Author Topic: This is Rondos year! 2012-13 nba MVP!  (Read 19980 times)

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Re: This is Rondos year! 2012-13 nba MVP!
« Reply #45 on: July 13, 2012, 09:18:22 PM »

Offline arambone

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lotta haterade bein passed around here.

Rondo was crazy consistent in the playoffs.

He also finally stepped into his role as alpha dog, and stopped worrying about missing shots.

And now ray's gone. Opens up shots, but also gets rid of a guy who had no interest in rondo becoming the smartest, best player. Ray wanted shots. Period.

Now ray is gone, and rondo is supermotivated to spread his wings.

Any of u haters watch the playoffs? Was that same old rondo to you? Did you not see a major light switch go on?

Forsight. Lacking.

Re: This is Rondos year! 2012-13 nba MVP!
« Reply #46 on: July 13, 2012, 09:43:59 PM »

Offline Django

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Pretty humorous to read a thread about an "mvp candidate" having two modes, a playoff and regular season one.  Last time I checked former MVPs like Jordan, Kobe, LeBron (all except crunch time) brought their game regular or post season; they didn't "turn into something else" for whatever that's supposed to mean in the playoffs.  To me it just means said player is capable of puttting up big games but not consistently; and that is what separates them from the truly elite.
Wrong, up until this year lebron has had regular season mode, then playoff mode, which is considerably worse.
:-X

06  Regular Season 31/7/7 Playoffs 31/8/6
07 Regular Season  27/7/7 Playoffs 25/8/8
08 Regular Season  30/8/7 Playoffs 28/8/8
09 Regular Season 28/8/7   Playoffs 35/9/7
10 Regular Season   30/7/9 Playoffs 29/9/8

The ONLY real drop off
11 Regular Season 27/8/7  Playoffs 24/8/6

No point in including this year...

Overall  in his career.....a 29/9/7 Playoff player.....28/7/7 Regular Season player...

Stop listening to Skip Bayless...

Re: This is Rondos year! 2012-13 nba MVP!
« Reply #47 on: July 13, 2012, 10:05:55 PM »

Offline celticsleyte

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I love Rondo but a lot will have to happen for him to take the MVP.

1. Doc keeping a speedy forward on the floor together with Rondo and Bradley. (JJJ, Green, Joseph) and any of KG, Wilcox, Melo at center.

2. Rondo improved shooting of the three pointer.

3. Rondo stays healthy.

4. Rondo crashes the boards all year.

item one is on Doc based on the last five years still not sure he really wants to let rondo run this team. last years line ups with JO and Pre- Bradley how the hell are you going to fastbreak?  Like trying to race with a flat and a few bald tires.

Re: This is Rondos year! 2012-13 nba MVP!
« Reply #48 on: July 14, 2012, 05:40:20 AM »

Offline LarBrd33

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Nah.

When Nash won those MVP's he was getting as many assists as Rondo, but also scoring 17-19 a night while shooting RIDICULOUS percentages of 50%/44%/90% ... Rondo is a great point guard, but he's completely unreliable on the offensive end.  He can pass and play solid defense.. and run an offense as well as anyone in the league... but he lacks the ability to create his own shot or score consistently... a skill that point guards (equal to him in playmaking) like Chris Paul, Deron Williams and Nash have.... and point guards (less than him in playmaking) like Rose and Westbrook also have.

Rondo did have an amazing playoff this year, though.  But he's had huge series in the past (2009 comes to mind) that didn't translate to huge regular seasons. 
The idea that Rondo can not create his own shot is absurd. I would say "did you watch the playoofs?", but since you mentioned them in your post I know you did which leaves me wondering what you are talking about. It is true that he doesnt score in the high teens consistently but I believe it is commonly recognized around the league that he doesn't try to score big every night- only when it is needed. Steve Nash has never averaged more assists in a season than Rondo did this year. The most he ever averaged was 11.6. Paul, Williams, despite being very good playmakers, are nowhere close to Rondo as far as being a set-up man.

Rondo's best:  11.9 points, 11.7 assists 45%/24%/60%
Nash's best:  18.6 points, 11.6 assists 53%/45%/90%
Paul's best:  22.8 points, 11 assists  50%/36%/87%
Deron's best:  18.8 points, 10.5 assists, 51%/40%/80%

You figure if Chris Paul is scoring 22.8 points and 11 assists... that' means he's minimum responsible for 44.8 points per night, right?  Likely more if his teammates are scoring threes.   If rondo is getting 11.9 and 11.7... that means he's minimum responsible for 35.3 points per night.   

Do you get my point?  All of those guys are more consistent scorers than Rondo.  If they only needed to score 12 a night, they could easily get more than 11 assists.  They already proved capable of getting 11 assists while scoring far more consistently than ROndo likely ever will be able. 

  So you're saying that if you look at the stats for these guys, when their scoring goes down their assists go up?

You can't possibly say that Rondo's 11.7 assists is more impressive than Nash's 11.6 assists.  That's just ignorant.  Nash scored 18.6 points, because his shooting percentages were RIDICULOUS 53%/45%/90%... If he was a subpar scorer like Rondo, then he presumably would have taken less shots (or he'd be a detriment to his team)... in which case, he would have made up for the shots by using offensive possessions to rack up more assists... and thus... would have averaged more assists than Rondo did last year.  The point is that as the hall of famers fade away from the Celtics, Rondo will be asked to score the ball more.  If he's asked to score the ball more that means he'll be taking more shots.  If he's taking more shots that mean's less offensive possessions to get assists.  Less offensive possessions to get assists = less assists.  This isn't rocket surgery.

  That would mean that Rondo gets a lot fewer assists a game in the playoffs, when he takes significantly more shots? It might not be rocket surgery, but clearly things a little more complicated than you think they are.

Tim... I already know what you are alluding to.  I smell the bait.  I made the statement that if Rondo scored more/took more shots/used offensive possessions to take more shots... his assists would go down.

I already know your rebuttal will be to point out that Rondo took more shots in the playoffs and scored more points (17.3) while averaging more assists (11.9) and thus believe you are proving me wrong. 

First of all... I already admitted that ROndo's playoff was nothing short of amazing.  But playing 19 games against the likes of Jeff Teague and Mario Chalmers isn't the same as playing 82 games against a variety of defenses.   

That said... you're still wrong.  You're forgetting that in the playoffs Rondo averaged significantly more minutes (42.6) than in the regular season (36.9).

If you take Rondo's regular season averages: 36.9 minutes: 11.9 points, 11.7 assists, 10.8 shots per game... and project it out to 42.6 minutes ... You'd get 13.7 points, 13.5 assists on 12.4 shots.

Alternatively, if you take his playoff numbers: 42.6 minutes, 17.3 points, 11.9 assists, 15.8 shots per game... and compress it to 36.9 minutes... you'd get 14.9 points, 10.3 assists and 13.6 shots.

Either way, if you even the minutes... you'll see my point:

Regular season:  36.9 minutes - 11.9 points, 11.7 assists, 10.8 shots
Post season (adjusted):  36.9 minutes - 14.9 points, 10.3 assists, 13.6 shots

Regular season (adjusted):  42.6 minutes - 13.7 points, 13.5 assists, 12.4 shots
Post Season:  42.6 minutes - 17.3 points, 11.9 assists, 15.8 shots

More shots = less assists.

From this we can guesstimate that if Rondo continues his incredible post-season form... he'd average close to 15 points per game and just over 10 assists per game (since there is no way he'd play 43 minutes a night in the regular season)... which is still significantly less than Nash, Deron and Chris Paul at their best (20 points 11 assists).  Additionally... the problem for ROndo is that if he becomes more assertive on the offensive end (tries to average 15+ per game), defenders might actually start guarding him.  And if defenders start guarding him... we just aren't certain how he'd fair with defensive pressure.  Paul, Williams and Nash have all had to face double teams and still succeeded.  We don't know if Rondo can do the same.
« Last Edit: July 14, 2012, 05:47:45 AM by LarBrd33 »

Re: This is Rondos year! 2012-13 nba MVP!
« Reply #49 on: July 14, 2012, 06:29:56 AM »

Offline TheBigTicket23

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The thing is he has to improve on his shooting %. If he is able to work on his perimeter and even 3 point shot and he can improve it then he is a real MVP candiate. Next to that he has to be really consistent like in the '12 playoffs.

At bleacherreport they call him the 2012-2013 mvp.... they got high expectation, I got high expectations. The team has to be top 2 in the east and don't get eliminated early in playoffs for him to win a MVP.

Re: This is Rondos year! 2012-13 nba MVP!
« Reply #50 on: July 14, 2012, 07:53:22 AM »

Offline KevinConnor

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lotta haterade bein passed around here.

Rondo was crazy consistent in the playoffs.

He also finally stepped into his role as alpha dog, and stopped worrying about missing shots.

And now ray's gone. Opens up shots, but also gets rid of a guy who had no interest in rondo becoming the smartest, best player. Ray wanted shots. Period.

Now ray is gone, and rondo is supermotivated to spread his wings.

Any of u haters watch the playoffs? Was that same old rondo to you? Did you not see a major light switch go on?

Forsight. Lacking.

Whose hating? Seems to me just about everybody around here love Rondo for the player he is right now. Just because some of us don't believe Rondo will win MVP next year doesn't make us haters. If you think that's hating on Rondo you're just not very intelligent.

Re: This is Rondos year! 2012-13 nba MVP!
« Reply #51 on: July 14, 2012, 08:15:14 AM »

Offline arambone

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nash and chris paul play in faster paced systems than the plodding celtics of the past.
Being a horrible rebounding team also killed the break.
If rondo and bradley can get out and run more, with some help from teammates, rondos opportunities for points, rebounds, and assists will go way up.

Sullinger will help on the boards to create fast breaks, but pierce will still be plodding a bit, which hurts rondos stats.

Another thing to realize is that rondo doesnt need to put up the highest offensive stats if his defense is better, which it is.

Unfortunately, as mentioned above, mvp is a media/stern gang award, and they respond to offensive stats far above all else. Not to mention stern hates the celtics and rondo is unpopular among the refs.

Rondo has a higher likelihood of being the leagues mvp without winning the nba award of the same name.

Re: This is Rondos year! 2012-13 nba MVP!
« Reply #52 on: July 14, 2012, 10:09:06 AM »

Offline Meadowlark_Scal

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Rondo is great, and could be a contender.....but he shouldn't be the celts best rebounder...that is a discredit to doc.......doc did say he doesn't want people rebounding..it was written as his quote in the boston herald....so it is 99% fact....and he never argued it......it is also a ridiculous position for a real NBA coach.......as if baseball players shouldn't field either.." We'll just hit a lot of runs later dude..!"  so the celts need to hit 90%......shooting....ya, they did do goood last year.......odd...but still a crazy position.....and if you are going to give numbers...make them offensive rebound stats...not D ones....

Re: This is Rondos year! 2012-13 nba MVP!
« Reply #53 on: July 14, 2012, 10:22:52 AM »

Offline CelticG1

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If he plays like he did the second half of the season and the playoffs for the whole season he will be top 5-10.

If he starts scoring more and takes a step out away from KG/Pierce as the clearcut leader/MVP of the team than he will be top 3 with a great chance.

This is also assuming Lebron and the Heat don't win 70 games and Durant doesn't score 35 a game.

Re: This is Rondos year! 2012-13 nba MVP!
« Reply #54 on: July 14, 2012, 10:37:44 AM »

Offline Yoki_IsTheName

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I wish he use that dislike of Ray to him as motivation to do so.

I really believe he'll have an amazing season. MVP candidate or maybe even win it.
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Re: This is Rondos year! 2012-13 nba MVP!
« Reply #55 on: July 14, 2012, 11:39:50 AM »

Offline ianboyextreme

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Nah.

When Nash won those MVP's he was getting as many assists as Rondo, but also scoring 17-19 a night while shooting RIDICULOUS percentages of 50%/44%/90% ... Rondo is a great point guard, but he's completely unreliable on the offensive end.  He can pass and play solid defense.. and run an offense as well as anyone in the league... but he lacks the ability to create his own shot or score consistently... a skill that point guards (equal to him in playmaking) like Chris Paul, Deron Williams and Nash have.... and point guards (less than him in playmaking) like Rose and Westbrook also have.

Rondo did have an amazing playoff this year, though.  But he's had huge series in the past (2009 comes to mind) that didn't translate to huge regular seasons. 
The idea that Rondo can not create his own shot is absurd. I would say "did you watch the playoofs?", but since you mentioned them in your post I know you did which leaves me wondering what you are talking about. It is true that he doesnt score in the high teens consistently but I believe it is commonly recognized around the league that he doesn't try to score big every night- only when it is needed. Steve Nash has never averaged more assists in a season than Rondo did this year. The most he ever averaged was 11.6. Paul, Williams, despite being very good playmakers, are nowhere close to Rondo as far as being a set-up man.

Rondo's best:  11.9 points, 11.7 assists 45%/24%/60%
Nash's best:  18.6 points, 11.6 assists 53%/45%/90%
Paul's best:  22.8 points, 11 assists  50%/36%/87%
Deron's best:  18.8 points, 10.5 assists, 51%/40%/80%

You figure if Chris Paul is scoring 22.8 points and 11 assists... that' means he's minimum responsible for 44.8 points per night, right?  Likely more if his teammates are scoring threes.   If rondo is getting 11.9 and 11.7... that means he's minimum responsible for 35.3 points per night.   

Do you get my point?  All of those guys are more consistent scorers than Rondo.  If they only needed to score 12 a night, they could easily get more than 11 assists.  They already proved capable of getting 11 assists while scoring far more consistently than ROndo likely ever will be able. 

  So you're saying that if you look at the stats for these guys, when their scoring goes down their assists go up?

You can't possibly say that Rondo's 11.7 assists is more impressive than Nash's 11.6 assists.  That's just ignorant.  Nash scored 18.6 points, because his shooting percentages were RIDICULOUS 53%/45%/90%... If he was a subpar scorer like Rondo, then he presumably would have taken less shots (or he'd be a detriment to his team)... in which case, he would have made up for the shots by using offensive possessions to rack up more assists... and thus... would have averaged more assists than Rondo did last year.  The point is that as the hall of famers fade away from the Celtics, Rondo will be asked to score the ball more.  If he's asked to score the ball more that means he'll be taking more shots.  If he's taking more shots that mean's less offensive possessions to get assists.  Less offensive possessions to get assists = less assists.  This isn't rocket surgery.

  That would mean that Rondo gets a lot fewer assists a game in the playoffs, when he takes significantly more shots? It might not be rocket surgery, but clearly things a little more complicated than you think they are.

Tim... I already know what you are alluding to.  I smell the bait.  I made the statement that if Rondo scored more/took more shots/used offensive possessions to take more shots... his assists would go down.

I already know your rebuttal will be to point out that Rondo took more shots in the playoffs and scored more points (17.3) while averaging more assists (11.9) and thus believe you are proving me wrong. 

First of all... I already admitted that ROndo's playoff was nothing short of amazing.  But playing 19 games against the likes of Jeff Teague and Mario Chalmers isn't the same as playing 82 games against a variety of defenses.   

That said... you're still wrong.  You're forgetting that in the playoffs Rondo averaged significantly more minutes (42.6) than in the regular season (36.9).

If you take Rondo's regular season averages: 36.9 minutes: 11.9 points, 11.7 assists, 10.8 shots per game... and project it out to 42.6 minutes ... You'd get 13.7 points, 13.5 assists on 12.4 shots.

Alternatively, if you take his playoff numbers: 42.6 minutes, 17.3 points, 11.9 assists, 15.8 shots per game... and compress it to 36.9 minutes... you'd get 14.9 points, 10.3 assists and 13.6 shots.

Either way, if you even the minutes... you'll see my point:

Regular season:  36.9 minutes - 11.9 points, 11.7 assists, 10.8 shots
Post season (adjusted):  36.9 minutes - 14.9 points, 10.3 assists, 13.6 shots

Regular season (adjusted):  42.6 minutes - 13.7 points, 13.5 assists, 12.4 shots
Post Season:  42.6 minutes - 17.3 points, 11.9 assists, 15.8 shots

More shots = less assists.

From this we can guesstimate that if Rondo continues his incredible post-season form... he'd average close to 15 points per game and just over 10 assists per game (since there is no way he'd play 43 minutes a night in the regular season)... which is still significantly less than Nash, Deron and Chris Paul at their best (20 points 11 assists).  Additionally... the problem for ROndo is that if he becomes more assertive on the offensive end (tries to average 15+ per game), defenders might actually start guarding him.  And if defenders start guarding him... we just aren't certain how he'd fair with defensive pressure.  Paul, Williams and Nash have all had to face double teams and still succeeded.  We don't know if Rondo can do the same.
Rondo was being guarded by Wade and Lebron more often that Chalmers in the heat series. Youre also suggesting that in those extra 6 minutes he played in the playoffs that he squeezed in those extra points and asists but there were plenty of instances in the playoffs where Rondo had 12 assists with a whole quarter to go. Averages can be affected by one outstanding instance. One low assist game will drastically change an average while one high assist game will do the opposite. The majority of his points and assists could very well have come in the first 36 minutes but because he played an extra 6 minutes you are assuming they came in that pocket of time.

Re: This is Rondos year! 2012-13 nba MVP!
« Reply #56 on: July 14, 2012, 12:15:03 PM »

Offline BballTim

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Nah.

When Nash won those MVP's he was getting as many assists as Rondo, but also scoring 17-19 a night while shooting RIDICULOUS percentages of 50%/44%/90% ... Rondo is a great point guard, but he's completely unreliable on the offensive end.  He can pass and play solid defense.. and run an offense as well as anyone in the league... but he lacks the ability to create his own shot or score consistently... a skill that point guards (equal to him in playmaking) like Chris Paul, Deron Williams and Nash have.... and point guards (less than him in playmaking) like Rose and Westbrook also have.

Rondo did have an amazing playoff this year, though.  But he's had huge series in the past (2009 comes to mind) that didn't translate to huge regular seasons. 
The idea that Rondo can not create his own shot is absurd. I would say "did you watch the playoofs?", but since you mentioned them in your post I know you did which leaves me wondering what you are talking about. It is true that he doesnt score in the high teens consistently but I believe it is commonly recognized around the league that he doesn't try to score big every night- only when it is needed. Steve Nash has never averaged more assists in a season than Rondo did this year. The most he ever averaged was 11.6. Paul, Williams, despite being very good playmakers, are nowhere close to Rondo as far as being a set-up man.

Rondo's best:  11.9 points, 11.7 assists 45%/24%/60%
Nash's best:  18.6 points, 11.6 assists 53%/45%/90%
Paul's best:  22.8 points, 11 assists  50%/36%/87%
Deron's best:  18.8 points, 10.5 assists, 51%/40%/80%

You figure if Chris Paul is scoring 22.8 points and 11 assists... that' means he's minimum responsible for 44.8 points per night, right?  Likely more if his teammates are scoring threes.   If rondo is getting 11.9 and 11.7... that means he's minimum responsible for 35.3 points per night.   

Do you get my point?  All of those guys are more consistent scorers than Rondo.  If they only needed to score 12 a night, they could easily get more than 11 assists.  They already proved capable of getting 11 assists while scoring far more consistently than ROndo likely ever will be able. 

  So you're saying that if you look at the stats for these guys, when their scoring goes down their assists go up?

You can't possibly say that Rondo's 11.7 assists is more impressive than Nash's 11.6 assists.  That's just ignorant.  Nash scored 18.6 points, because his shooting percentages were RIDICULOUS 53%/45%/90%... If he was a subpar scorer like Rondo, then he presumably would have taken less shots (or he'd be a detriment to his team)... in which case, he would have made up for the shots by using offensive possessions to rack up more assists... and thus... would have averaged more assists than Rondo did last year.  The point is that as the hall of famers fade away from the Celtics, Rondo will be asked to score the ball more.  If he's asked to score the ball more that means he'll be taking more shots.  If he's taking more shots that mean's less offensive possessions to get assists.  Less offensive possessions to get assists = less assists.  This isn't rocket surgery.

  That would mean that Rondo gets a lot fewer assists a game in the playoffs, when he takes significantly more shots? It might not be rocket surgery, but clearly things a little more complicated than you think they are.

Tim... I already know what you are alluding to.  I smell the bait.  I made the statement that if Rondo scored more/took more shots/used offensive possessions to take more shots... his assists would go down.

I already know your rebuttal will be to point out that Rondo took more shots in the playoffs and scored more points (17.3) while averaging more assists (11.9) and thus believe you are proving me wrong. 

  So you're claiming that you already know what I've already said? Exciting. But did you already know that I was asking you to back up your claim that when Deron, Nash and CP3 score less their assist totals go up? It's in the post as well, I guess you psychic ability needs a little fine tuning.

Re: This is Rondos year! 2012-13 nba MVP!
« Reply #57 on: July 14, 2012, 01:22:46 PM »

Offline LarBrd33

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Nah.

When Nash won those MVP's he was getting as many assists as Rondo, but also scoring 17-19 a night while shooting RIDICULOUS percentages of 50%/44%/90% ... Rondo is a great point guard, but he's completely unreliable on the offensive end.  He can pass and play solid defense.. and run an offense as well as anyone in the league... but he lacks the ability to create his own shot or score consistently... a skill that point guards (equal to him in playmaking) like Chris Paul, Deron Williams and Nash have.... and point guards (less than him in playmaking) like Rose and Westbrook also have.

Rondo did have an amazing playoff this year, though.  But he's had huge series in the past (2009 comes to mind) that didn't translate to huge regular seasons. 
The idea that Rondo can not create his own shot is absurd. I would say "did you watch the playoofs?", but since you mentioned them in your post I know you did which leaves me wondering what you are talking about. It is true that he doesnt score in the high teens consistently but I believe it is commonly recognized around the league that he doesn't try to score big every night- only when it is needed. Steve Nash has never averaged more assists in a season than Rondo did this year. The most he ever averaged was 11.6. Paul, Williams, despite being very good playmakers, are nowhere close to Rondo as far as being a set-up man.

Rondo's best:  11.9 points, 11.7 assists 45%/24%/60%
Nash's best:  18.6 points, 11.6 assists 53%/45%/90%
Paul's best:  22.8 points, 11 assists  50%/36%/87%
Deron's best:  18.8 points, 10.5 assists, 51%/40%/80%

You figure if Chris Paul is scoring 22.8 points and 11 assists... that' means he's minimum responsible for 44.8 points per night, right?  Likely more if his teammates are scoring threes.   If rondo is getting 11.9 and 11.7... that means he's minimum responsible for 35.3 points per night.   

Do you get my point?  All of those guys are more consistent scorers than Rondo.  If they only needed to score 12 a night, they could easily get more than 11 assists.  They already proved capable of getting 11 assists while scoring far more consistently than ROndo likely ever will be able. 

  So you're saying that if you look at the stats for these guys, when their scoring goes down their assists go up?

You can't possibly say that Rondo's 11.7 assists is more impressive than Nash's 11.6 assists.  That's just ignorant.  Nash scored 18.6 points, because his shooting percentages were RIDICULOUS 53%/45%/90%... If he was a subpar scorer like Rondo, then he presumably would have taken less shots (or he'd be a detriment to his team)... in which case, he would have made up for the shots by using offensive possessions to rack up more assists... and thus... would have averaged more assists than Rondo did last year.  The point is that as the hall of famers fade away from the Celtics, Rondo will be asked to score the ball more.  If he's asked to score the ball more that means he'll be taking more shots.  If he's taking more shots that mean's less offensive possessions to get assists.  Less offensive possessions to get assists = less assists.  This isn't rocket surgery.

  That would mean that Rondo gets a lot fewer assists a game in the playoffs, when he takes significantly more shots? It might not be rocket surgery, but clearly things a little more complicated than you think they are.

Tim... I already know what you are alluding to.  I smell the bait.  I made the statement that if Rondo scored more/took more shots/used offensive possessions to take more shots... his assists would go down.

I already know your rebuttal will be to point out that Rondo took more shots in the playoffs and scored more points (17.3) while averaging more assists (11.9) and thus believe you are proving me wrong. 

  So you're claiming that you already know what I've already said? Exciting. But did you already know that I was asking you to back up your claim that when Deron, Nash and CP3 score less their assist totals go up? It's in the post as well, I guess you psychic ability needs a little fine tuning.

Nope.  That's not what you were going for.  But nice try.  :)

Bottom line... if Rondo continues playing as amazing as he did in the playoffs (we can all hope), he'll end up averaging 15 points and 10 assists (his huge playoff numbers adjusted to 37 minutes).  That's more points and less assists.  I don't think he has it in him to drop 20 and 11 like the superstars. He's still a very good point guard... unquestionably top 6 in the league at this point.  And he's probably going to be in Boston for a long time... so no need for anyone to throw away their Rondo bed sheets or anything.
« Last Edit: July 14, 2012, 01:29:12 PM by LarBrd33 »

Re: This is Rondos year! 2012-13 nba MVP!
« Reply #58 on: July 14, 2012, 01:31:34 PM »

Offline BballTim

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Nah.

When Nash won those MVP's he was getting as many assists as Rondo, but also scoring 17-19 a night while shooting RIDICULOUS percentages of 50%/44%/90% ... Rondo is a great point guard, but he's completely unreliable on the offensive end.  He can pass and play solid defense.. and run an offense as well as anyone in the league... but he lacks the ability to create his own shot or score consistently... a skill that point guards (equal to him in playmaking) like Chris Paul, Deron Williams and Nash have.... and point guards (less than him in playmaking) like Rose and Westbrook also have.

Rondo did have an amazing playoff this year, though.  But he's had huge series in the past (2009 comes to mind) that didn't translate to huge regular seasons. 
The idea that Rondo can not create his own shot is absurd. I would say "did you watch the playoofs?", but since you mentioned them in your post I know you did which leaves me wondering what you are talking about. It is true that he doesnt score in the high teens consistently but I believe it is commonly recognized around the league that he doesn't try to score big every night- only when it is needed. Steve Nash has never averaged more assists in a season than Rondo did this year. The most he ever averaged was 11.6. Paul, Williams, despite being very good playmakers, are nowhere close to Rondo as far as being a set-up man.

Rondo's best:  11.9 points, 11.7 assists 45%/24%/60%
Nash's best:  18.6 points, 11.6 assists 53%/45%/90%
Paul's best:  22.8 points, 11 assists  50%/36%/87%
Deron's best:  18.8 points, 10.5 assists, 51%/40%/80%

You figure if Chris Paul is scoring 22.8 points and 11 assists... that' means he's minimum responsible for 44.8 points per night, right?  Likely more if his teammates are scoring threes.   If rondo is getting 11.9 and 11.7... that means he's minimum responsible for 35.3 points per night.   

Do you get my point?  All of those guys are more consistent scorers than Rondo.  If they only needed to score 12 a night, they could easily get more than 11 assists.  They already proved capable of getting 11 assists while scoring far more consistently than ROndo likely ever will be able. 

  So you're saying that if you look at the stats for these guys, when their scoring goes down their assists go up?

You can't possibly say that Rondo's 11.7 assists is more impressive than Nash's 11.6 assists.  That's just ignorant.  Nash scored 18.6 points, because his shooting percentages were RIDICULOUS 53%/45%/90%... If he was a subpar scorer like Rondo, then he presumably would have taken less shots (or he'd be a detriment to his team)... in which case, he would have made up for the shots by using offensive possessions to rack up more assists... and thus... would have averaged more assists than Rondo did last year.  The point is that as the hall of famers fade away from the Celtics, Rondo will be asked to score the ball more.  If he's asked to score the ball more that means he'll be taking more shots.  If he's taking more shots that mean's less offensive possessions to get assists.  Less offensive possessions to get assists = less assists.  This isn't rocket surgery.

  That would mean that Rondo gets a lot fewer assists a game in the playoffs, when he takes significantly more shots? It might not be rocket surgery, but clearly things a little more complicated than you think they are.

Tim... I already know what you are alluding to.  I smell the bait.  I made the statement that if Rondo scored more/took more shots/used offensive possessions to take more shots... his assists would go down.

I already know your rebuttal will be to point out that Rondo took more shots in the playoffs and scored more points (17.3) while averaging more assists (11.9) and thus believe you are proving me wrong. 

First of all... I already admitted that ROndo's playoff was nothing short of amazing.  But playing 19 games against the likes of Jeff Teague and Mario Chalmers isn't the same as playing 82 games against a variety of defenses. 

  Yes, it's true, playing all 19 games against top 6 defenses isn't the same as what he'd see during the regular season, when he'd face teams that were worse defensively on most nights.  

That said... you're still wrong.  You're forgetting that in the playoffs Rondo averaged significantly more minutes (42.6) than in the regular season (36.9).

If you take Rondo's regular season averages: 36.9 minutes: 11.9 points, 11.7 assists, 10.8 shots per game... and project it out to 42.6 minutes ... You'd get 13.7 points, 13.5 assists on 12.4 shots.

Alternatively, if you take his playoff numbers: 42.6 minutes, 17.3 points, 11.9 assists, 15.8 shots per game... and compress it to 36.9 minutes... you'd get 14.9 points, 10.3 assists and 13.6 shots.

Either way, if you even the minutes... you'll see my point:

Regular season:  36.9 minutes - 11.9 points, 11.7 assists, 10.8 shots
Post season (adjusted):  36.9 minutes - 14.9 points, 10.3 assists, 13.6 shots

Regular season (adjusted):  42.6 minutes - 13.7 points, 13.5 assists, 12.4 shots
Post Season:  42.6 minutes - 17.3 points, 11.9 assists, 15.8 shots

More shots = less assists.

  Maybe, but there are other factors you need to consider. As mentioned above, we played better defenses than usual. We also had banged up players. All of the 6 leading scorers besides Rondo shot worse in the playoffs than the regular season.

  If those players shot as well during the playoffs as the regular season they'd have combined for 46 more makes, which (considering how much time Rondo was on the court and his assist%) would give Rondo more than an assist/game. Your drop in assists would be about .5/game while his scoring goes up by 3-4 points and his shots go up by 3+.

From this we can guesstimate that if Rondo continues his incredible post-season form... he'd average close to 15 points per game and just over 10 assists per game (since there is no way he'd play 43 minutes a night in the regular season)... which is still significantly less than Nash, Deron and Chris Paul at their best (20 points 11 assists).

  Figure the Celts besides Rondo hit their normal shots during the season and you'd probably get 15/11.4 or so. So, same assists as everyone else. He's at 3 ppg less than Nash/Deron at their best, but throw in defense and rebounding and it's arguably a wash. Mind you, that's Rondo vs Nash on Deron on teams that were built to take advantage of their strength, which isn't necessarily the case in Boston.

  Clearly that's a step below CP3's best year. There isn't a pg in the league that will put up numbers like that, including CP3. But, again, Rondo's projected 15/11.3(ish) isn't really that bad compared to the 16/10 or 20/9 that CP's been putting up.

  It's also worth pointing out that it's somewhat harder for Rondo to get assists than those other three guards because his teammates pass the ball so much. They don't just shoot the ball when he gives it to them, they look for better options. Last year PP/RA/KG combined to average about 10 assists a game, you won't find totals that high on other players when Nash/CP/Deron had their best years.

Additionally... the problem for ROndo is that if he becomes more assertive on the offensive end (tries to average 15+ per game), defenders might actually start guarding him.  And if defenders start guarding him... we just aren't certain how he'd fair with defensive pressure.  Paul, Williams and Nash have all had to face double teams and still succeeded.  We don't know if Rondo can do the same.

  Defenses give Rondo space in order to guard against his passing and to keep him out of the lane. Cover him more closely and he'll have that much easier of a time getting assists and he'll get more layups (more points per shot and more free throws). We do know that opposing coaches talk about keeping Rondo in check being a top priority for them and we know he succeeds in spite of that.

Re: This is Rondos year! 2012-13 nba MVP!
« Reply #59 on: July 14, 2012, 01:31:55 PM »

Offline Celtics18

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  Additionally... the problem for ROndo is that if he becomes more assertive on the offensive end (tries to average 15+ per game), defenders might actually start guarding him.  And if defenders start guarding him... we just aren't certain how he'd fair with defensive pressure.  Paul, Williams and Nash have all had to face double teams and still succeeded.  We don't know if Rondo can do the same.

We have actually already seen Rondo face a lot of traps and double teams.  It happened in last year's playoffs, and he handled it very, very well.
DKC Seventy-Sixers:

PG: G. Hill/D. Schroder
SG: C. Lee/B. Hield/T. Luwawu
SF:  Giannis/J. Lamb/M. Kuzminskas
PF:  E. Ilyasova/J. Jerebko/R. Christmas
C:    N. Vucevic/K. Olynyk/E. Davis/C. Jefferson