Author Topic: Poll @ nba.com  (Read 1967 times)

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Poll @ nba.com
« on: May 06, 2011, 04:59:12 PM »

Offline albas89

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"Will the Heat sweep the Celtics?"

This is the main poll at NBA.com as we're talking... when I saw it I was like... seriously?? :o

I tell you, I'm one of those who believe that the Heat are gonna win this series because I think right now they're clearly the better team... but a sweep?? I mean, c'mon, they won their home games in an emphatic way, no doubt! but to write the C's off like this is disrespectful for the official site of the NBA, to say the least! how about a more reasonable poll like "Have the Celtics any chance to come back from this 0-2 hole or not?", that would make a lot more sense... I feel that the Celtics are the one team who have earned their right to be respected and never be underestimated like this...  >:(

Let me know your thoughts about it...
"Life has so many hurdles. Some of them I've hopped over, some of them I've tripped over. The key is to get back up and finish the race."- Paul Pierce

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Offline 17wasEZ

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For anyone who understands how odds work, Las Vegas currently has Dallas -280 to win their series against the Lakers while Miami is -650 to beat the Celtics and move on.

Just by going off of these odds, Las Vegas is saying that the Lakers are more than 2 times as likely to comeback and win their series as the Celtics are.

I realize the Lakers and C's are playing different levels of opponents, but those numbers also take into consideration that the Lakers lost two home games and would play 3 of the next 4 on the road while the Celtics lost their games on the road.
We all think we know more than we really do....

Offline csfansince60s

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For anyone who understands how odds work, Las Vegas currently has Dallas -280 to win their series against the Lakers while Miami is -650 to beat the Celtics and move on.

Just by going off of these odds, Las Vegas is saying that the Lakers are more than 2 times as likely to comeback and win their series as the Celtics are.

I realize the Lakers and C's are playing different levels of opponents, but those numbers also take into consideration that the Lakers lost two home games and would play 3 of the next 4 on the road while the Celtics lost their games on the road.


+1...I agree your implication that we have at least as good a shot as the Lakers have at winning their respective series. I therefore agree that the Vegas odds are out of whack.

Vegas odds, however, are based not on what the Vegas line-makers believe to be the probability of a particular event occurring, but rather on what the line-makers believe the public's perceptionof that event occurring appears to be. If too much $$$ is bet in one direction, the line is adjusted by the line-makers the other way to entice more people to bet the other way.

Lines-makers make odds theoretically so that the same amount of money is bet on each team, so in effect, the closer that they can get to gauging the public's perception, the more $$$ they can make on the "vig" and the less chance that they get burned by all the $$ going one way and the "wrong" team loses.

In 2008, the Lakers were 9-11 to win the series. If you bet on the Cs, 5 got you 9 and any multiples thereof (i.e. a $5,000 bet on the Cs won you $9000 and you had to bet $11,000 to win $5,000 if you liked the Lakers.) The Vegas bookmakers and bookmakers in cities other than Boston made a fortune because the Lakers were "overbet".

The public was wrong then, and hopefully they will be wrong this time.

Also, +1 to the OP.

Re: Poll @ nba.com
« Reply #3 on: May 06, 2011, 07:42:29 PM »

Offline PosImpos

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The Celtics will win one of the next two and then the Heat will close it in Game 5.
Never forget the Champs of '08, or the gutsy warriors of '10.

"I know you all wanna win, but you gotta do it TOGETHER!"
- Doc Rivers

Re: Poll @ nba.com
« Reply #4 on: May 06, 2011, 10:30:10 PM »

Offline PseudoElite

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Really asking if the Heat will sweep the Celtics isn't that shocking.

They've won the last 3 consecutive games against the Celtics with huge margins (+30, 8, 10 or so?) and are now 2-0 up. Games weren't even close.

I don't expect a sweep, but the Celtics look old and tired.
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