' on RealGM after 2017 trade deadline.
Read that last line again. One more time.

Re: Are we the 2nd worst team in the NBA now?
« Reply #41 on: December 08, 2014, 06:45:02 AM »

Offline BballTim

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I 100% agree with Greek that Ainge is all in or nothing.
He hates mediocrity. Early last season he did an interview where he stated that making the playoffs would be great, but making the playoffs because the rest of the conference is terrible is not great and really doesn't achieve anything under the circumstances. It's like you're the second best boxer in the world. You beat everyone except the guy at the top. He then retires young because of a career ending injury, and you become the world champion. You still never beat that guy. Do you deserve that crown? Technically you do, but are you fulfilled? Did you really earn that spot?

This Celtics team is not a playoff caliber basketball team.
So we shouldn't be playing in the playoffs- in my opinion.

  The last time Danny did a rebuild everyone criticized him for trying to reload and not rebuild and not tanking. Last year he talked about not getting excited about making the playoffs if the team ended up there with a poor record because nobody else stepped up to take the 8th seed. That doesn't mean he's trying to avoid the playoffs at all costs.