One thing that does worry me for BUF and DET is, their defenses just aren't good. If you're counting on them to make a stop late in the game to secure a win against a good offense, then they might be in trouble.
Starting to think it might be PHI in the Super Bowl. They are a lot more balanced and Barkley has been MVP-caliber as well. The Vikings are 14-2 and it's a good story with Darnold but I just can't trust them or Darnold in the big moments. Vikings always seem to choke. DET's offense is loaded but if they are relying on winning via shootouts then that's not an ideal recipe. Green Bay is also balanced but still not enough firepower as PHI/DET IMO.
I'm still picking Buffalo out of the AFC. Their defense isn't good but they can still generate some pass rush and Josh Allen has been the MVP. KC to me isn't the same and I think BUF will finally get their revenge on them in the playoffs.