First, best of luck to KCattheStripe, he's been a good GM the whole time, and made the game better by playing it.
That said,
Why Chicago wins over Charlattle:
Gameplan:Defense: The plan has to start with Amare Stoudemire. I played around with the idea of putting either James or Noah on Stoudemire, but eventually I put that by the wayside.
I'm going to let Ersan Ilyasova or Louis Amundson have him, one on one. Ilyasova isn't as strong as Amare, but he's nearly as tall and had a nearly identical wingspan. On top of that I expect him to be able to stay in front of Amare if and when he decides to drive the lane. Ilyasova was 7th overall in charges drawn last year in the NBA, and I wouldn't be surprised if he caught Amare with one or two when the big guy gets cocky. Ilyasova should be good with the faceup game, but he'll lose the war in the post. If Amare starts to get baskets too easily (which I don't anticipate), I've got LeBron and Joakim Noah there as some of the best help defenders around. But, in the immediate sense, I'm letting Ersan and Amundson have this one.
I'm putting one of LeBron or Tony Allen on Rudy Gay, no matter who Charlattle wants to put on LeBron (as in they'll probably have Shane Battier guard LeBron). I'm doing this because Mike Miller should be able to guard Battier pretty simply on defense, while LeBron has proven the ability to dominate Rudy Gay on defense (Rudy Gay averaged 19.6 points per game last year. In the 8 times he's played LeBron he's been held to an average of 16.5 points). I don't anticipate Chris Duhon causing problems for Brandon Jennings, or Emeka Okafor making Joakim Noah sweat too much.
As far as the bench goes, I'm comfortable with letting my guys guard their guys. Tony Allen will be responsible for Rodney Stuckey when he's playing the 2, and if LeBron is out Allen will be guarding Rudy Gay.
If LeBron is out and Charlattle gets all Gay-Stuckey on me, then Mike Miller will have to cover Rudy, which in all honesty doesn't really scare me. In 3 games since Miller was traded to Minnesota (the Washington), Rudy Gay has scored 12 points twice, and 20 points once. Mike Miller can guard Rudy Gay.
Offense:On offense, it will be heavy pick and roll when the starters are in. There are 4 players of my starting 5 that are dangerous from 3pt range, and because of that Joakim Noah will be able to outscore Emeka Okafor. Let me explain...Ilyasova is a role player on offense..he hits 3pt shots, he cuts to the basket and finishes in the lane, and he gets offensive rebounds by flat out hustling. Ilyasova and Miller will spend a lot of time outside the pain, keeping the interior free of everyone aside from Emeka Okafor. Noah will be the one setting the screens, LeBron and Jennings will be the ones penetrating with the dribble, and Stoudemire and Gay will be left with either leaving their men alone so the gifted passer (James or Jennings) can pass them the ball, or Stoudemire and Gay can stay home, to allow Okafor to foul out before the end of the 3rd, because there is no way he can take Pick and rolls alone from James/Jennings and Noah without accumulating some fouls. He's just not that good.
I anticipate Noah getting 15ppg minimum here, and that' not a knock on Okafor. When Noah is scoring those baskets it will be because nobody will be there to help and stop the easy dunk after dunk off the pick and roll. They'll either come to help and give up 3pts from the wings, or they'll stay home and give up 2. Amare is lazy, so he'll stay home. Sorry Ersan.
I have ample shooters waiting, namely Von Wafer and Michael Redd, neither of which will ever be on the floor at the same time, and have Eric Maynor for when Jennings is out to facilitate the offense.
The name of the game will be spacing and shooting.
Basically:
My team is better defensively, and offensively. My team is the better rebounder, and my team was never played by Jean Claude Van Damm in possibly the worst movie ever. I mean, he's got a freaking French accent!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X9hatLT-vl4Come out from behind the curtain wizard!
My team should win.