Author Topic: Phoenix fans take on Rondo+JO for Nash+Gortat...  (Read 12312 times)

0 Members and 0 Guests are viewing this topic.

Re: Phoenix fans take on Rondo+JO for Nash+Gortat...
« Reply #15 on: February 14, 2012, 11:01:05 AM »

Offline rav123

  • Derrick White
  • Posts: 268
  • Tommy Points: 48

Rondo's, by the way, is actually ABOVE the league average for point guards ... his shooting woes are entirely overrated.

Nobody is saying Rondo's FG% is whack. In fact, it's always been pretty good. It's the fact that he can't make a shot past 15 feet even with all the space in the world.

Back on topic:

The sentiment over at PHX seems to be that Rondo is only as good as he is because he has the big 3 to pass to - it's something I think most non-Celtics fans believe to some degree.

As a first or second option (which Nash is, over there), no-one expects him to play to the standard required.

Rondo will be a great PG (assists-wise) on a run-and-gun team.
But what percentage of any team's opportunities are in transition. Because he can't shoot, and is afraid to penetrate as much as he could because of his FT% woes, he eliminates much of the gain his superior court vision affords him in a half-court offensive setting.

Re: Phoenix fans take on Rondo+JO for Nash+Gortat...
« Reply #16 on: February 14, 2012, 11:03:33 AM »

Offline Fafnir

  • Bill Russell
  • ******************************
  • Posts: 30863
  • Tommy Points: 1330
. . . and people think I'm ridiculous when I say that people outside Boston don't think Rondo is worth as much in a trade as most of the fans here do.
Well you're going from a skewed group to a skewed group.

The fact that Suns fans are delusional about Nash's value isn't suprising. Same thing if you want to apply it to Rondo too.

Re: Phoenix fans take on Rondo+JO for Nash+Gortat...
« Reply #17 on: February 14, 2012, 11:07:46 AM »

Offline Moranis

  • James Naismith
  • *********************************
  • Posts: 34609
  • Tommy Points: 1599
. . . and people think I'm ridiculous when I say that people outside Boston don't think Rondo is worth as much in a trade as most of the fans here do.
Well you're going from a skewed group to a skewed group.

The fact that Suns fans are delusional about Nash's value isn't suprising. Same thing if you want to apply it to Rondo too.
I think you would find the market for Rondo with any team is no where near what the majority of the people on this board think.  Rondo is an incredibly flawed player, which is hard for Celtics fans to come to terms with. 
2025 Historical Draft - Cleveland Cavaliers - 1st pick

Bigs - Shaquille O'Neal, Victor Wembanyama
Wings -  Lebron James
Guards - Luka Doncic

Re: Phoenix fans take on Rondo+JO for Nash+Gortat...
« Reply #18 on: February 14, 2012, 11:11:52 AM »

Offline BballTim

  • Dave Cowens
  • ***********************
  • Posts: 23724
  • Tommy Points: 1123
. . . and people think I'm ridiculous when I say that people outside Boston don't think Rondo is worth as much in a trade as most of the fans here do.

  Most of the claims are about Rondo's trade value to GMs, not other fans. It should be a fairly simple equation though. If his trade value is lower than his value to the team, don't trade him.


Re: Phoenix fans take on Rondo+JO for Nash+Gortat...
« Reply #19 on: February 14, 2012, 11:16:25 AM »

Offline Cman

  • K.C. Jones
  • *************
  • Posts: 13074
  • Tommy Points: 121
So lately I've posted trade ideas on different blogs to guage how realistic certain trade scenarios would be if it came to crunch time.


TP for doing this. I appreciate your enthusiasm, even if I don't always agree with your trade proposals.
Celtics fan for life.

Re: Phoenix fans take on Rondo+JO for Nash+Gortat...
« Reply #20 on: February 14, 2012, 11:21:59 AM »

Offline BballTim

  • Dave Cowens
  • ***********************
  • Posts: 23724
  • Tommy Points: 1123

Rondo's, by the way, is actually ABOVE the league average for point guards ... his shooting woes are entirely overrated.

Nobody is saying Rondo's FG% is whack. In fact, it's always been pretty good. It's the fact that he can't make a shot past 15 feet even with all the space in the world.

Back on topic:

The sentiment over at PHX seems to be that Rondo is only as good as he is because he has the big 3 to pass to - it's something I think most non-Celtics fans believe to some degree.

As a first or second option (which Nash is, over there), no-one expects him to play to the standard required.

Rondo will be a great PG (assists-wise) on a run-and-gun team.
But what percentage of any team's opportunities are in transition. Because he can't shoot, and is afraid to penetrate as much as he could because of his FT% woes, he eliminates much of the gain his superior court vision affords him in a half-court offensive setting.

  Rondo's shooting from 16-23 feet is *above* league average, so your "fact" is clearly not true. He also has a higher usage rate than Nash, who *isn't* a first or second option in Phoenix. And he's top 5 or so for point guards so I think "afraid to go to the rim" is out the window as well. Your post may have been fairly accurate 3-4 years ago, not currently though.

Re: Phoenix fans take on Rondo+JO for Nash+Gortat...
« Reply #21 on: February 14, 2012, 11:24:47 AM »

Offline BballTim

  • Dave Cowens
  • ***********************
  • Posts: 23724
  • Tommy Points: 1123
. . . and people think I'm ridiculous when I say that people outside Boston don't think Rondo is worth as much in a trade as most of the fans here do.
Well you're going from a skewed group to a skewed group.

The fact that Suns fans are delusional about Nash's value isn't suprising. Same thing if you want to apply it to Rondo too.
I think you would find the market for Rondo with any team is no where near what the majority of the people on this board think.  Rondo is an incredibly flawed player, which is hard for Celtics fans to come to terms with. 

  Everyone can see that Rondo has flaws. Not everyone can see that he contributes a lot to the team in spite of his flaws.

Re: Phoenix fans take on Rondo+JO for Nash+Gortat...
« Reply #22 on: February 14, 2012, 11:39:14 AM »

Offline soap07

  • Don Chaney
  • *
  • Posts: 1557
  • Tommy Points: 145
Quote
  Rondo's shooting from 16-23 feet is *above* league average, so your "fact" is clearly not true.

Do you think Rondo has been an above league average shooter from 16-23 feet this year ?

Re: Phoenix fans take on Rondo+JO for Nash+Gortat...
« Reply #23 on: February 14, 2012, 11:44:46 AM »

Offline Fafnir

  • Bill Russell
  • ******************************
  • Posts: 30863
  • Tommy Points: 1330
Quote
 Rondo's shooting from 16-23 feet is *above* league average, so your "fact" is clearly not true.

Do you think Rondo has been an above league average shooter from 16-23 feet this year ?
In raw percentage terms, yes he's hitting around 41% compared to 39%.

His overall spot up percentage is below league average however. What I think would be more telling would be his wide open make rate. I don't know where we can get that though.

Re: Phoenix fans take on Rondo+JO for Nash+Gortat...
« Reply #24 on: February 14, 2012, 11:48:52 AM »

Offline BballTim

  • Dave Cowens
  • ***********************
  • Posts: 23724
  • Tommy Points: 1123
Quote
  Rondo's shooting from 16-23 feet is *above* league average, so your "fact" is clearly not true.

Do you think Rondo has been an above league average shooter from 16-23 feet this year ?

  If you heard that a player was taking an average amount of three pointers and hitting more of them than the league average, would you think that player was an above average three point shooter for that year?

Re: Phoenix fans take on Rondo+JO for Nash+Gortat...
« Reply #25 on: February 14, 2012, 11:57:43 AM »

Offline Chris

  • Global Moderator
  • Dennis Johnson
  • ******************
  • Posts: 18008
  • Tommy Points: 642

What do they seriously think they'll get for Nash at age 38?



Here is your problem.  You are thinking about this as Nash for Rondo.  Nash is close to a throw-in in that deal.  Gortat has become one of the best centers in the league, and is also one of the biggest bargains in the league.  He is the holdup, and they are right to ask for the moon for him.

Re: Phoenix fans take on Rondo+JO for Nash+Gortat...
« Reply #26 on: February 14, 2012, 01:02:03 PM »

Offline dtrader

  • Jaylen Brown
  • Posts: 730
  • Tommy Points: 42

Rondo's, by the way, is actually ABOVE the league average for point guards ... his shooting woes are entirely overrated.

Nobody is saying Rondo's FG% is whack. In fact, it's always been pretty good. It's the fact that he can't make a shot past 15 feet even with all the space in the world.

Back on topic:

The sentiment over at PHX seems to be that Rondo is only as good as he is because he has the big 3 to pass to - it's something I think most non-Celtics fans believe to some degree.

As a first or second option (which Nash is, over there), no-one expects him to play to the standard required.

Rondo will be a great PG (assists-wise) on a run-and-gun team.
But what percentage of any team's opportunities are in transition. Because he can't shoot, and is afraid to penetrate as much as he could because of his FT% woes, he eliminates much of the gain his superior court vision affords him in a half-court offensive setting.

  Rondo's shooting from 16-23 feet is *above* league average, so your "fact" is clearly not true. He also has a higher usage rate than Nash, who *isn't* a first or second option in Phoenix. And he's top 5 or so for point guards so I think "afraid to go to the rim" is out the window as well. Your post may have been fairly accurate 3-4 years ago, not currently though.


If Nash isnt the Suns 1st or 2nd options, then who is?  The only other offensive threats on that team are dudley (who just camps out on the 3 pt line), and Gortat (who scores on clean ups around the basket, and pick and rolls set up by Nash). 3-4 years ago they actually had some talent surrounding him, so maybe then he wasnt the 1st option...this year everything runs through (and usually ends) with Nash.  He's definitely their #1 option.

As far as Rondos shooting from 16-23 feet being "above average"...The numbers dont even tell half the story.  He might have a higher fg% from that distance, but thats because he's left COMPLETELY UNGUARDED.  Every other PG in the league will be well defended there, so they should be expected to shoot a lower % than someone whose shot was uncontested. 

Basically Rondo shoots completely uncontested 16-23 foot jumpshots at a slightly higher rate then average NBA players shoot them when they are being guarded.  Thats not a positive.  It's especially not a positive, if that "league average" being quoted includes 16-23 footers that are shot by power forwards and centers (players that would bring the "league average" down, but shouldnt be used as a comparison for the shooting of a guard).  If "contested 16-23 foot jumpshots shot by guards" was a stat that was available, it would be a useful comparison...and one I'd expect Rondo to fail miserably at.

Re: Phoenix fans take on Rondo+JO for Nash+Gortat...
« Reply #27 on: February 14, 2012, 01:30:36 PM »

Offline BballTim

  • Dave Cowens
  • ***********************
  • Posts: 23724
  • Tommy Points: 1123

Rondo's, by the way, is actually ABOVE the league average for point guards ... his shooting woes are entirely overrated.

Nobody is saying Rondo's FG% is whack. In fact, it's always been pretty good. It's the fact that he can't make a shot past 15 feet even with all the space in the world.

Back on topic:

The sentiment over at PHX seems to be that Rondo is only as good as he is because he has the big 3 to pass to - it's something I think most non-Celtics fans believe to some degree.

As a first or second option (which Nash is, over there), no-one expects him to play to the standard required.

Rondo will be a great PG (assists-wise) on a run-and-gun team.
But what percentage of any team's opportunities are in transition. Because he can't shoot, and is afraid to penetrate as much as he could because of his FT% woes, he eliminates much of the gain his superior court vision affords him in a half-court offensive setting.

  Rondo's shooting from 16-23 feet is *above* league average, so your "fact" is clearly not true. He also has a higher usage rate than Nash, who *isn't* a first or second option in Phoenix. And he's top 5 or so for point guards so I think "afraid to go to the rim" is out the window as well. Your post may have been fairly accurate 3-4 years ago, not currently though.


If Nash isnt the Suns 1st or 2nd options, then who is?  The only other offensive threats on that team are dudley (who just camps out on the 3 pt line), and Gortat (who scores on clean ups around the basket, and pick and rolls set up by Nash). 3-4 years ago they actually had some talent surrounding him, so maybe then he wasnt the 1st option...this year everything runs through (and usually ends) with Nash.  He's definitely their #1 option.

  Gortat takes more shots than Nash, so does Frye. Hill takes the same amount as Nash and Dudley's pretty close. If you consider free throws, Nash takes about as many shots as Rondo, and most of our offense runs through Rajon as well.

As far as Rondos shooting from 16-23 feet being "above average"...The numbers dont even tell half the story.  He might have a higher fg% from that distance, but thats because he's left COMPLETELY UNGUARDED.  Every other PG in the league will be well defended there, so they should be expected to shoot a lower % than someone whose shot was uncontested. 

  Sigh. If you actually read what you quoted you'd see that I was responding to:

  "It's the fact that he can't make a shot past 15 feet even with all the space in the world."

  In that sense, your statement is pretty much useless. But beyond that, I'd point out that it's ridiculous to claim that every other PG in the league will be well defended there. I don't know if people only watch the occasional Celts game and only pay attention when they're looking for reasons to criticize Rondo, but there seems to be a lot of people who think that Rondo's left wide open on every shot but every other outside shot is contested like Paul or Ray or Kobe are taking them. That's not the case, plenty of wide open outside shots are taken in every nba game that's played, even by point guards.

Basically Rondo shoots completely uncontested 16-23 foot jumpshots at a slightly higher rate then average NBA players shoot them when they are being guarded.  Thats not a positive.  It's especially not a positive, if that "league average" being quoted includes 16-23 footers that are shot by power forwards and centers (players that would bring the "league average" down, but shouldnt be used as a comparison for the shooting of a guard).  If "contested 16-23 foot jumpshots shot by guards" was a stat that was available, it would be a useful comparison...and one I'd expect Rondo to fail miserably at.

  First of all, the stat holds true whether you're talking about point guards or players in general. Secondly, Rondo taking jump shots and hitting them at a higher rate than others is quite obviously a positive. Scoring points efficiently is somewhat important in the nba. Maybe instead of criticizing Rondo for only taking wide open jumpers, you should consider criticizing the shot selection of players that take contested 16-23 foot jumpers. Everyone knows that long two point shots are the least efficient shots to take, taking them while you're well guarded isn't very smart.

Re: Phoenix fans take on Rondo+JO for Nash+Gortat...
« Reply #28 on: February 14, 2012, 01:38:23 PM »

Offline PosImpos

  • NCE
  • Frank Ramsey
  • ************
  • Posts: 12383
  • Tommy Points: 903
  • Rondo = Good
. . . and people think I'm ridiculous when I say that people outside Boston don't think Rondo is worth as much in a trade as most of the fans here do.

  Most of the claims are about Rondo's trade value to GMs, not other fans. It should be a fairly simple equation though. If his trade value is lower than his value to the team, don't trade him.



Well, it's fair to extrapolate, I think, from the whole CP3 business that the Hornets valued Eric Gordon and Stephen Curry as the centerpieces of a trade package over Rondo.

During that time, we also heard credible reports that Larry Bird was only willing to give up Darren Collison, Ty Hansbrough, and Brandon Rush in exchange for Rondo, despite the fact that many here assumed that the Pacers would have to give up Granger, George, or Hibbert in any deal for Rondo.

It's also been reported that OKC wasn't interested in a package headlined by Westbrook for a package headlined by Rondo, despite the fact that some here have argued the Rondo is a better point guard and a better fit for OKC than Westbrook.

Overall, I think it's safe to say that most fans here would not agree with that apparent assessment of Rondo's value.
Never forget the Champs of '08, or the gutsy warriors of '10.

"I know you all wanna win, but you gotta do it TOGETHER!"
- Doc Rivers

Re: Phoenix fans take on Rondo+JO for Nash+Gortat...
« Reply #29 on: February 14, 2012, 01:41:35 PM »

Offline PosImpos

  • NCE
  • Frank Ramsey
  • ************
  • Posts: 12383
  • Tommy Points: 903
  • Rondo = Good

What do they seriously think they'll get for Nash at age 38?



Here is your problem.  You are thinking about this as Nash for Rondo.  Nash is close to a throw-in in that deal.  Gortat has become one of the best centers in the league, and is also one of the biggest bargains in the league.  He is the holdup, and they are right to ask for the moon for him.

Agreed.  The deal proposed in the original thread would have been a fair package for both teams at the start of the season, but since then, Rondo has had an up and down season while Gortat has been a top 10 center in the league.  

Of course, a big part of that is likely the Steve Nash effect -- which is the same reason Amare hasn't been nearly as impressive since joining the Knicks.  Still, talented 7 footers are worth a lot more than talented point guards in this league.
Never forget the Champs of '08, or the gutsy warriors of '10.

"I know you all wanna win, but you gotta do it TOGETHER!"
- Doc Rivers