I don't think Portland is a stupid organization, that's for sure.
...I kinda do. Some people might say they have had bad luck, but I tend to think they took too many risks with injury prone players, and are now in a position where most of their assets have been devalued.
So you think the Celtics are stupid too? Because they would have drafted Oden first that year over Durant and so would countless other teams. And Roy had some injury history but saying they shouldn't have taken him I also seriously question because a lot of teams would of because he was such a great player coming in and for the last few seasons, and it was tough to see this kind of turn coming for him. It's easy to say you did see it coming now.
I'd say they are an unlucky organization. Pritchard was a good GM I thought, we will see about Cho, and Nate McMillan is a very good coach.
Actually, most people in the know (meaning supposed "insiders") are convinced Danny would have taken Durant. I have seen very few reports saying he would have taken Oden, but many saying he favored Durant. But of course, that is all in hindsight, so who knows if its reliable.
As for whether I saw it coming, I didn't see it blowing up like this. But I had a problem with the way they overvalued their young guys, and continuously refused to deal them when their value was high. And now, they have missed their opportunity.
I have heard Oden but either way we can safely say it was a toss up and many preferred Oden simply because you don't see many frachise type Centers come along while scorers, even if not quite Durants quality, are not that uncommon. Either way we could have definitely had Oden and not many were down on him for his injury history.
And I do agree that Portland should have pulled the trigger on a trade to get a veteran for some of their young players, but if these injuries didn't happen they would be in a great situation now, similar to the Thunder, with young players all developing alongside each other. So yeah, maybe they could have traded a couple of their young guys when their value was high but I'm sure they presumed their value would all be higher by now or they would be a great team. Oden would be probably the second best C in the league if healthy and with Roy and the rest alongside him it would be a formidable team.
Sadly, things didn't go that way. I really do feel bad for Portland and think they were unlucky more than anything.