Author Topic: The Beginning of a Dynasty?  (Read 23380 times)

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Re: The Beginning of a Dynasty?
« Reply #90 on: June 23, 2024, 09:39:22 PM »

Offline ozgod

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Phantom, I do not consider Dallas a threat to Boston.  :)
I do agree about healthy Knicks and Pacers in the East.

If Dallas isn?t a threat, neither are the Knicks or Pacers.

Everyone's looking for some top 5 guy to "take them to the top". We were able to build a superteam because we developed our draft picks, and traded for guys that then overperformed their contracts, like Derrick, Al or were undervalued due to being damaged goods (KP) and it was really only Jrue that cost us close to a max but you can't say he was a top 5 or even top 15 guy in the league. In two years this roster is going to force some really tough decisions from Brad but right now and maybe next year we're fortunate because we didn't blow the bank on one guy that is costing a fortune. But at the start of 2025-26 I can see some guys getting moved, while their contracts are still fungible and there's still demand for them in the league.

Right now, if Brad wanted to, he could probably move every single one of our guys for a good return, there would be strong demand for any of them. Even Jrue with his extension, after his performance in these finals, there's teams that would be throwing assets at Brad to take him. Same with Jaylen and his $300m contract and those were the two guys I worried about the most when their contracts were extended. The trick is knowing when to pull the trigger, while the expected returns are still high.

I?d say the Celtics do have that top 5 player, though. Tatum has been an All-NBA First Team selection 3 years on a row.

Agreed. I do not understand all this talk that BOS do not have a top 5 player. Tatum is a top 5 player.

Just to clarify, I wasn?t suggesting that we didn?t have one ? we developed our top five player (and other top 15 player) from their rookie seasons so they were cost controlled for large parts of their tenure with us. So instead of swinging for the fences and trying to bring a Kawhi or an AD into our team. Brad was able to find undervalued guys like White as well as guys that didn't have a lot of demand for them due to injury or other concerns like KP and bring them in on relatively inexpensive (compared to their value) contracts. Probably the only guy we brought in that was close to a max (at the time he signed his contract) was Jrue. Other teams are trying to shortcut by chasing an already developed top five player who they currently don?t have Bird rights to and that limits who else they can trade for.

It?s really hard to hit on a player like Tatum (or JB for that matter) in the draft, so teams try to acquire the talent through trades. What Danny did, hitting on cornerstone pieces on back to back drafts is incredibly difficult.

Feel like it has less to do with development and more to do with drafting well. I think JT and JB would have been All-Star players regardless of which team drafted them.

Yes my point (which I don't think I explained very well) is that the stars have to align both financially and in terms of where in their life cycle you get the players: 1) you have to be able to have cost controlled players either through drafting well (an inexact science); or 2) by finding hidden gems that are likely to outperform their contracts; and 3) at least one of those players needs to develop into a top 5 player that can be the critical mass for the team. If most of the players found in 1) and 2) end up becoming really good, and you don't have to pay through the nose for them until after they have become really good, then you have a great chance at setting up a dynasty. Because if you try and star-chase and build your super team by signing max players or signing them in free agency, they're already taking up a big part of your cap and you won't have any depth.

If you look at the Dubs their dynasty was built similarly - they drafted Steph and Klay, then Draymond, they were cost controlled in their early years (during their first championship Steph was paid 16% of the cap, Klay 4% and Draymond 1.5%). Their highest paid guys were Lee, Bogut and Iggy. Then when time came for them to be maxed out GS could do it because they held their Bird rights, so they could look to sign a max guy in KD and still pay their existing guys.

We were fortunate in that the stars aligned for us in that Brooklyn trade, where they ended up being really bad really quickly, so the first round picks we got from them ended up in the top 5 rather than in the 20s, and we hit the right players (though at the time few people thought Brown was the right player). And Danny made the right signings in a) Brad for coach, because he was able to create a team of hard workers that synthesized together outperformed its individual parts, and then he brought in IT and managed to lure Al here. So we ended up picking in the top 3 2 years in a row when we were already making deep playoff runs, and the players we drafted didn't have to carry the team the way Cade or Zion had to do for the Pels, there were quality players around them.

These other teams that are star-chasing, trying to sign max guys, like Phoenix did with Beal and KD, sure they can still be successful but because the development of their team isn't organic, they're buying at the top of the market for established guys that already cost a fortune. It doesn't leave much to find even the Derrick White type guys that are in the mid $15-20m range, let alone be able to get a guy like Jrue who was on $40m, because they've already spent their cap to bring in max guys.
Any odd typos are because I suck at typing on an iPhone :D


Re: The Beginning of a Dynasty?
« Reply #91 on: June 25, 2024, 10:33:13 PM »

Offline Phantom255x

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We'll see what happens in FA. But realistically what East team(s) do you think will be our biggest threat? Because I got to be honest... I don't see many. To me the two that stick out are a healthy Knicks and Pacers. I wouldn't be surprised if 1 (or even both) of the Bucks/Heat slip, and then we'll see what the Sixers do in the offseason but is Embiid also gonna stay healthy? Orlando as well is interesting, but that's assuming they are successful in adding 1 or 2 impactful FA's.

I think our biggest threats will come from the West, particularly DEN/OKC/MIN/DAL.

Our path this year was certainly easy but again, part of that was because guys got hurt AND some of those teams like Cleveland and even Dallas were very centered on 1 or 2 players. C's meanwhile are loaded and even their 4th/5th starters would be #2s or #3 on other teams.

And boom. Knicks trade for Bridges. NY will probably still keep 2 of Randle, Hartenstein and Anunoby. Wonder if the Pacers can find a way to add a 3rd star or impact player as well.

Miami to me is slipping and there is no guarantee Butler even returns to them. Philly needs a George or Butler addition for me to take them seriously. Not sure how MIL can realistically improve.
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Re: The Beginning of a Dynasty?
« Reply #92 on: June 25, 2024, 11:30:50 PM »

Offline radiohead

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Another thing to watch for is who the Lakers will try to get? They?re in the market for a third star too right?

Re: The Beginning of a Dynasty?
« Reply #93 on: June 25, 2024, 11:37:53 PM »

Offline BringToughnessBack

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We'll see what happens in FA. But realistically what East team(s) do you think will be our biggest threat? Because I got to be honest... I don't see many. To me the two that stick out are a healthy Knicks and Pacers. I wouldn't be surprised if 1 (or even both) of the Bucks/Heat slip, and then we'll see what the Sixers do in the offseason but is Embiid also gonna stay healthy? Orlando as well is interesting, but that's assuming they are successful in adding 1 or 2 impactful FA's.

I think our biggest threats will come from the West, particularly DEN/OKC/MIN/DAL.

Our path this year was certainly easy but again, part of that was because guys got hurt AND some of those teams like Cleveland and even Dallas were very centered on 1 or 2 players. C's meanwhile are loaded and even their 4th/5th starters would be #2s or #3 on other teams.

And boom. Knicks trade for Bridges. NY will probably still keep 2 of Randle, Hartenstein and Anunoby. Wonder if the Pacers can find a way to add a 3rd star or impact player as well.

Miami to me is slipping and there is no guarantee Butler even returns to them. Philly needs a George or Butler addition for me to take them seriously. Not sure how MIL can realistically improve.

Worst trade since we fleeced Nets? 4 unprotected first, a protected first and a swap?! LOL

Re: The Beginning of a Dynasty?
« Reply #94 on: June 26, 2024, 07:19:05 AM »

Offline michigan adam

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Pretty steep for a fringe allstar type player.  At least he is a decent 2 way player...so his value is more than his "stats".  I wish C's could get Nic Claxton as the 3rd big...

Re: The Beginning of a Dynasty?
« Reply #95 on: June 30, 2024, 10:19:04 AM »

Online Goldstar88

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Another thing to watch for is who the Lakers will try to get? They?re in the market for a third star too right?

Maybe Trae young? They aren?t star players, but going after Brogdon and Jerami Grant would make sense.
Quoting Nick from the now locked Ime thread:
Quote
At some point you have to blame the performance on the court on the players on the court. Every loss is not the coach's fault and every win isn't because of the players.

Re: The Beginning of a Dynasty?
« Reply #96 on: June 30, 2024, 10:33:42 AM »

Offline cman88

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Another thing to watch for is who the Lakers will try to get? They?re in the market for a third star too right?

Maybe Trae young? They aren?t star players, but going after Brogdon and Jerami Grant would make sense.

I hear names like Klay Thompson but he?s an overpaid role player at this point living off his past name.

It?s like the nets getting over the hill pierce/garnett

Re: The Beginning of a Dynasty?
« Reply #97 on: June 30, 2024, 07:54:46 PM »

Offline flybono

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Re: The Beginning of a Dynasty?
« Reply #98 on: June 30, 2024, 11:23:35 PM »

Online Goldstar88

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Jokic is great, but after that the C?s roster blows the Nuggets out of the water. Nikola can only do so much, we saw that in the playoffs this year. Same goes for Luka.
Quoting Nick from the now locked Ime thread:
Quote
At some point you have to blame the performance on the court on the players on the court. Every loss is not the coach's fault and every win isn't because of the players.

Re: The Beginning of a Dynasty?
« Reply #99 on: June 30, 2024, 11:38:59 PM »

Offline SparzWizard

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The Wolves might be the next team that will give us problems.

But first, gotta past the east. Knicks getting better and 76ers improving with PG once he signs there


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Re: The Beginning of a Dynasty?
« Reply #100 on: July 01, 2024, 12:45:57 AM »

Offline GreenEnvy

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Ridiculous comparison.

Celtics have been to what, 6 of the last 8 Conference Finals? They were a sprained ankle away from 3 straight Finals appearances (and maybe B2B titles).
CELTICS 2024

Re: The Beginning of a Dynasty?
« Reply #101 on: July 01, 2024, 09:56:17 AM »

Offline scaryjerry

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Ridiculous comparison.

Celtics have been to what, 6 of the last 8 Conference Finals? They were a sprained ankle away from 3 straight Finals appearances (and maybe B2B titles).


Why are you giving the Celtics credit for ?maybe b2b titles? because of a sprained ankle? They should?ve never been down 3-0 to the Heat and weren?t beating Denver that year, also every team we played in the east this year had significant injuries and I?m sure you don?t care, just like no one else cares about tatums sprained ankle?..he also played 42 minutes in that game btw.

Re: The Beginning of a Dynasty?
« Reply #102 on: July 01, 2024, 10:00:31 AM »

Offline Celtics2021

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Ridiculous comparison.

Celtics have been to what, 6 of the last 8 Conference Finals? They were a sprained ankle away from 3 straight Finals appearances (and maybe B2B titles).


Why are you giving the Celtics credit for ?maybe b2b titles? because of a sprained ankle? They should?ve never been down 3-0 to the Heat and weren?t beating Denver that year, also every team we played in the east this year had significant injuries and I?m sure you don?t care, just like no one else cares about tatums sprained ankle?..he also played 42 minutes in that game btw.

Really, the Celtics have been champions for two weeks and you?ve started in on your bashing of them already?  Take the summer off, at least and save your energy for the fall.
« Last Edit: July 01, 2024, 06:01:53 PM by Celtics2021 »

Re: The Beginning of a Dynasty?
« Reply #103 on: July 01, 2024, 04:50:44 PM »

Online Goldstar88

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The Wolves might be the next team that will give us problems.

But first, gotta past the east. Knicks getting better and 76ers improving with PG once he signs there

Doubt it. They got wrecked by the Mavs.
Quoting Nick from the now locked Ime thread:
Quote
At some point you have to blame the performance on the court on the players on the court. Every loss is not the coach's fault and every win isn't because of the players.