Author Topic: Who Will the Red Sox Target for 08/09 FA? Who Will They Trade?  (Read 138301 times)

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Who Will the Red Sox Target for 08/09 FA? Who Will They Trade?
« on: October 18, 2008, 03:53:22 PM »

Offline Triboy16

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Once again i would love to somehow make texeira work with us(another question is if he even wants to come to boston after shunning them twice), but like many of you stated we do have youk, lowell and youk is no OF.

At this point with lowell coming back next year healthy the three questions mark in the infield include who will win the CF position (ellsbury has speed but is a mighty streaky hitter, crisp has been solid all year long), will lowrie be the permanent shortstop next year or will they give lugo the nod(since he will cost an arm or leg) and lastly what happens in the catchers position (teks non hitting hampering the team)

With the pitching i really hope the sox don't corner masterson into a setup role because he is a legit starter. Papelbon was suppose to be a starter but has been pretty much cornered into being a closer and done great.

If we do pickup wakefields option for unpresidented 7+ times, i think we could utilize him to be a reliever compared to him starting.


IMO my 2009 redsox lineup and batting order

cf - Ellsbury
2b - pedroia
dh - ortiz
1b - you
lf - drew
3b - lowell
rf - bay
ss - lowrie
C - Dusty Brown

starters

1. Beckett
2. Lester
3. Dice K
4. and 5. Masterson, bucholz or FA

Relieve core

Declareman
Wakefield
Okajimah
Masterson/FA
Paperlbon
FA (lefty)
FA


Players we will let go or should tek. Players i wouldn't mind resigning is sean casey.
Not really sure who are some good FA players we could pickup this year(seems like a weak class) but as for trading i would definitely try to trade lugo + prospects for starting pitching.(if somehow we got peavy that would be awsome)


« Last Edit: January 03, 2009, 03:54:41 PM by Redz »

Re: who will the redsox target for 08/09 FA, who will they trade
« Reply #1 on: October 18, 2008, 03:59:58 PM »

Offline libermaniac

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I think the Sox should focus on a long-term answer at catcher.  But, I think we should keep Tek around to play about 1/2 the games and mentor the new guy, etc..  Perhaps we should trade Buchholz to Texas for Saltamacchia (sp?).

Then, I think the best thing to do would be convert Masterson to the 4th starter and sign a few setup relievers via FA.  Also, we need an inexpensive 5th starter.

Our 5th starter could be Wakefield, Bowden, FA.

That's about it.

Re: who will the redsox target for 08/09 FA, who will they trade
« Reply #2 on: October 18, 2008, 04:45:35 PM »

Offline Triboy16

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Liber what do you think about CF and SS situation??

The catching situation is tough because no matter how badly tek has batted he will still want one last long contract with pretty good dollars. A low end team taht needs more than anything pitching to develop could easily pay tek 5 to 7 million a year for 3 years for example.

I don't see redsox offering more than 2 years at about 4 million per year as part time starter and backup. not sure if he will bite to that (tek is one of those guys with alot of stubborness and pride)

Dusty brown hit 290, over 359 obp, 20 homers and is supposedly a very good defensive catcher. It was his best offensive season in the minors and i would like to give him a try

Re: who will the redsox target for 08/09 FA, who will they trade
« Reply #3 on: October 18, 2008, 05:03:39 PM »

Offline nickagneta

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If we were to put a package together that included 2 or 3 of the following I wonder if we could pry a power hitting outfielder away from a team or a Justin Morneau away from Minnesota:

Bay
Coco
Delcarmen
Buchholz

I think we will once again pay someone to take a failed SS free agent, Lugo, off our hands. And I wouldn't be surprised to see the Sox go after Matt Holliday. I hold out hope that they go after Sabathia for real but think they will only show interest to drive up the price for another team or to block his coming to the AL East.

With Masterson's maturation a Bay/Buchholz for Holliday would make sense to me though I am not crazy about his away from Coors Filed production. The only other way they add offense is at the catcher(Morneau??, I know, just dreaming, highly unlikely) and shortstop. So if a power hitting player isn't attained at either LF, SS, or C look for a major run at Sabathia and pitching.

Re: who will the redsox target for 08/09 FA, who will they trade
« Reply #4 on: October 18, 2008, 05:21:07 PM »

Offline gpap

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I would go one of two directions..regardless of what happens during the postseason. I would either...DEFINITELY go after Mark Texeira.

Texeira would be the perfect bat that we would need to boost our offense.
Then I would put together a package for an ace pitcher (Peavy or Oswalt.)
That package could revolve around Lowell, Crisp and Bucholtz or Masterson.

I know Lowell has done alot for Boston in the 3 years he's been here. BUT, I can't help but wonder if Lowell's hip injury will affect him the rest of his career. At least if you deal him now, he still has significant trade value. Ditto with Coco (though he's been red hot for us this posteason.) Then you play Texeira at first, bat him either 3rd of 4th in the lineup and move Youk over to the 3rd.

OR....the Sox land a free agent starter (Burnett, Sabbathia, Sheets, Garland or Lowe) and package the same players for a big bat possibly on the trading block (Holliday, Howard, etc.)

Also, I would definitely look into acquiring a catcher like Saltalamacchia. He would be a great pick up for years to come.

Re: who will the redsox target for 08/09 FA, who will they trade
« Reply #5 on: October 18, 2008, 05:23:54 PM »

Offline Nerf DPOY

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I'm with you(triboy) on Dusty Brown. He's really evolved as a hitter in the Sox org (look at his craptastic '06-05 numbers with Portland and Wilmington), and will be turning 27 next year. I'd like to see the Sox try and resign Tek for 1-2 years and bring up Brown as the backup/successor until a better option comes along.

Sabathia is the big fish this offseason. Of all the FA's, he's the one I'd like to see signed the most, but I doubt it'll happen. Word is he wants to go out West, but I'm guessing ultimately that the Yankees will make him an offer he can't refuse.

I really disagree on moving Masterson back into the rotation. IMO, he really doesn't make enough of an impact on the rotation to make it worth taking him out of the pen. These playoffs are the exception, where he'd arguably be our third starter; but with Beckett hopefully coming back strong in '09 and the re-emergence of Buchholz, I don't see Masterson really being needed in the rotation. As a reliever he's arguably our #2 guy (depending on how you feel about Oki and MDC heading into next season). He really only has two pitches, and facing an entire lineup a few times around he tends to get exposed. That could change as he's only 23, but I just see him being more valuable in the pen going forward.

On Teixeira, not only is there the Youk/Lowell cluster to consider, but Lars Anderson is not too far off from being a fixture in the 'Sox lineup. It may take until 2010, but the 'Sox haven't been afraid to "take a step back" for a year to benefit the team long term.
« Last Edit: October 20, 2008, 01:02:26 AM by Nerf DPOY »

Re: who will the redsox target for 08/09 FA, who will they trade
« Reply #6 on: October 18, 2008, 05:40:01 PM »

Offline yall hate

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I would go one of two directions..regardless of what happens during the postseason. I would either...DEFINITELY go after Mark Texeira.

Texeira would be the perfect bat that we would need to boost our offense.
Then I would put together a package for an ace pitcher (Peavy or Oswalt.)
That package could revolve around Lowell, Crisp and Bucholtz or Masterson.



Houston wont trade Oswalt.  they already stated that.  Peavy is going to go for a young MLB ready CF, and at least two pitching prospects (they have already basically said that is the package necessary).  You would likely have to do Ellsbury, Buch, and Bowden (they dont want Lowell, they are a mid market team who isnt going to pay 9 mill a year for an older/injured player).  I am not sure that is worthwhile.  Additionally, you likely have to give him an extension to get him to come to Boston, since he already stated he would prefer to only play for an NL contender, not an AL team.


As for what they will do, I hope they keep Kotsay.  I think he is a very good 4th OF/backup 1B. 

I think they will get rid of Lugo.  Not sure how, or if they are going to pay the entire amount, but I dont think he will be here.  I also think they will trade Coco.  he doesnt like being a part time starter and unless they trade Ellsbury(which I doubt) Crisp will be gone. 

I think we will see atleast another year of Tek at C.  people have mentioned Salty.  I think he would be a bad idea.  too expensive prospect wise, and he wasnt even that good.  potential is there, but thats about it.

Re: who will the redsox target for 08/09 FA, who will they trade
« Reply #7 on: October 19, 2008, 11:17:08 PM »

Offline Chris

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It will be a very interesting winter.  I agree with a lot of you that the Sox need to try to address the Catcher issue.  I personally think they will try to bring back Varitek (something like 2 years, $18 million...I know it seems like a lot, but catchers come at a MAJOR premium right now), but they need to find a backup who they can both groom for the future, but who can give Tek more time off right away.  As most of you have realized there really isn't much out there on the FA market (Josh Bard could be interesting to bring back though...), so they likely will be looking at trades.  I don't have a good enough handle on the young Catchers around the league, but I do know Texas supposedly has several of them, and they would be a likely trade partner (although not for Saltalamacchia, who is a pretty terrible defensive catcher).

After the Catcher position, it gets a little tougher.  I agree that they will likely try to find a team to take on a (paid for) Lugo.  If they can get a B prospect for him, they will likely be happy.  I don't see them getting rid of Lowry though, unless they need to include him in a bigger trade (which is not out of the question).  There just don't seem to be any major upgrades that are available at the moment.

I think the outfield is pretty set.  I see that some of you want to get Holliday, but I don't think he is any better than Bay.  Considering the fact that we already know that Bay can play well in Boston, I think it makes much more sense to keep him.  The only kind of guy I would get rid of him for would be someone like Pujols or Cabrera (and Holliday is not that kind of hitter). 

Crisp is certainly tradable, but I think it will be the same as it was last year...you need to wait for the right price, because he can be incredibly valuable to your team.  I think they will start any trade proposal with him, but will not trade him just to trade him.

The pitching staff I think is pretty close to set.  I expect them to flirt with some of the big names, but at most I expect them to bring in a solid 4-5 starter (bringing back Byrd is not a bad option at all).  I think that they also will have an open competition between Bucholtz, Bowden, and Masterson to be in the rotation in the spring and early season.  I expect Masterson to eventually be moved to the bullpen though, because of his effectiveness there, and his lack of a 3rd pitch.

And finally, I think they really need to try to bring in another back of the bullpen arm.  They need one more guy back there to solidify things.

Re: who will the redsox target for 08/09 FA, who will they trade
« Reply #8 on: October 20, 2008, 12:26:31 AM »

Offline xmuscularghandix

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It will be a very interesting winter.  I agree with a lot of you that the Sox need to try to address the Catcher issue.  I personally think they will try to bring back Varitek (something like 2 years, $18 million...I know it seems like a lot, but catchers come at a MAJOR premium right now), but they need to find a backup who they can both groom for the future, but who can give Tek more time off right away.  As most of you have realized there really isn't much out there on the FA market (Josh Bard could be interesting to bring back though...), so they likely will be looking at trades.  I don't have a good enough handle on the young Catchers around the league, but I do know Texas supposedly has several of them, and they would be a likely trade partner (although not for Saltalamacchia, who is a pretty terrible defensive catcher).

After the Catcher position, it gets a little tougher.  I agree that they will likely try to find a team to take on a (paid for) Lugo.  If they can get a B prospect for him, they will likely be happy.  I don't see them getting rid of Lowry though, unless they need to include him in a bigger trade (which is not out of the question).  There just don't seem to be any major upgrades that are available at the moment.

I think the outfield is pretty set.  I see that some of you want to get Holliday, but I don't think he is any better than Bay.  Considering the fact that we already know that Bay can play well in Boston, I think it makes much more sense to keep him.  The only kind of guy I would get rid of him for would be someone like Pujols or Cabrera (and Holliday is not that kind of hitter). 

Crisp is certainly tradable, but I think it will be the same as it was last year...you need to wait for the right price, because he can be incredibly valuable to your team.  I think they will start any trade proposal with him, but will not trade him just to trade him.

The pitching staff I think is pretty close to set.  I expect them to flirt with some of the big names, but at most I expect them to bring in a solid 4-5 starter (bringing back Byrd is not a bad option at all).  I think that they also will have an open competition between Bucholtz, Bowden, and Masterson to be in the rotation in the spring and early season.  I expect Masterson to eventually be moved to the bullpen though, because of his effectiveness there, and his lack of a 3rd pitch.

And finally, I think they really need to try to bring in another back of the bullpen arm.  They need one more guy back there to solidify things.


agree 90%, i think that they should look for more relief so that they can put masterson back on his path to being the 4th starter. thats one hell of a rotation with him in there.

also im super excited about the amount of money we have to throw around. manny is off the books, schilling off the books, and edgar rentaria will be off the books. thats over 30 mil. right there to jump into the free agent market with.

there are also a few quality starters in FA if you wanna keep masterson in the bullpen. wouldn't mind D-Lo coming back after his successful season with the dodgers. thats a nasty starting 4.

Re: who will the redsox target for 08/09 FA, who will they trade
« Reply #9 on: October 20, 2008, 12:33:05 AM »

Offline Chris

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It will be a very interesting winter.  I agree with a lot of you that the Sox need to try to address the Catcher issue.  I personally think they will try to bring back Varitek (something like 2 years, $18 million...I know it seems like a lot, but catchers come at a MAJOR premium right now), but they need to find a backup who they can both groom for the future, but who can give Tek more time off right away.  As most of you have realized there really isn't much out there on the FA market (Josh Bard could be interesting to bring back though...), so they likely will be looking at trades.  I don't have a good enough handle on the young Catchers around the league, but I do know Texas supposedly has several of them, and they would be a likely trade partner (although not for Saltalamacchia, who is a pretty terrible defensive catcher).

After the Catcher position, it gets a little tougher.  I agree that they will likely try to find a team to take on a (paid for) Lugo.  If they can get a B prospect for him, they will likely be happy.  I don't see them getting rid of Lowry though, unless they need to include him in a bigger trade (which is not out of the question).  There just don't seem to be any major upgrades that are available at the moment.

I think the outfield is pretty set.  I see that some of you want to get Holliday, but I don't think he is any better than Bay.  Considering the fact that we already know that Bay can play well in Boston, I think it makes much more sense to keep him.  The only kind of guy I would get rid of him for would be someone like Pujols or Cabrera (and Holliday is not that kind of hitter). 

Crisp is certainly tradable, but I think it will be the same as it was last year...you need to wait for the right price, because he can be incredibly valuable to your team.  I think they will start any trade proposal with him, but will not trade him just to trade him.

The pitching staff I think is pretty close to set.  I expect them to flirt with some of the big names, but at most I expect them to bring in a solid 4-5 starter (bringing back Byrd is not a bad option at all).  I think that they also will have an open competition between Bucholtz, Bowden, and Masterson to be in the rotation in the spring and early season.  I expect Masterson to eventually be moved to the bullpen though, because of his effectiveness there, and his lack of a 3rd pitch.

And finally, I think they really need to try to bring in another back of the bullpen arm.  They need one more guy back there to solidify things.


agree 90%, i think that they should look for more relief so that they can put masterson back on his path to being the 4th starter. thats one hell of a rotation with him in there.

also im super excited about the amount of money we have to throw around. manny is off the books, schilling off the books, and edgar rentaria will be off the books. thats over 30 mil. right there to jump into the free agent market with.

there are also a few quality starters in FA if you wanna keep masterson in the bullpen. wouldn't mind D-Lo coming back after his successful season with the dodgers. thats a nasty starting 4.

I just am not convinced that Masterson is more than a 4th or 5th quality starter unless he is able to get a third pitch to be able to consistently get lefty's out.  When you contrast that with the fact that he could be one of the best set up men in the league next year, and both Bowden and Bucholtz have the potential to be top of the rotation starters if they are mentally ready, and I just have a feeling that is the direction the team will go.

Re: who will the redsox target for 08/09 FA, who will they trade
« Reply #10 on: October 20, 2008, 01:55:37 AM »

Offline vjcsmoke

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I think catcher is a huge need for the Red Sox.
It's all going to start from there.
Don't give Veritek big bucks.
He either accepts a lower/min vet salary or it's adios.

Young guys I would target Taylor Teagarden of Texas.  Had an auspicious major league debut with 6 HRs in his first 12 games.  He's also logjammed by guys like Salty, etc. in the Texas system.  If we could get this guy for Coco and a B prospect, it would be a steal.  Does Texas need a CF?  I think they're more interested in pitching in return.

http://www.baseball-reference.com/t/teagata01.shtml

Other guy that is a really good C prospect is Matt Wieters.
However he may be 1 or 2 years away.
But his hitting has been off the charts in the minors.  Looks like Joe Mauer with power.

http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=$11741&position=C

Oh don't forget that the Sox also have a guy named Kottaras waiting in the wings.  He hit 22 HRs in Pawtucket but still needs to work on his defense and his ball contact.

Re: who will the redsox target for 08/09 FA, who will they trade
« Reply #11 on: October 20, 2008, 02:36:53 AM »

Offline rmcc4444

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I think the Sox should focus on a long-term answer at catcher.  But, I think we should keep Tek around to play about 1/2 the games and mentor the new guy, etc..  Perhaps we should trade Buchholz to Texas for Saltamacchia (sp?).


right team, wrong player.  go after teagarden, or even ramirez.  both are superior to salty.  if there's one thing we've learned it's how important a "real" catcher is to a pitching staff.

Re: who will the redsox target for 08/09 FA, who will they trade
« Reply #12 on: October 20, 2008, 02:38:23 AM »

Offline rmcc4444

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I would go one of two directions..regardless of what happens during the postseason. I would either...DEFINITELY go after Mark Texeira.


why?  youk is much cheaper and puts up similar stats.  lowell is still under contract.

Re: who will the redsox target for 08/09 FA, who will they trade
« Reply #13 on: October 20, 2008, 07:02:50 AM »

Offline Triboy16

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"I agree with a lot of you that the Sox need to try to address the Catcher issue.  I personally think they will try to bring back Varitek (something like 2 years, $18 million"

I know they are in premium right now but 9 million for a guy who can't hit?? Mauer deserves 9 million and more not tek.

I would give tek 2 year 10 million dollar deal (his previous deal 4 year 40 million dollars so we can say that , that was 10 mill per year 6 for catching and 4 for hitting) but if we resign him he will be pretty much good for the catching and thats it.


I really think a guy like dusty brown could be good. He is young, hit 290 with 20 dingers last year season for triple a and is considered a strong defensive catcher. (at least groom him into a starting role)

some notes

-Tampa bay pretty much got the better deal of the garza and young trade. Garza reminds me of josh beckett of last year. He has electric fastball and a nasty breaking ball plus control. (i wonder how he went 11-9 in the regular season. Alot of peavy rumors out now but i don't think its a good idea with the tyope of money he is owed,he is coming back from previous injury and the type of potential we would have to give up.


-Here are the players the redsox could trade, lugo(i hope so), bay, bowden, bucholz, ellsbury. If you package lugo and  ellsbury for example there is no doubt in my mind we could get all star pitching talent back. Same goes for bay, bucholz, bowden we could get a premium pitcher and outfielder. Sox need more power (homers and rbi) and a legit 4th starter since wake and byrd won't resign.



Re: who will the redsox target for 08/09 FA, who will they trade
« Reply #14 on: October 20, 2008, 08:48:57 AM »

Offline crownsy

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Quote
I would give tek 2 year 10 million dollar deal (his previous deal 4 year 40 million dollars so we can say that , that was 10 mill per year 6 for catching and 4 for hitting) but if we resign him he will be pretty much good for the catching and thats it.

he's not going to sign that, thats a no secruity contract thats a 3 million dollar pay cut per year. No way a boras client signs that (not that i disagree that 5 mill a year is a good number, its just not going to happen.)

also, i dont know about wake not resiging. he's on a year to year team option. if he wants to pitch, i can't see them turning it down, its only like 2.5 a year.
« Last Edit: October 20, 2008, 09:01:54 AM by crownsy »
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