I think it's Gordon if they stay at six.
I see Gordon as a safe pick but with low upside. Saric on the other hand has the highest upside but the biggest risk.
I don't understand this line of thinking. Gordon is the youngest player in the draft and potentially the most athletic with raw offensive skills. To me that means he has the highest upside.
Saric is a 6'10 forward with ok athleticism. Why is he a high upside pick when his biggest talent is skill. It is much harder to improve your athleticism than your skill.
well, the line of thinking that an athlete with poor skills is going to come in and develop great skills just because he's a year younger than a few other guys makes no sense. How many players with great athleticism have been taken in drafts for that reason and have worked out? How many have been busts? The list is huge for busts, I can't think of any that have developed into stars. Gordon's NBAdraft.net profile also clearly states that he will be a great role player, but anyone who drafts him and is expecting a star player will be disappointed.
Saric on the other hand has the skills to become a superstar, he has the much higher upside imo. You can't teach talent, you either have it or you don't/ Ask Bradley, Gerald Green, Javale McGhee, Harold Minor, etc etc how far athleticism gets you and if you can develop talent and skill once you are already 18 and over and in the NBA. It's not like these guys just started playing basketball a few years ago like Embiid, and even Embiid is miles ahead of them on skill.
Athleticism is about genetics, so while you don't expect Gordon to become more skilled, there is a certainty that Saric will not become a plus athlete. So Gordon has a higher upside because the chance he improves his skills to a high level is much higher than the chance Saric becomes a high level athlete.
That being said painting Gordon as someone who has poor skills is inaccurate. He is a plus ball handler for his position, a solid passer, a high level rebounder and an elite defender. Those are all skills.
How can you say Saric has the upside to become a superstar? Because he is a scorer who scores against slower 4's and shorter 3's that aren't prevalent in the NBA.
You list all the athletes who haven't developed enough skill to match their athleticism. Do you want me to list all the international players who looked great against B competition then came to the nba and were complete busts?
Athleticism also tends to go early in some of these players from injury and/or overuse and age, and then they are relatively useless (Shawn Marion, Amare Stoudemire, Gerald Wallace, Shawn Kemp are just a few examples). Players like Saric don't need to become athletic in order to be successful, that is the whole point. They already have what it takes. Dirk has done well without athleticism, so did Bird, so did Pierce. Jabari Parker is not highly athletic, does that make him any less valuable? Olynyk was a great example of choosing a player on skills rather than athleticism. I see Saric as a taller Dragic, which is an all-star in this league. Is he an all-NBA defender? No, but we need a scorer badly. What does Gordon do that makes him a potential all-star? I like Gordon a lot actually, but his upside is not huge, and he can potentially be a taller Tony Allen, which is great as a role player, not as one of your top 3 stars. Saric has the skills to be one of the best 3 players to come out of this draft, and a lot of GMs will kick themselves for passing up on him.
The other guy I would strongly consider at 6 is Smart. He's a tough as nails competitor with a ton of skill, I think he is a rare type of player. Sure he can't shoot, but he can get to the line with the best of them. Rondo's problem has been much more that he doesn't want to get to the line and can't hit free throws than the quality of his jumper.