Charlie Rosen has an article up over at Fox Sports regarding the Celtics' repeat chances. In summary, he thinks the team has an uphill struggle, because of the loss of Posey and the aging of the "big three". He's not overly impressed by the other Celts' roster moves, either:
Given all of the possible pitfalls [that effect most teams attempting to repeat], Danny Ainge's offseason moves have been seriously inept.
Even when Darius Miles was at the top of his game, his defense was pitiful, his jumper was shaky, his game was marshmallow-soft and he was a total jerk.
The signing of Patrick O'Bryant to back up Kendrick Perkins provides little more than a sizeable warm body.
Unless Gabe Pruitt's game undergoes a stupendous improvement, or rookie J.R. Giddens turns out to be a prodigious talent — and considering that both Tony Allen and Eddie House are really 2-guards — the Celtics have no serviceable backup at the point.
None of the above is meant to predict an empty season for the Celtics. Rather, the intent is to roll out the reasons why a repeat is fraught with peril. After all, they're still the champs until somebody beats them.
Or, as is more likely, they beat themselves.
Link.
While my instinct is to rally around the team and defend it from outside critics, I think the bulk of Rosen's reasoning is correct: Danny made things more difficult for the team in the short term. It's more complicated than that, but at its root, that's how I see this off-season. I don't necessarily agree that things are as doomed as Rosen seems to imply, but I do agree that this was far from an ideal off-season.
In what way did Danny "make things more difficult for the team in the short run?" Because he didn't overpay for Posey? I find it humorous to even characterize things this way about the man who brought #17 and has the success of the franchise, not just down the road, but this year too, as his paramount concern. I am willing to give his plan the benefit of the doubt vs some armchair observer who has nothing at stake.
This team, the defending champs, returns all 5 starters and 4 players off the bench who were in the rotation at one point or another last year. 5 of those 9 players are 25 or under and expecting an improvement in their play, based not only on age but experience gained, is reasonable. The chemistry of the Big 3, which took time last year, even though the results were so good even early, will be more seamless right from the beginning this year. Not to mention the potential of getting at least something from at least 1 of the 4 new players.
The Celtics are positioned as well as any team in the league heading into the season to win the title. Whether they do or not is dependent on many factors, not just moves they did or didn't make on paper. Even if they did everything right in the pundits' eyes in the offseason, that alone does not guarantee a repeat. As bucknersrevenge said, repeating is a hard thing no matter what. Just ask San Antonio during their run of 4 in 9 they claimed was a dynasty (which I think is absurd, since what other dynasty lost more years during their dynastic run than they won?), they never managed to repeat, but consistently came back the next year after falling short to go all the way yet again. In those losing years, did they simply make all the wrong personnel moves in the offseason as to why they couldn't win the title?
Whether the Celtics repeat or not will not be decided solely by having the best roster on paper in the league. While the roster as constituted does not sit well with some, the reality is that it has as good a chance as anyone else in the league right now, and whatever pieces may appear to be missing as the season progresses, will be addressed at that time. Rightly so, as trying to address perceived needs now could end up being a miscalculation of what the final ingredient is that is needed to get over the top. Anybody else available this summer was not going to obviously answer any glaring weakness better than who Danny can get midseason when real needs are revealed, not just perceived ones.