Again, I don't put much stock in your "Russell might have averaged fewer blocks a game than the stars of the 90s" theory.
I never said that. I actually said I thought he averaged twice as much as Hakeem and Robinson with 6 (due in part to skill, pace, and the league's average height which I knew about, thank you), but probably not three times as many. I also said I saw estimates of him averaging as low as 3. Not exactly confusing.
"he might have averaged 7 and hit 10 only once all year"
Never said that either. Over the course of the conversation I said it was possible to average 7 bpg and only hit double digits 2 or 3 times, 0 times, 10 times, or 20 times (plenty of other possibilities). You still haven't given an argument for why it's so likely that Russell did it ~20 times and so unlikely he did it 10 times, despite continuously saying you're right.
"people who averaged significantly fewer blocks a game rarely had 10 in a game so he rarely had 10 in a game"
For the third time, I never said that. Does Celticsblog need footnotes? First off, let me remind you I said you're just playing a guessing game about how significantly higher Russell's averages were and yet spouting them as fact. As for the misquote, I said people who averaged 4.5 rarely had 1 game out of 82 so I thought it was unlikely Russell had ~20 games out of 82 every year.
Not sure if I should continue since you keep putting words in my mouth, which you seem to really enjoy when debating me. That or you try arguing semantics, like the difference between "fairly certain" and "fairly confident." But here goes.
The numbers I brought up were to paint a picture of how tough it was for the league's best shot blockers to put up 1 double digit block game throughout an 82 game season, let alone one in every 4-5 games like you're guessing Russell did every year.
No, obviously I never said he did it every month of every year.
We already went over this (many replies ago). It would take about 20 games in order to average 3 games per month on a regular basis. You seemed to agree when you made your projections based on guys from the 90's, and again those numbers are right on the edge. The probability wasn't "very likely," rather you proved it was possible like I've been saying all along. The numbers weren't a home-run hit into the parking lot, all you did was hit the fence. No matter how many times you say you're right and I'm wrong, it's not going to change that. Use 6 bpg instead of 7 bpg and see what happens. Or perhaps consider the low range of your unverifiable estimate (14 games) instead of the high end (20).
16-20 games = once every 4-5 games
For an illustration, though, some of the articles about Russell (and Wilt) blocking shots talk about some sports writer watching the film from a nationally televised game that Wilt was in and counting 23 blocks from Wilt.
Sure, for all we know Russell had a game with 30 blocks, but that doesn't add any evidence to your case. Occasional spurts are much more likely than repeatedly doing things on a regular basis.
Most of the time when people ask you if you saw someone play it's because they did and disagree with your claim, not in the "I didn't either so there's a chance you might be wrong" sense.
Most of the time when people haven't seen someone play they do what I did and consider each possibility rather than deciding what happened, assuming they're right, and then telling people just how unlikely the "wrong" possibilities are.
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