The differences in a couple spots in the draft is using it to trade for an allstar/draft a future allstar or becoming a treadmill team like the Hawks/Grizzlies and never competing for a championship. Sixers and Magic GM's have smartly realized this and traded useless pieces from their teams to fully bottom out. Apparently Ainge didn't want to do that...You can't build a mansion until you've laid the foundation. What is our foundation? Rondo? Sullinger? Is that a championship winning caliber foundation?
That's a cliche that I read a lot on this forum.
Are you actually saying that if we don't get a top three pick this year, the team "will never compete for a championship"? That's just a completely unfounded statement that is thrown out there way too often.
I also am stunned that you use the Magic and Sixers as examples of franchises who we should aspire to be like.
I don't think that's what the above is suggesting, but I think it's suggesting that our probability is much higher.
The big thing this year is the famed quality of the draft. There are teams out there that would practically kill to get a top 4 pick in this years draft.
If you secure one of those draft positions then even if you aren't entirely convinced on the players themselves, your draft pick immediately becomes an incredibly valuable trade asset.
There are teams out there who would potentially deal All-Star or borderline All-Star calibre talent (I'm talking about guys like LeMarcus Aldridge, Kevin Love, Carmello Anthony, DeMarcus Cousins, Greg Monroe, Chris Bosh) for a combination of a top 3 pick and a young prospect (Jared Sullinger, Kelly Olynyk, Avery Bradley).
Even if you wait until after the draft, if you secure any of Joel Embiid, Jabari Parker, Andrew Wiggins or Dante Exum...teams will be kneeling at your feet begging you to listen to their valuable trade offers. Rather than take the risk on the unproven player, you can trade them away before they play a single game. This way they don't go the Thomas Robinson route and dissapoint once they step on the court.
Or you can keep that player and you have a high talent guy with the potential to become a future All-Star, who you are only paying a MLE contact to for the next couple of years...then you can sell high after they prove themselves later. Just imagine what talent the Pelicans could get in return for Anthony Davis right now. Or you can keep them, build around them and laugh at any team that offers you a trade package (as the Pelicans would would with Anthony Davis).
If you end up with a guy like Smart, Randle, Vonleh or Gordon then sure, opposing teams will still have SOME trade interest...but nowhere near the same. Portland would never offer you LeMarcus Aldridge for Julius Randle. Miami would never offer you Chris Bosh for Aaron Gordon. MAYBE you could get a guy like Gortat (not too bad) or Asik (hell no) in return, but that's about it. So you pretty much end up just keeping the guy, and he'll probably end up being a Kelly Olynyk / Avery Bradley / Jeff Green calibre player - a nice solid guy who can contribute to a team, but not a difference maker.