I have said this over and over and over again. But I would be shocked if Rondo ever developed a consistent jump shot. I just think his time has passed to become good at it.
TP...he's going into yr.#5.My experiences has been either you got 90%of it and develop the other 10%.He never seem to have anywhere near a decent jumper to work with.(IMO)
This isn't the case at all. It's hard to show with the older players, but if you just check out the 3 point stats for many good/great players (or even average players) it's pretty typical for them to show a good jump in their 3 point fg% in their mid-late 20s. It's probably less common for players to *not* improve than for them to improve.
It's less common for players to significantly improve their foul shooting as most of the players were good foul shooters from early on but some of the poorer foul shooters did improve when they were just past Rondo's age/experience level. Again, I didn't check a ton of players and most of them were great players but I'd say (without rechecking) that most of Tony Parker, Gary Payton, Mark Jackson and Rod Strickland improved. Again, most of the players I looked at were good ft shooters from the start, but the poor ft shooters that I happened to come across were more likely to improve than not.
But my point is that Rondo basically had to start over when he got into the NBA. I saw plenty of his games at Kentucky and his jump shot was on the level of Ben Wallace. So indeed, he has ALREADY come a long way.
For most other players, it is about refining and repetition when they get into to the league. For Rondo, it was much more than that.
Well, he had ALREADY come most of that way before his 2nd year in the league. If he's been steady with what improvements he's made and he's coming up on the age where most players improve their outside shooting I see no reason why Rondo can't also improve.
Rondo's a fairly poor outside shooter, but people act like he's one of the worst in the history of the league. That's not really the case. He's on a team with three #1 scorers, one of the league leaders in fg% and he's among the best guards at getting to the hoop. If you look at the scoring options for the Celts you basically have Perk from within 3 feet of the rim, Pierce shooting, Allen shooting, KG shooting, Rondo going in for a layup and Rondo shooting from the outside. Which option would you like to see the Celts take? Is it even close?
Rondo does need to take those outside shots with more authority. That will come with time, and he's already improving in that area. It would also be nice if he hit more of them. But it's not the case that most of the league hits 50% of these shots and Rondo hits 10% of them.
On the hoopdata website, they have a way to look at everyone's shooting percentage at a given distance from the hoop. I filtered it by point guards that play more than 25 minutes a game. It give a list of players and their fg%, and near the top it lists the average for the listed players. I ballparked Rondo's averages over the last 3 years compared to the league average (for mainly starting point guards). I didn't go to the depth of weighting Rondo's averages by the number of attempts in a given year, but it should be fairly close.
At the rim, the average ie about 57%, Rondo's at about 61%. Inside 10 feet (but not at the rim), the average is 44%, and Rondo's at about 44%. From 10-15 feet, the average is 42%, and Rondo's at 42%. From 16-23 feet, the average is about 42% and Rondo's at about 38%. He lags in three pointers, as the average efg% is 55% and Rondo's at about 40%. So IMO it's not the hopeless situation that many people make it out to be.
The truth is you could put quite a few point guards on this team and the shot the other teams would most like the Celts to take is an outside jumper by the point guard.