I personally think we have two years left with Porzingis and Holiday. After that, 1 of them is definitely gonna get dealt. Or they can just let KP's contract expire and it's his choice if he wants to return for cheap like Horford has in the past few years.
I think it will be the other way around. Porzingis is 6 years younger than Jrue. Horford will be totally done 2 years from now, we will need Porzingis long term. Jrue will be 36 years old. He can return for cheap like Horford did.
I don't think we can expect a 30 year old KP to sign a contract at $10M/yr. If he remains healthy at all, then he will command at least as much as he is making now.
My point was more so that Porzingis' extension will expire here after 2026. So in theory that money is off the books. Then at that point, you can maybe find his replacement (ideally a cheaper one) or if KP actually loves it here he can stay for cheaper. Not 10M a year, but also not max money.
The 2nd apron is gonna become a real thorn for us after next year, I wonder how Wyc and Brad will navigate it all. I'm already expecting 2 of Hauser/Tillman/Kornet to be gone, then Horford retires maybe in 2-3 years. This is where we need to hope Queta, Springer and Walsh among others can rise to the occasion even if as solid role player options.
I don't see Stevens letting go of Porzingis if he is anywhere near healthy 2 years from now. Our ceiling is so much higher with him and we will not find a big man anywhere near the quality of him or Horford for cheaper. We also know he fits both in terms of playing style and personality with this team, which is a big deal.
I do think the hope is for guys like Tillman, Springer and Walsh to develop and replace guys like Horford and Jrue as they get older.
Yep. I wish these new salary cap rules and the 2nd apron stuff didn't exist. It didn't in the past and it helped Golden State. I know GSW still paid a lot of luxury tax but if they had done the same stuff now it might not have been as realistic for them.
The new rules are a double-edged sword. They make creating a super team harder in order to increase parity, but that also means that if a super team does manage to form then it's much harder for other teams to get enough talent to challenge them. As long as ownership is willing to pay the tax to keep the team together, we're gonna stay as the most talented team in the league for a couple of years.
Things will get difficult once Horford loses a step/retires, but until then the rules aren't making us worse, just stopping us from getting better (or at least making it a lot here for us to get better)