Lakers looks horrible & I?m glad!!! Be lucky to be in play in game
Yeah, I am expecting them in the play-in as well.
Western ConferenceTop Teams - OKC, SAS, DEN, HOU
I think they will be the top 4 seeds.
Minnesota I have down as a "maybe top 6" because they are reliant on LaMelo Ball who is often injured. If he is healthy, they should be a top 6 seed. If he is hurt, they will drop to the play-in or perhaps out of the playoffs altogether.
Golden State is another volatile team record wise depending on injuries with their health. Relying on Porzingis. The old age of Steph, Draymond, Jimmy. They could be a top seed, middle seed, low seed, maybe even miss the play-in altogether. Similar to Minnesota. More likely a play-in team than a top 6 team due to age / injuries.
The Lakers actually look like the 5th most reliable team in the West ahead of Minnesota and GSW. So a good chance they could snare that 5th or 6th seed and avoid the play-in.
That is 7 teams.
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Utah is a danger team. Lot of talent there. Young team though - especially their bench; their bench could hurt them. I view Utah more as a play-in team. However, they could surprise. Lotta talent.
I thought Portland messed up their team by adding Morant. I would have had them as a top 6 seed without that trade. They still might make it. Or maybe a play-in team. I like Avdija, Camara, Clingan, Jrue. Shaedon Sharpe. Timelord is an injury risk. Finding a way to fit Lillard in after acquiring Morant will be a problem for them. They have Scoot too. So that backcourt will likely create a mess that sees them underperform as a result. I'd like their team better if they just waived Lillard and moved forward with Morant / Scoot and Jrue / S Sharpe in the backcourt. That would be a top 6 team. Anyway, I am thinking underperforming side that goes into the play-in instead.
Phoenix did well to make the play-in last year. They have a decent shot to repeat the feat.
That is 10 teams.
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I haven't mentioned Dallas or Memphis.
Mmm ... I am a doubter on Memphis. I thought they could be a sneaky play-in team if they had of kept Morant (and Aldama) and if Morant had a good year. Without Morant, I am a doubter. I am going to place them outside the play-in.
Dallas definitely have a shot at the play-in. Another year older for Cooper Flagg - his game will probably take a big jump forward. Kyrie is back from injury. D Lively is back from injury. They added Aldama to their bench. They have a strong top 10. I trust them more than Phoenix (to make the play-in). Probably more than Utah as well.
That gives us 11 teams in the West with playoff hopes.
I do not expect the LA Clippers, Sacramento or New Orleans to be in the hunt for a playoff spot. Or Memphis as noted above. So those are 4 of the 5 times outside the play-in.