I would be VERY surprised if D. Rose got another MVP award, unless he somehow took his game to another level. Honestly, he didn't even really deserve the MVP award last season, he is a massively overrated player (I am not saying he isn't good, mind you, but he is more pretty to watch than actually efficient).
agreed. the MVP award is 90% about the media narrative surrounding the player throughout the season. that's the first, second, and third reason Rose won the award last season. the fourth reason was because he played really well statistically -- but so did plenty of other players.
inevitably, some other player will have his "turn" being the media darling this year as the best player on a top team. i think Kevin Durant makes sense. if the Mavs really blow the league away, though, Dirk could win it again.
it's entirely possible that Chris Paul could win it, too, if the Clips have a top 5 record. that seems pretty unlikely to me, though.