About 2-3 weeks ago, my expectations for this team to regain their early season form was somewhere around 90%.
Now, those expectations have plummeted to about 10-15%.
Two Reasons
There are two main reasons for that drop.
#1 -- I had said that I would give Garnett 4-6 weeks after returning to the court before becoming worried about his performances. His time is now up and my belief in his ability to regain his early season form is falling by the game. Garnett looked like he was on his way back to being an elite player during the Portland + LA games but he has been unable to sustain that type of form.
#2 -- I think this team has had the stuffing knocked out of them. I think they lack confidence + cohesion + know how in how to win games. I think they're beaten and exhausted. I think they've had too many losses, too many setbacks, too many failures to just snap out of it. I do not think this team can flip a switch and get back to Contender status.
I think the only way they get back there is through short steps in the right direction and by doing so they can rebuild some momentum + belief. Regain their collective understanding of what it takes to win, of what they need from one another to get the job done. It will be a long hard slog and it will take a great deal of effort. Nothing on that road will be handed to them, they'll have to fight for every inch.
As I watch this team collapse against NJ, repeat that performance against Washington and fail again against Memphis and Milwaukee ... I simply do not see this team playing with enough focus + effort, being mentally tough enough, to do what is needed to be done.
I think the team is trying to avoid the harsh realities of their situation. I think they're lying to themselves and what they're capable of. I think those lies are stopping the team from putting forth the type of effort they need to slowly turn around the season. Without that intent, without that drive, without that understanding that their season is on the line ... I just cannot see this team being able to fight through this and rediscover their best form.