If keeping Rondo off the floor like Chicago did with Rose is tanking, then yes, the Celtics will tank. They'll also suck enough to get a top 10 pick, even a top 5 pick if lucky, by showcasing the young players and expiring contracts who can help some contender.
The lottery is never a sure thing, and I doubt the plan is getting Wiggins/Parker, although I'd love that. Ainge is trying to maximize the flexibility of the roster, and try to get a future star in the draft or an All Star by trading picks/assets. Just like in 2007.
Teams won't give you first rounders for next year's draft, so unless you can get the Bobcat's one which is owned by the Bulls (top 10 protected in 2014, top 8 in 2015 and unprotected in 2016), you better aim for 2013 first rounders which will be a lot cheaper.
If Doc/KG/(Terry) end up playing for the Clips, you get their 2013 first rounder, Jordan and maybe Butler/Bledsoe/future pick (2015 or 2016 would be ideal). Butler will have trade value, Jordan too, and Bledsoe or the future pick would be even more valuable.
Then Danny will trade Pierce to another team that can buy him out/waive him so he can join Doc and KG. Yes, not easy but doable. Two ideas:
- Pierce + Bass to Chicago for Boozer+filler and the Bobcats pick. Chicago starts Gibson, gets his backup in Bass, and saves at least 10M by releasing the Captain.
- Pierce to Dallas for Marion+VC and their 2013 pick. Dallas was trying to unload money, right?
Boston can trade those expiring veterans to contenders for trade exceptions/picks/young players, during the season or around the trade deadline.
If they trade for Boozer, they can showcase him and keep Sully out alongside Rondo. Minus the expiring veterans, at the deadline they could field a team of
Bradley/TWill
Lee/Ledo-Hardaway-Bullock(clippers pick)
Green/Shabazz(celtics pick)
Boozer/Shav
Jordan/Melo
That team won't get to the playoffs but they could make the highlight reels every week. If they trade with Dallas, you could add Michael Carter-Williams with their pick, and trade Bass for assets to showcase Sully at the 4. Then, around the 2014 Draft you have a lot of young prospects and a top 10 pick, and the flexibility to make it work. Danny will do the right thing.