Poll

Which option would you prefer for the 2013-14 Celtics?

Finish with one of the worst five records in the league.
30 (53.6%)
Make the playoffs as a seventh or eighth seed.
26 (46.4%)

Total Members Voted: 55

Author Topic: To Tank or Not To Tank, That is the Question  (Read 66206 times)

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Re: To Tank or Not To Tank, That is the Question
« Reply #45 on: September 15, 2013, 04:52:59 AM »

Offline BballTim

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Kobe was drafted in the KG vein that would never happen today- coming out of high school and allowing teams to get lucky on an extremely young guy going global.

You can choose to discount Dirk and Pierce being drafted by their championship teams but it's just as important. Without those two players, there is no championship. The reason KG and Ray went there was because the organization was good enough to envision it happening- that and the fact that Pierce was there.

Again, you're ignoring the fact that of those championships or finals teams, 17 were achieved by a team that drafted it's own top 10 player and added pieces later. You've yet to acknowledge this fact. You also haven't acknowledged that this is the exact way we got KG and Ray here like that doesn't count in such a debate.

  How many teams don't have a single player on their roster that they drafted in the top 10? That's got to be fairly unusual. I doubt the percentage of teams winning titles with a top 10 draft pick on their roster is any higher than (for example) the percentage of lottery teams with a player they drafted in the top 10 on their roster. And, while you can't "discount" Dirk or PP, I don't think anyone would be happy with tanking in order to get a player who won't make you a contender at any point in the foreseeable future.

Re: To Tank or Not To Tank, That is the Question
« Reply #46 on: September 15, 2013, 05:49:46 AM »

Offline chambers

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Kobe was drafted in the KG vein that would never happen today- coming out of high school and allowing teams to get lucky on an extremely young guy going global.

You can choose to discount Dirk and Pierce being drafted by their championship teams but it's just as important. Without those two players, there is no championship. The reason KG and Ray went there was because the organization was good enough to envision it happening- that and the fact that Pierce was there.

Again, you're ignoring the fact that of those championships or finals teams, 17 were achieved by a team that drafted it's own top 10 player and added pieces later. You've yet to acknowledge this fact. You also haven't acknowledged that this is the exact way we got KG and Ray here like that doesn't count in such a debate.

I guess we'll agree to disagree.
You think Rondo is a top 10 player based on a few 2010 and 2012 playoff runs where he was surrounded by multiple all stars- I'd say a sample size of maybe 15-20 games?
I think he's someone capable of playing at a top 10 level occasionally, but not night in and night out like a true top 10 player needs to do- ie Pierce or KG in their primes. He can't shoot, he can't hit free throws. The reality is he'll never be a top 10 player in the NBA. If you can't admit this you're in denial.

My opinion is that as we currently sit, Rondo and Green and a 7th seed are not enough to make us a serious title contender. It's certainly not enough to convince Rondo to stay past the 2014-15 season.
We need 2 more players on at least an All Star level. I don't know how we can afford 2 such players unless one of them is a draft pick or we trade trade Jeff Green or Rondo to acquire one of them.

You're touting Iverson, Brooks and Pressey as young talent. That's your opinion.

Rondo and Green, with Iverson, Brooks and Pressey- with Rondo coming off the books in 2015.
You're also suggesting that we can trade Lee, Bass, Wallace without giving up Rondo or Green.

Are you completely against drafting someone like Wiggins or Parker or Randle- or anyone else in this draft? Or are you just completely against having a losing squad for a season?

Do you understand why some fans like me would rather lose an extra 10 games if it meant heading into the 2015 off season with Rondo, Jabari Parker and Jeff Green, rather than Rondo, pick number 15 and Jeff Green?

1.  I am not "choosing" to discount Dirk and Pierce, but it took them 8-10 years after the draft to win a championship.  It is absolutely insane to tank to have a small shot at getting a top pick, who has a small shot at becoming a franchise player in order to win a title 8-10 years from now. 

2.  We disagree about Rondo but the fact is he has played 92 play off games, started every single one of them and averages 15, 9, 6 with 2 steals. 

3.  It is easy to accuse people of being in denial.  Facts are that Rondo is a perennial all star, who has been all NBA defense 1st team, lead the league in steals per game and assists per game and is possibly the best rebounding point guard in the league.

4.  One thing you do not seem to understand is that Bradley, Sullinger and Olynyk are 22 years old.  Even if we do nothing at all they will get better.  Furthermore, we have 2 first round picks to add to our core each year in order to improve our team.  We will also have some cap space if we decide to move Bass, Lee and Wallace contracts. 

So even if we do nothing, we will keep getting better as a team.  So an 8th seed this year might become a 4th seed and a second round exit next year.  It might become a contender the year after.  This is speculation, but the point is the team is not "stuck."

As to your other speculations, they are just that and nothing more.  Indiana was a first round exit team before West joined them.  Houston was a first round exit before Dwight joined them.  Knicks were a first round exit before Chandler joined them.  On what basis can you say that a 7th seed is not enough to become a contender?

You have no evidence to suggest that Rondo will leave Boston, or even that we would be so bad that he would want to leave Boston.  It is entirely hypothetical and not worth any attention. 

We NEED two more players on an all star level?  That is a statement that has no support behind it whatsoever.  We will not be able to make any definitive statements about this team until we see it play at least half a season.  It is a completely different team with a brand new coach. 

Iverson, Brooks and Pressey are young so that is not a point of contention.  I assume that you are saying it is my opinion that they are talents.  That is correct.  It is also the opinion of Danny Ainge who signed Pressey and Faverani over guys like Shavlik Randolph, Chris Wilcox, Terrence Williams etc.  He also went through the trouble of purchasing a second round pick from the Pacers to draft Iverson.  So there is some support to my opinion.

I am not against drafting Wiggins or Parker.  What I am against is doing anything other than trying your absolute best to win every game in order to get a better draft pick. 

There is a reason why people like KG change the culture where they go.  There is a reason why talented teams like Sacramento Kings and Washington Wizards are unable to win games no matter how much talent they add to their roster.  That reason is that culture is very important to the success of a franchise. 

Teams that prioritize professionalism and winning become champions.  Teams that lose games to try to get a better player are weak teams that develop bad habits, and teach their players losing is okay.  Those teams will never win championships no matter how much talent you add to them. 

I understand why fans would want pick number 1-5 over pick 15-20.  But I would rather have a playoff team full of winners and 15th pick than than a team of losers and the 2nd pick.  The 2nd pick may or may not work out, but a playoff team full of young and improving players is most certainly on the right path.

Speculation? Isn't that the pot calling the kettle black?
Of course it's speculation...you're doing the exact same thing....it's opinion.
You think the talent we have is good enough. I don't.
You refuse to acknowledge the power of a top 10 player and the importance of multiple top level/all star players yet the last 20 years screams at you that with this pathetic roster we currently have we are in no mans land.

You skate around the question of how good Rondo is telling of wonderful playoff numbers...yet wont answer the simple question of .. 'Is Rondo a top 10 player in the NBA?'
I'm still waiting for an answer.
Your pride is admirable and understandable.
Dirk Nowitzki could have had that champ ship earlier. Management just took longer to solve the puzzle. Pierce had to wait until Ainge came into the picture. Still doesn't change the fact- with competent management like Ainge we would unlikely be waiting 10 years to get our stars help.

You're speculation of our young talent and late second round picks being anything other than they are statistically likely to be (bench role players who will most likely not be in the NBA within 5 seasons) is exactly that. In fact you're going against the statistics with regards to the importance of multiple top tier players. Apparently a top 50 wing guy in Jeff Green and a top 25 player in Rondo is enough to make us a contender with one additional piece- you also seem to think our rookies and sophomores are going to break the curve with their improvement when compared to the other rookies in NBA history.

We have a new coach with a 6 year contract and our best player is a point guard that can't shoot, coming off a major injury.
We have a bunch of washed up veterans as well as a 6 foot 2 shooting guard with lingering multiple injury history that can't shoot either.
We have a 6 foot 9 power forward in his second year and first year as a potential full time starter and a nice top 50 player in Jeff Green on the wing.
We can't shoot, we can't protect the paint and our coach has never coached an NBA game.
We also don't know when our point guard and best player will be back.

We are both 'speculating' but I'm not ignoring the facts and I'm not wearing green glasses as you appear to be.
I'm cool with dropping the discussion because we are going no where and aren't going to change our opinions or perceptions.

Ultimately we both love the team- we just have a different opinion of what's best for the team in the long run.
"We are lucky we have a very patient GM that isn't willing to settle for being good and coming close. He wants to win a championship and we have the potential to get there still with our roster and assets."

quoting 'Greg B' on RealGM after 2017 trade deadline.
Read that last line again. One more time.

Re: To Tank or Not To Tank, That is the Question
« Reply #47 on: September 15, 2013, 06:18:11 AM »

Offline moiso

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I want Ainge to tank and I want Stevens and the players to try to win.

Re: To Tank or Not To Tank, That is the Question
« Reply #48 on: September 15, 2013, 06:29:16 AM »

Offline chambers

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Kobe was drafted in the KG vein that would never happen today- coming out of high school and allowing teams to get lucky on an extremely young guy going global.

You can choose to discount Dirk and Pierce being drafted by their championship teams but it's just as important. Without those two players, there is no championship. The reason KG and Ray went there was because the organization was good enough to envision it happening- that and the fact that Pierce was there.

Again, you're ignoring the fact that of those championships or finals teams, 17 were achieved by a team that drafted it's own top 10 player and added pieces later. You've yet to acknowledge this fact. You also haven't acknowledged that this is the exact way we got KG and Ray here like that doesn't count in such a debate.

  How many teams don't have a single player on their roster that they drafted in the top 10? That's got to be fairly unusual. I doubt the percentage of teams winning titles with a top 10 draft pick on their roster is any higher than (for example) the percentage of lottery teams with a player they drafted in the top 10 on their roster. And, while you can't "discount" Dirk or PP, I don't think anyone would be happy with tanking in order to get a player who won't make you a contender at any point in the foreseeable future.

I mean top 10 player in the NBA- one of the 10 best in the entire league at the time when they won a championship.
"We are lucky we have a very patient GM that isn't willing to settle for being good and coming close. He wants to win a championship and we have the potential to get there still with our roster and assets."

quoting 'Greg B' on RealGM after 2017 trade deadline.
Read that last line again. One more time.

Re: To Tank or Not To Tank, That is the Question
« Reply #49 on: September 15, 2013, 06:37:42 AM »

Offline chambers

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I want Ainge to tank and I want Stevens and the players to try to win.

This is what I want. I think this is what will happen. Develop them and get the best draft position possible- let Rondo come back slowly and reduce his minutes at first- same with Sully.
"We are lucky we have a very patient GM that isn't willing to settle for being good and coming close. He wants to win a championship and we have the potential to get there still with our roster and assets."

quoting 'Greg B' on RealGM after 2017 trade deadline.
Read that last line again. One more time.

Re: To Tank or Not To Tank, That is the Question
« Reply #50 on: September 15, 2013, 09:15:41 AM »

Offline LilRip

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I voted tank.

This roster Ainge built is mismatched and overstocked at some positions and extremely thin at others. The only way I see this team making the playoffs is if a rain of bad luck falls upon the rest of the ECF and somehow, we sneak in. It'll make fans feel good, sure, but it's fools gold.

Regarding our young talent, am I the only one that thinks that in a few years, only a few of them will still be in the league? And in about 5 years from now, a lot of us will be saying things like "that 2013 team was pretty bad but it sure was pretty fun rooting for those young guys"?
- LilRip

Re: To Tank or Not To Tank, That is the Question
« Reply #51 on: September 15, 2013, 09:36:06 AM »

Offline slamtheking

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I want Ainge to tank and I want Stevens and the players to try to win.
that would be acceptable as long as the players try to win every game. 

Re: To Tank or Not To Tank, That is the Question
« Reply #52 on: September 15, 2013, 10:19:14 AM »

Offline More Banners

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I want Ainge to tank and I want Stevens and the players to try to win.
that would be acceptable as long as the players try to win every game.

I mean, I can see not going over the salary line to sign a veteran center, even knowing that it is a significant weakness on the team.  I don't see that as tanking, but at the same time the franchise isn't going all out to win as much as possible. 

Yet I do see enough strengths on the roster to believe we're not historically bad, and might be competing for a playoff bid rather than a lottery bid if we play to our strengths.

Re: To Tank or Not To Tank, That is the Question
« Reply #53 on: September 15, 2013, 10:35:10 AM »

Offline BballTim

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Kobe was drafted in the KG vein that would never happen today- coming out of high school and allowing teams to get lucky on an extremely young guy going global.

You can choose to discount Dirk and Pierce being drafted by their championship teams but it's just as important. Without those two players, there is no championship. The reason KG and Ray went there was because the organization was good enough to envision it happening- that and the fact that Pierce was there.

Again, you're ignoring the fact that of those championships or finals teams, 17 were achieved by a team that drafted it's own top 10 player and added pieces later. You've yet to acknowledge this fact. You also haven't acknowledged that this is the exact way we got KG and Ray here like that doesn't count in such a debate.

  How many teams don't have a single player on their roster that they drafted in the top 10? That's got to be fairly unusual. I doubt the percentage of teams winning titles with a top 10 draft pick on their roster is any higher than (for example) the percentage of lottery teams with a player they drafted in the top 10 on their roster. And, while you can't "discount" Dirk or PP, I don't think anyone would be happy with tanking in order to get a player who won't make you a contender at any point in the foreseeable future.

I mean top 10 player in the NBA- one of the 10 best in the entire league at the time when they won a championship.

  Sorry about that. In any case, the Celts have someone on the team who's been one of the top players in multiple playoffs, while people generally seem to derive their top 10 player lists from during the regular season. Those lists are generally the same but if there are differences I'd say that playoffs trumps regular season when you're looking at postseason success.

Re: To Tank or Not To Tank, That is the Question
« Reply #54 on: September 15, 2013, 10:43:39 AM »

Offline Yogi

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Speculation? Isn't that the pot calling the kettle black?
Of course it's speculation...you're doing the exact same thing....it's opinion.
You think the talent we have is good enough. I don't.
You refuse to acknowledge the power of a top 10 player and the importance of multiple top level/all star players yet the last 20 years screams at you that with this pathetic roster we currently have we are in no mans land.

You skate around the question of how good Rondo is telling of wonderful playoff numbers...yet wont answer the simple question of .. 'Is Rondo a top 10 player in the NBA?'
I'm still waiting for an answer.
Your pride is admirable and understandable.
Dirk Nowitzki could have had that champ ship earlier. Management just took longer to solve the puzzle. Pierce had to wait until Ainge came into the picture. Still doesn't change the fact- with competent management like Ainge we would unlikely be waiting 10 years to get our stars help.

You're speculation of our young talent and late second round picks being anything other than they are statistically likely to be (bench role players who will most likely not be in the NBA within 5 seasons) is exactly that. In fact you're going against the statistics with regards to the importance of multiple top tier players. Apparently a top 50 wing guy in Jeff Green and a top 25 player in Rondo is enough to make us a contender with one additional piece- you also seem to think our rookies and sophomores are going to break the curve with their improvement when compared to the other rookies in NBA history.

We have a new coach with a 6 year contract and our best player is a point guard that can't shoot, coming off a major injury.
We have a bunch of washed up veterans as well as a 6 foot 2 shooting guard with lingering multiple injury history that can't shoot either.
We have a 6 foot 9 power forward in his second year and first year as a potential full time starter and a nice top 50 player in Jeff Green on the wing.
We can't shoot, we can't protect the paint and our coach has never coached an NBA game.
We also don't know when our point guard and best player will be back.

We are both 'speculating' but I'm not ignoring the facts and I'm not wearing green glasses as you appear to be.
I'm cool with dropping the discussion because we are going no where and aren't going to change our opinions or perceptions.

Ultimately we both love the team- we just have a different opinion of what's best for the team in the long run.

There is a big difference in our arguments.  In my personal opinion, the Celtics will easily make the playoffs, but that opinion plays no role in my argument not to tank.  Even if the Celtics are terrible, I am still arguing not to tank, because tanking is a historically unsuccessful strategy. 

No man's land like the Pacers were 2 years ago without any all stars or top 10 players?  Like the Grizzlies a few years ago?  Like the Warriors last season?  Like the Rockets were 2 years ago?  Please stop perpetuating myths. 

Let me try to explain this to you so you won't keep making the same mistakes. 

No man's land is MAXING out at the 8th seed.  That means having a team of veteran players who have reached their ceiling and no cap space to add more players like the Atlanta Hawks with Joe Johnson, Marvin Williams, Josh Smith and Al Horford. 

If the Celtics make the 8th seed, they are not even close to maxing out because they have many young players who will improve, many first round picks to add cheap talent and cap space/trade exception to bring in talent through trades and free agency.  That is not "no man's land."  That is just the necessary process of building a team.

The talent of Pressey, Iverson and Faverani have very little to do with my argument.  Bradley, Brooks, Sullinger and Olynyk are all first round picks who have shown NBA ability.

- Top 10 is an arbitrary number you pulled out of the air.  are you saying a team cannot win with the 15th best player?
- After Lebron and Durant, I would pick Rondo over anyone else if I am trying to win a championship.  This is my personal opinion. 
- Objectively speaking, I doubt there are 10 guys who have shown they can do more in the playoffs than Rondo, so yes in my opinion he is easily a top 10 player in the world.   
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Re: To Tank or Not To Tank, That is the Question
« Reply #55 on: September 15, 2013, 11:45:44 AM »

Offline D.o.s.

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The problem with tanking is that, from what I can see, we have a viable playoff team to field.

3-guard rotation:  Rondo, Bradley, Lee/Bogans (best of)

3-forward rotation:  Green, Wallace, Bass/Sully (best of)

Formerly Center Position:  Humphries, Brazilian Guy/Olynyk (best of)



It just doesn't look like a team that shouldn't win enough games to stay out of the top of the lottery, and I don't think the difference between possibly picking, say, 7th or 8th instead of, say, 12th is worth making not going all all-out to win worthwhile.

I mean, 1-4, we're pretty good.  And we have solid guard and forward backups, and perhaps go 4 deep with rotation guys at both guard and forward.  That should be a playoff team, even if the center position isn't that strong.

That roster will be lucky to win 25 games.
The Milwaukee Bucks won 38 games last season.  The 2013 Celtics are way more talented than that team.

I don't know about that. Even if their guard rotation couldn't actually play defense.
At least a goldfish with a Lincoln Log on its back goin' across your floor to your sock drawer has a miraculous connotation to it.

Re: To Tank or Not To Tank, That is the Question
« Reply #56 on: September 15, 2013, 12:06:31 PM »

Offline KGs Knee

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Cast your votes, people.  Tommy points to everybody who votes (multiple).

I voted....where my TP's at yo!?

Playoffs...always playoffs.  Losing sucks.

Re: To Tank or Not To Tank, That is the Question
« Reply #57 on: September 15, 2013, 12:58:49 PM »

Offline Celtics18

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Cast your votes, people.  Tommy points to everybody who votes (multiple).

I voted....where my TP's at yo!?

Playoffs...always playoffs.  Losing sucks.

Your TP has arrived.  Patience, patience.
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SG: C. Lee/B. Hield/T. Luwawu
SF:  Giannis/J. Lamb/M. Kuzminskas
PF:  E. Ilyasova/J. Jerebko/R. Christmas
C:    N. Vucevic/K. Olynyk/E. Davis/C. Jefferson

Re: To Tank or Not To Tank, That is the Question
« Reply #58 on: September 15, 2013, 01:12:49 PM »

Offline KGs Knee

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Cast your votes, people.  Tommy points to everybody who votes (multiple).

I voted....where my TP's at yo!?

Playoffs...always playoffs.  Losing sucks.

Your TP has arrived.  Patience, patience.

It's all good...just more of my snarky humor.

Have a TP yourself

Re: To Tank or Not To Tank, That is the Question
« Reply #59 on: September 15, 2013, 04:20:02 PM »

Offline Celtics18

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I guess we'll agree to disagree.
You think Rondo is a top 10 player based on a few 2010 and 2012 playoff runs where he was surrounded by multiple all stars- I'd say a sample size of maybe 15-20 games?
I think he's someone capable of playing at a top 10 level occasionally, but not night in and night out like a true top 10 player needs to do- ie Pierce or KG in their primes. He can't shoot, he can't hit free throws. The reality is he'll never be a top 10 player in the NBA. If you can't admit this you're in denial.


Do you have an objective method that you use for assessing who the top ten players are for each season? 

I don't, but with the acknowledgment that there can be no objective measure on this, I think that MVP voting is a good way to select the top ten players from each season.  Again, it's not a perfect method, but it does give us some kind of standard.

Rajon Rondo has finished in the top ten in MVP voting twice so far in his young career.  Is it really denial to believe that he could finish in the top ten in MVP voting again (maybe even multiple times) as he enters the prime of his career?

Some of us think that he can.  We do have past evidence to support this opinion. 

Also, consider the strong likelihood that if the MVP voting was done after the playoffs, as opposed to after the regular season ended, that Rondo might have garnered more MVP votes to date than he has.

You are certainly entitled to your completely subjective opinion that at the age of 27 Rondo's days as a top ten NBA player are behind him.  Just realize that it is a completely subjective opinion. 
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C:    N. Vucevic/K. Olynyk/E. Davis/C. Jefferson