So what you are saying basically then is I'm right. You are looking at the 2009 NBA Champs. I wouldn't put money down with your odds on us. I think you are probably about right if not a bit high.
You know exactly what I am saying, and that is that the team we just played is better than anyone else in the league right now and should be the NBA champs. If the entire team was injured in a bus crash then yes I would be wrong. You giving them a 1/3rd chance only if we stop playing like a bunch of pansies and return to our dominant self is saying the same thing.
No, I don't think I'm really agreeing with you. You are declaring them the undisputed champions. I am calling them the favorite to win it. There is a 40% difference between the % chance you give then to win it (100%) and the % chance I give them to win it (60%).
I think the Cavs are the best team, but you really can't declare someone the champ in January. There's too much that could happen, either in the playoffs with an upset or with an injury.
We have similar ideas, but my position is much more moderate.
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Sorry. Now you are just changing your figures. You said they had a 35-40% chance of beating them ONLY if we returned to the level of play that they were earlier in the year, not a 60% chance.
You know exactly what I am saying, and that is that the team we just played is better than anyone else in the league right now and should be the NBA champs. If the entire team was injured in a bus crash then yes I would be wrong. You giving them a 1/3rd chance only if we stop playing like a bunch of pansies and return to our dominant self is saying the same thing.
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I'm NOT changing my figures. I gave the Celtics a 35-40% chance of beating the Cavs. Those are chances for JUST the Celtics winning a 7 game series.
The Chance that I give ANY OTHER TEAM beating the Cavs in a series, plus the possibilty of an injury to Lebron is 40%.
The 60% chance applies to Cavs chances of managing to overcome all potential obstacles and winning the championship.
Celtics vs. Cavs 7 game series -- 35-40% chance for Celtics, 60-65% chance for Cavs
Then separately:
Cavs overcoming everything and winning-- 60% chance.
chance that Cavs fall prey to an inspired team or an injuryinury
You know exactly what I am saying, and that is that the team we just played is better than anyone else in the league right now and should be the NBA champs. If the entire team was injured in a bus crash then yes I would be wrong. You giving them a 1/3rd chance only if we stop playing like a bunch of pansies and return to our dominant self is saying the same thing.This is different from what you said initially. Initiall, you declared them champs. You didn't say that they should be the champs, you said they WOULD be.
You total exagerration of my point regarding an injury to LeBron makes it no less valid. If he gets hurt, they are done. There is always a chance of that happening, so they can't be declared champs with so much time to go before the finals.
Topic: You just saw the 2009 NBA Champions (Read 44984 times)