Now, I don't mean to pick on IP's team but I have already my opinion clear about Lebron's surrounding cast. But what if this is one of those years where the rookie class just lays an egg? It happens 20-25% of the time. What if IP's three rookies are bad and Eric Maynor struggles? This is not completely out of the realm of possibilities. This is not something that has only a minuscule chance of happening. In his case he then basically has no backup for Noah or LeBron. Pretty tough to be considered a contender if your depth is 7 players and only one of them is a star.
Who mentioned that Noah was getting hurt and going down?
No backup for Noah I basically read as "noah might be injured". Sorry if that was the wrong way to take that, as its something you've brought up before.
Who mentioned that Eric Maynor struggled last year?
My entire example was about how tough it is to rely on rookies at all. I don't care if it is just 5 MPG. And I don't care how old Asik is because let's face it, for every Euro that came over at an older age and succeeded in being a contributor right away, there are just as many that came over and didn't.
All I am saying is if you are going to evaluate teams like yours that are relying on rookies and even second year bench players, many of which struggle their second year, then there is a scenario that must be considered which is they will fall flat on their face and be a bigger liability than an asset.
It has to be considered and if that is considered you are leaving Noah and lebron with little to no backups playing over 40 minutes a night. How would that effect them long term and eventually come playoff time? How would that effect the team in games where those players get into foul trouble?
I've said I think your team will be good and will make the playoffs. I just think that given the fact that I think the surrounding parts aren't as strong as the real life Cavs that Chicago will suffer similar and sooner playoff disappointments.
Eric Maynor has given no inclination that he's going to regress. The minutes he played were few and far between, and he conistently made the best of those. I am not really concerned about him not making the best of his minutes here.
I'd like to know the statistics on lets say 4 rookies who came over after an extensive overseas career that were older than 24 as of their first NBA game.
Typically if a player comes over when he is older, he does better. When he comes over while he is very young, he does poorly. I believe you have two players on your own team who would bolster that theory.
Even guys like Juan Carlos Navarro who didn't blow people away, still played easily at a rotation level, and he came over late.
I picked the players I picked because they are players that can fill a role. Asik, is the only one I am relying on for more than 5 minutes a game (and the "I don't care if it is 5 minutes" stuff is kind of ridiculous. I could just as easily erase those 5 minutes completely from my rookies, and my rotation would hardly change), and he's proving in the Fiba championships that he can fill that role. It is not much, in fact it is not 10 minutes a night, but he can play against the other teams' second string center for 8 minutes or so a night in the playoffs.
Also, before you say "the FIBA play doesn't mean anything", I'm not saying that by starting for the undefeated turkey team, he's proving he can start in the NBA. He's not. But, if the most recent accounts are accurate, and he is 7ft, with a 250 lb frame, long reach, and above average athleticism, that combined with his FiBA play leads me to think he can play some minutes at this level.