Wages of Win Projects Celtics at 38.9 Wins

[LarBrd33]

They are probably projecting that with a healthy rondo. We won 41 last year with kg and pierce ... I think 39 wins is a stretch.  But that's the max I see this team winning... 25-38 wins.  If we trade rondo or he sits out part of the season, we should be a lot worse

[TripleOT]

I'll take the under. 

[Celtics4ever]

For some reason I am thinking 32 at the max but I said earlier 25-20.

[Boris Badenov]

Something looks odd there.

They have PP and KG adding fewer wins to BKN than Humphries and Wallace will to the C's.

This violates the whole reason for BKN sending us all those picks in the trade, doesn't it?

Consequently they also have BKN at 37 wins and 24th in overall league standings - meaning we get the 7th best lottery slot with that draft pick.

Doesn't smell right to me.

I'd imagine adding wins and making a difference is easier on a bad team than on a good team.

That's not how WoW does it though, at least as I understand it. Their "wins added" are not dependent on which team a player is on.

WoW just thinks that Humphries and Wallace are a better pair of players than Pierce and Garnett.

They also predicted 32 wins for BKN last year - which means as other posters said, win shares must not like Deron and JJ et al.

They also had MIA at 55 wins, NOH at 44 wins, etc...I understand that all predictions will have some errors, but these seem big.

Has anyone done (or seen) a comparison of how these predictions fare vs. others, in recent history?