Noah isn't even THAT good. Chicago is the dumbest team in the league if they won't move a top 10 C for a top 3 SF.
1) Dwight Howard
2) Noah
Before he was hurt, Noah was averaging 15.5 points, 13.6 boards, the best rebound rate in the league, 1.4 blocks, and only 3 fouls over 38 minutes. On top of that he had a true shooting % of 58.7 (which is good for 14th in the league among centers, 9th best among starting centers). And that's only the stat line, that's not factoring in his role as the vocal leader of the Bulls' defense and lockerroom leadership.
He was a terrible matchup on Dwight Howard, and a poor matchup on Shaq because of their size and strength.
Against everyone else though, Noah is one of the best centers in the league.
When healthy I would consider any of these Centers on the same level as Noah if not better:
Howard
Stoudemire
Bogut
Horford
Jefferson
Lopez
Okafor
Yao
Bynum
Kaman
Oden
Duncan (kinda)
Opinions differ but I consider Noah a tad overrated.
Agreed. Noah is a decent center, but not a top one. To me, Melo/Boozer/Rose with Thibs as HC is just too good to pass up. Chicago is just not good enough as currently constructed to get past BOS/MIA/ORL.
Considering that they have Boozer (wide, strong, very good on offense, I think Noah is better for the bulls than Kaman, Bynum, Okafor (close, I like okafor but think noah is better), Big Al, Lopez and stoudemire. Yao is irrelevant; never healthy and these days is atrocious on defense. Lopez has regressed, doesn't defend, and doesn't rebound. think the bulls would have to think about trading Noah for Bogut, but Bogut isn't back to form yet. Most likely they'd have to swap him for Horford (good defender and can play offense). Obviously Howard would be an upgrade.
I don't think they can trade him for Carmelo right now. Here's why:
-Melo is a step below the gamechangers like Lebron and Wade. He's more a Bosh/Boozer/Amare.
-Chicago is leading the league in defense and hasn't had Boozer/Noah together yet. Need to see how they do together as they really should complement each other. With Thibs and the already #1 defense, this is a long term model for serious success.
-This isn't quite a situation of Chicago refusing to trade "potential" for a star. Noah is already legit. He's a super athletic big, plays off the ball, (important component for a contending team; think KG and Ray), is efficient, and is a 14.0/11.7/2.7 player with 1.6 blocks, 1.2 steals. That's pretty valuable for a big guy.
-Following up, Melo might be a little overrated. He rebounds well, but doesn't defend very well. Doesn't shoot threes. He isn't very efficient in his scoring, and he has a high usage rate to get his points. He's still very very good obviously, but just may not be the best fit for Chicago if Chicago is losing Noah and Deng, as Rose-Melo-Boozer is a fairly offense-heavy, not so defensive core.
-For chicago to be successful, they need to contend with Miami, Boston, and Orlando. For Orlando, they need big bodies to throw at Howard. Losing Noah without replacing him hurts there. Noah is just the type of athletic defender that gives boston fits. And Deng is a much better wing defender than Melo, which would be very valuable against Miami, and the Noah/Boozer combo key there for exploiting Miamis lack of size.
-Deng is a very good defender and another guy who plays off the ball with lowish usage. Chicago is very weak at 2 guard. If they lose Deng for Carmelo, they do not really have anyone at the 2/3 willing to play good, effective defense. So the question is, considering that Rose/Boozer are kind of the big/little combo punch on offense, would upgrading from deng to melo on offense be worth it? At the SF spot, Chicago would lose 3 point range, gain a ~33% raise in rebounding and scoring, but lose Deng's defense, and the bump in scoring (33% or so), comes with a ~50% raise in Small Forward Usage rate. Add in the fact that you lose Noah's contribution at C/PF, and I really don't know if, purely basketball wise, Melo is a true upgrade over a combo of Deng/Noah, if Deng gives you 75% of melo's offense with better defense and only 66% as many touches.
-Chicago is set up very well to have a balanced, deep, talented team going forward. Rose has taken a step and is already the leader. Boozer is the oldest key piece at 29; Deng and Noah are 25. So they have a leader/main offensive user, a low-post offensive guy and strong rebounder, a super do it all athletic glue type center/defender/do whatever guy, and a SF defender/range/rebounder/off the ball guy. I don't think they should drop their two defender/do it all at a very high level guys for another offense/touches guy, not when you're banking on Kurt Thomas. Chicago is poised for a solid 5-6 year run here if they play it right. What they really need is an upgrade at shooting guard; someone like aaron afflalo would be awesome there. They have Charlotte's 2012 1st rounder, their own firster, and the moveable contracts of scal, korver, johnson, brewer, watson and the asset of Gibson (filled in very well for Boozer), as well as free agency. I say they should take their time, and use exceptions/minor trade assets to get a strong 2 guard for their starting 5, and this would help them much better than swapping Noah/Deng for Melo then trying to patch SG and C and defense around that.
Potential fits:
Free agents:
JR Smith (range and spacing as a true SG)
Shannon Brown
Azubuike
Jason Richardson
Available via trade?
OJ mayo (scary on chicago)
Corey Brewer (Meh)
Iguodala (Gibson, Korver, Brewer, Pick?)