Dame's non existent half hearted defence mercilessly exposed in this excellent article
https://www.cbssports.com/nba/news/damian-lillard-is-playing-the-worst-defense-of-his-career-and-it-might-cost-more-than-just-the-bucks/
Interesting article. As a small superstar guard there's not a lot more than you can ask for with the help of Antetokounmpo, Lopez, Middleton and Beasley. The writer argues that if Lillard can't compete with this roster it's the end of the small guard as a building block. Perhaps how non-multidimensional centers have become an afterthought on the payroll.
There may be some truth to this. Somewhat exaggerated there is the theory "the offense is as strong as your strongest attacker and the defense is as weak as your weakest link".
However, the Nuggets did just win the title with Jamal Murray at point guard. But like Irving he did it with the best player in the NBA at that time (James and Jokic). Is playing with a MVP the exception to the rule? And isn't Antetokounmpo also a former MVP or has he declined too much due to injuries and age (11th season)?
Are the Celtics on to something with the All Defense-backcourt in Holiday/White? Or is it all about the Moranis-MVP-argument that contending is dependent on the development of Tatum? And is focussing on other strategic team building almost useless? And where does the MVP-level-argument stop?
I think there would be consensus on Jokic, Embiid and Curry. Does Tatum belong? How about Doncic, Mitchell and SGA? Older former (Finals) MVP's: Antetokounmpo, Durant, James or healthy Leonard? Do they count?
If we disregard any team (without a MVP-type) with a (young) small or defensively weak guard as a likely contender for now and the future that would include almost all teams in the East besides the Celtics:
Cleveland (Garland, or does Mitchell count?), Atlanta (Young), New York (Brunson/Grimes), Miami (Herro), Chicago (White/LaVine), Indiana (Haliburton, some length to grow as a defender?), Charlotte (LaMelo Ball, same argument as Haliburton?), Detroit (Ivey/Cunningham), Toronto (Schröder), Brooklyn (Thomas) and Washington (Poole).
So Philadelphia (Maxey, countered by current MVP Embiid) is the only real obstacle for the Celtics to the conference title if we hardline the MVP-argument against Antetokounmpo and discount Milwaukee (Lillard). As a side note, is Orlando silently with a not an all that inspiring but defensively solid Fultz-Suggs backcourt actually on the right track?
In the West it's not all that different: Phoenix (Booker/Beal, but Durant?), LA Lakers (Russell, but James?), Dallas (Irving, but Doncic?), LA Clippers (Harden, but Leonard?), Sacramento (Fox/Huerter), Memphis (Morant), New Orleans (McCollum), Portland (Henderson/Simons), Utah (Clarkson/Sexton) and Houston (Green).
Minnesota (Edwards, inconsistent on defense but not a small frame) is on the edge. But Denver (Murray-KCP with Jokic) and Golden State (Curry-Thompson) would then be favorites in the West. And we also have OKC (SGA-Dort) and San Antonio (Sochan-Vassell).
The hard "You can't win with a small-guard-without-a-true-MVP"-theory indicates that Boston, Philadelphia, Denver and Golden State are the only contenders this season. And for the (perhaps near) future we should keep an eye on San Antonio (Sochan/Vassell with Wenbanyama), OKC (SGA/Dort with Holmgren) and Orlando (Fultz/Suggs with F.Wagner and Banchero).