Right now our bench COULD conceivably be as good as last year's, but that's reliant on two big IFs: Perk being 100% or close by the playoffs and Avery Bradley being as good as Tony Allen.
But even then, we still don't have anyone to guard 3s when Pierce is on the bench.
I think the bigger concern is that we likely need a better bench than last year to contend. I really think that even with Perk out, we would've won game 7 if we had a better wing off the bench. Allen and Pierce were absolutely exhausted by the end of the year from being overplayed. Get someone to reliably give them time off, and I think we win it all this year.
Jon, just wondering, if Pierce and Ray Allen played the least amount of minutes on a per game basis than they ever have in their entire careers last year, at 34 and 35 minutes per game each respectively, were overplayed, then how many minutes per game do they have to be played this year to NOT be considered being overplayed?
33 minutes? 31 minutes? 30 minutes? I really think that if you want a bench good enough to be able to play those guys minutes in that range for a whole year then you are going to need some very high quality backups at the SG and SF positions in order to both be successful enough to win enough games and get the starters rest that you believe they require.And, I'm just not sure we have the resources to find guys of that quality.
Well, you're right, it's a problem given our financial situation.
Here's my problem. In the playoffs, Pierce and Allen played over 38 mpg each. KG played 33 mpg. Thus, over the course of their 24 games, the Ray and Paul played 120 extra minutes, which I think accounts for some of their issues trying to take over the in the second half of the Lakers' series.
Ultimately, I'd like to see them play something closer to the 32-34 mpg mark throughout the season. I see no reason why they can't do that. Wins don't matter that much at this point. In the playoffs, I'd like to see them stick as close to that as possible.
Is it possible? I don't know. I think so. The reason KG was able to average 33 mpg in the playoffs this year compared to his 38 mpg in 2008 is because we had two backup bigs who could play big minutes. To this day, we've still yet to find two reliable wings to backup Pierce and Allen. In '08 it was Posey; last year it was TA.
I think we can obtain someone fairly good with Sheed's deal. If we were to combine that with someone like Rasual Butler or even Marquis Daniels, I think that would likely be enough to eat up what only needs to be about 28-30 mpg. Plus, I also think it helps a lot to have great strength at the other bench spots than in years past. Nate can take over games, which takes pressure off the wings to do that. Plus, if JO eventually goes to the bench, an offense can be run through him.
So yes, it's gonna be tough, but I think it's possible and I think it needs to happen unless we're going to get lucky in a lot of other ways (like Bradly being a stud or JO and KG finding their '08 form).